Dave Hochman

Systematic Projections

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

Interesting to think that roughly $4 trillion in capex, debt and leases rests on the performance of 300ish people ($13 billlion per person). Realistically all of those people need to outperform all of the openweight/open source models by at least a 2 sig move for ROI to appear on time (or at all).... Frontier models need not only to be great, but also continuously benchmark higher than free/open (which is measurable) and by a quantifiable margin.

- Token costs are down 37% from May peak $NVDA
- What is the threshold for a CFO to justify 90% as good for free over paid? $SNDK
- LLM labs pivoting to 'enterprise sales' $META
- How long does Frontier API premium last over open source self hosting? $CRWV
- And by task tier (and task value)? $IREN
#RedOctober

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

Going live tomorrow for $NVDA earnings to discuss them and recent updates regarding $MRVL trade https://t.co/W4IR4njSBy

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

People premium decaying

[First Squawk @FirstSquawk]

OPENAI'S HEAD OF DATA CENTERS CHRIS MALONE HAS LEFT THE COMPANY - WSJ

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

Must read first article from us $NVDA, $MRVL, $ORCL:
https://t.co/HJS7lv13p7

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

Looking at a greater sensitivity in $MRVL given they don't directly touch the monetization rail and are ancillary to Ai CapEx (thus only the build layer). Is that why they could be the first sign of capitulation? Read more (and trade idea) in first comment..

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

Looking at the trade setups into the next six weeks and much, much more
https://t.co/OlrU9hu2AG

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

Must read into this week as we are launching here per the first comment so if you want the whole story, see below $SNDK $MRVL

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

And lastly, if you made it here, make sure to subscribe for exclusive trade alerts, content, livestreams and more. You will want to see this analysis!

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

New article will cover:
- 'First time in history people have borrowed more against their stocks than they did in the peak of dot-com... and it just started to unwind' $CRWV
- 'One private company loses ~$14b/year, owes ~$1.15 trillion to mega caps...

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

- ... bought ~$7.9b 3x levered chip ETF (most of any security on Earth) and lost $36b in eight weeks. Smart money was selling the entire way down
- Current tech 'moat' is a people premium problem, where the people can and do leave (and why that really, really matters) $META ...

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

Find us on subscription soon

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

How 300 people driving trillions in CapEx (quantitative and qualitative value personell in Frontier Labs), why they're leaving/starting their own, and wouldn't it just be cheaper to in house solution and pay lawsuit later? Go open weight anyway right? $META

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

How 300 people driving trillions in CapEx (quantitative and qualitative value personell in Frontier Labs), why they're leaving/starting their own, and wouldn't it just be cheaper to in house solution and pay lawsuit later? Go open weight anyway right? $META

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

Chart relevancy; $ORCL $META. Part of a larger section in our August report.

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

It's fifty (almost, percent).. $QQQ 0DTE

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

Private equity is stuck with 33,575 unsold businesses, per NYT

[Amigo de Frodo @bpdflores]

The sign of the Kingdom of God present among us necessarily prioritizes that the poor and vulnerable be defended from the machinations of the powerful. This is not complicated; though often deliberately obfuscated.

Ps 82,3-4
Do justice for the weak and the orphan; give justice to the poor and afflicted.
Rescue the weak and the needy;
set them free from the hand of the wicked.

[Dave Hochman @Vibeship1]

@bpdflores Beautiful. Thank you Bishop.