VelarisMarkets

🌐 Official news & market insights by Velaris Markets. Built for traders who want fair prop conditions. Get funded, trade our capital, and scale. 📈

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

🚨WARNING: 🔴Bitcoin CRASHED shortly before or after every U.S. midterm election in its history.

Will it happen again this time?

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

The dollar is trading the rate path, not yesterday’s print. Core PCE cooled to 3.0%, but that is still well above 2%, and the Fed already hiked to 3.75%–4.00% while long yields sit at multi-year highs. DXY near 101.9 is only about 6.6% off the January low of 95.5. One soft inflation number does not unwind that.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

Core PCE at 3.0% beat the 3.3% forecast, but part of that drop was a methodology change, and 3% is still well above the Fed’s 2% target. GDP was revised up to 2.2%, so this is not a demand collapse. Kalshi at 65% for no October hike is the market fading one meeting, not a pivot. Friday’s jobs print still decides it.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

The pattern is three elections, and two of them were already bear markets. In 2014 and 2018 Bitcoin was down about 70% from the prior high before anyone voted. In 2022 the crash was FTX, which happened to land the same week. Midterms do not set the price. Liquidity and leverage do.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

Bitcoin gained about 43% in the quarter, its best Q3 since 2017, and Ethereum gained roughly 71%.
Both also just printed their highest monthly close of 2026. That is a strong rebound off the June lows.
It is still a rebound. Bitcoin is down on the year and about a third below the October 2025 high. A new bull market is confirmed by a new high, not by the best quarter inside a drawdown.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

@BullTheoryio The financing math is the risk. November isn’t.Roughly $800 billion of 2026 capex, more of it debt-funded, with the 30-year at its highest since 2004. A lost House adds hearings. It doesn’t cancel chip orders. Boards cut spend when returns slip, not when a committee meets

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

Bitcoin just closed 3 GREEN months in a row. This NEVER happens during bear markets, the bull market is 100% confirmed

Bitcoin and Ethereum printed their highest monthly close of 2026.

$BTC surged +$25,800 and 44% in the past 3 months, delivering the best Q3 returns since 2017.

$ETH surged 71.2% in the same period, its best quarter in history. Macro indicators confirm crypto has entered a new bull market.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

OUSD is live with a serious roster and a real pitch: free mint/redeem and reserve yield shared with partners, not kept by one issuer.

That’s the part that can actually dent USDT/USDC.The test is usage. If Visa, Stripe, and Coinbase route volume through it, it’s infrastructure.

If they just put the logo on a landing page, it’s another consortium coin. Watch mint/burn and settlement volume, not the press release.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

@cryptomanran Retail brokerage → tokenized stocks, perps, their own L2.
That’s the tell.
Trading is moving from “place an order” to “assets live on-chain 24/7.” The chain only matters if volume stays there after the keynote glow fades.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

A dip-and-rip is possible. Don’t treat it as a rule.
Last two prints faded fast because the data wasn’t a break just cooler hiring with layoffs still low.
Same setup now: openings already slipped, unemployment still near 4.1%.
A miss can shake risk for a session. A real jump in the jobless rate is what sticks.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

@WatcherGuru $6B into a $30T+ market. Last two buybacks didn’t pin long yields. This one won’t either.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

Cooling, yes. Collapse, no. Openings fell 256k to 7.08M and the vacancy surplus over unemployed workers collapsed from 419k to 48k.
Rate-sensitive sectors real estate, construction, manufacturing are doing the damage.
That part is real.
But BLS still labeled openings “little changed,” layoffs remain near cycle lows, and hires didn’t roll over.

A 1.0 openings-per-unemployed ratio is roughly pre-pandemic normal, not 2020.The labor market is rebalancing, not breaking.
Whether the Fed “cannot ignore” it depends on inflation and energy, not this one JOLTS print.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

BTC just printed the tower. What goes up that fast usually comes down just as hard.

Welcome to Burj Khalifa

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

US PCE Price Index came in at 3.4% vs 3.7% expected.

US Q2 GDP data came in at 2.2% vs 1.5% expected.

Over $230 BILLION was added to gold and silver in just 2 minutes after PCE inflation came in at its lowest level in 6 months.

Bitcoin hit $85,000!

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

$BTC price is being capped from the upside with large sell orders.

Until Bitcoin breaks above the $85,500 level, the sideways action will continue.

A weekly close below $82,700 could result in a correction. A strong breakout above $85,500 will pump Bitcoin to new local highs.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

🇯🇵 USD/JPY falls below 156.5 as the Japanese yen surges.

Here's why:

1. Weak Japan factory output has reduced expectations for another BOJ rate hike.

2.Japan's Finance Minister warned yesterday that the weak yen is a problem and said Japan is working closely with US on FX markets, raising intervention fears.

3. Month-end and quarter-end rebalancing is boosting yen demand.

4. Traders are cutting dollar positions ahead of key US ADP jobs and PCE inflation data, which could shift expectations for the Fed's next move.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

BREAKING: WTI crude oil falls below $90 for the first time in 3 weeks.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

BREAKING: The US 30Y Note Yield rises above 5.60% for the first time since June 2002.

That’s another +36 basis points this month alone.

8% mortgages will arrive next week.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

bitcoin:native has been ranging between $82,500 and $85,000 for days now. Until either side gives up, the chop will continue.

[VelarisMarkets @VelarisMarkets]

THIS HAS MARKED EVERY MAJOR BUYING & SELLING OPPORTUNITY SINCE 1990

Use it. It’s how generational wealth is made.

Dot-Com Crash.
Global Financial Crisis.
COVID Crash.
2022 Bear Market.
2025 Tariff Selloff.

The $VIX is Wall Street’s fear gauge.

If you trade $SPY or $QQQ, understand this:

VIX <20 ->TRIM / REDUCE RISK
VIX 20–30 -> HOLD
VIX 30–40 -> START BUYING
VIX >40 -> BUY THE PANIC

RIGHT NOW: VIX 14.87

Fear is low. Don’t chase. Protect profits.