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@HenrikZeberg
Se observa que el gap entre LEI Signal y COI Crossover oscila entre 3 meses (Cycle 2) y 27 meses (Cycle 3). La media es de unos 8-10 meses. Desde noviembre 2024 llevamos ~17 meses de espera, lo que empieza a ser inusual pero no sin precedente (Cycle 3: 1987→1990).
Poco se habla, o se valora, que el 21 de nov. (ver hilo)
https://t.co/8j44XGqPHU
ya adelanté un escenario que se ha cumplido prácticamente al tick. ¿Casualidad?
Siguiente paso: lo que me gustaría ver ahora. Una caída adicional del -7% al -10% que dé por finalizado el conflicto.
Actualizo gráfico;
Ya expliqué que en las roturas del algoritmo de LP, a veces rompe USA y aguanta EU, y otras ocurre al revés.
Cuando ambas roturas coinciden (sucedió el viernes), el escenario histórico posterior no es tranquilizador.
🚨 Cuidado🚨
@HenrikZeberg Here you can download the paper:
https://t.co/AjCZ0QY70w
"The Zeberg Macro Navigation Framework™"- proposing a real-time business-cycle framework linking macro dynamics and market structure.
Real Time Forecasting of Recessions.
Good Morning.
PLEASE READ THIS CAREFULLY! 🙏👇
I have said it before - I will say it again.
A massive Recession and Crisis are coming. The largest since 1930s.
The money printing of Central Banks have created a Monster in the Financial Markets.
Extreme over-valuations. A massive Bubble!
The Everything Bubble will burst! And we are getting closer.
The LEADING INDICATORS in my Business Cycle model rolled over in November 2024.
This has correctly identified Recessions (all - and no extra) since 1950.
Before THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS they rolled over in November 2006.
The Titanic has hit the iceberg - and there is no going back.
The COINCIDENT INDICATORS are the ones telling us WHEN it begins - together with our IMMINENT RECESSION INDICATORS.
This is when the Titanic actually sinks!
Before THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS they rolled over in November 2007.
The Recession began December 2007. Market topped October 2007.
These are suggesting that we are closing in on a point where it could begin! I say it again… “Closing in”!
HOWEVER - not signalling it just yet - but closing in!
In the FINAL PHASE - the Stock Market and Crypto will rally hard.
This is the due to the LIQUIDITY from Central Banks.
This phase has now begun!
Stock market, BTC, ETH, Altcoins will soar into December. Investors will be believe it is the “All Clear” signal.
They can not be more wrong!
At the same time we see the DXY developing a massive BOTTOMING PATTERN.
The RALLY in DXY is going to be extreme into 2026.
I cannot warn especially Crypto- and Bitcoin junkies enough - DESPITE the RALLY in these assets we likely will see into the final phase. ALTSEASON and new extreme ATHs.
There is NO FANCY THEORY on DIGITAL CODE!
It is complete NONSENSE!
And the ECONOMY IS SLOWING DOWN!
Be very, very careful!
Understand and treat this for what it is. A massive BUBBLE - which may seem to promise ENDLESS PROSPERITY! But it is a MIRAGE!
And it will BURST!
I hope and want the best for all of you! 🙏
PLEASE READ THIS CAREFULLY! 🙏👇
I have said it before - I will say it again.
A massive Recession and Crisis are coming. The largest since 1930s.
The money printing of Central Banks have created a Monster in the Financial Markets.
Extreme over-valuations. A massive Bubble!
The Everything Bubble will burst! And we are getting closer.
The LEADING INDICATORS in my Business Cycle model rolled over in November 2024.
This has correctly identified Recessions (all - and no extra) since 1950.
Before THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS they rolled over in November 2006.
The Titanic has hit the iceberg - and there is no going back.
The COINCIDENT INDICATORS are the ones telling us WHEN it begins - together with our IMMINENT RECESSION INDICATORS.
This is when the Titanic actually sinks!
Before THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS they rolled over in November 2007.
The Recession began December 2007. Market topped October 2007.
These are suggesting that we are closing in on a point where it could begin! I say again… “Closing in”!
HOWEVER - not signalling it just yet!
In the FINAL PHASE - the Stock Market and Crypto will likely soar!
This is the due to the LIQUIDITY from Central Banks. We are closing in on that phase! And interestingly- the market move we saw on Friday may be the trigger of this.
At the same time we see the DXY developing a massive BOTTOMING PATTERN.
The RALLY in DXY is going to be extreme into 2026!
I cannot warn especially Crypto- and Bitcoin junkies enough - DESPITEthe RALLY we likely will see into the final phase. ALTSEASON and new extreme ATHs.
There is NO FANCY THEORY on DIGITAL CODE!
It is complete NONSENSE!
And the ECONOMY IS SLOWING DOWN!
Be very, very careful!
Understand and treat this for what it is. A massive BUBBLE - which may seem to promise ENDLESS PROSPERITY! But it is a MIRAGE!
And it will BURST!
I hope and want the best for all of you! 🙏
@Traderbcn@joanvilallanars Me encanta el senderismo y el medio natural. Me parece un destino muy bueno. Me la apunto para ver si organizo unas vacaciones por allí con tiempo, para buscar vuelos, alojamiento y actividades. He visto que ahora es temporada baja. Gracias.
@Traderbcn@joanvilallanars ¿Cómo tenéis resuelto el alojamiento? ¿Tenéis una base fija o vais cambiando para recorrer la isla? Veo que por tamaño es algo más pequeña que Mallorca pero para moverse por ella tiene que ser más complicado.