VividRange®

Independent quantitative research practice examining markets, risk, probability and decision making under uncertainty

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@tedthepyrenean @TheBeanEyesOpen I commented the same thing to my wife this weekend, the sun has an autumn hue I’d usually associate with late October / early November.

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@GhostExecutes Then collect thousands of events.
If the distribution unexpectedly clustered around:
2D, 3D, 4.9D, 7D...
then you’d have something.
And if 7D genuinely emerged as a recurring terminal expansion, then the geometry becomes interesting rather than baubles.

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@GhostExecutes An idea: Suppose a genuine market event establishes an initial displacement D. Then instead of declaring the eventual range must equal 7D, we could investigate: R/D where: * D = displacement following the an event * R = eventual structural expansion before reversal.

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

Building a Market Regime Model From First Principles

https://t.co/tFgg8ZO0PH

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@Abood963C @timexpricex @LethalityTrader Care to explain?

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@Mr1CT 00000.1 : 999k

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

#poker Flop to River equity % Study:

Tight is Right ✅

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@sabanci_ata I was led to believe TV doesn’t have bid/ask volume, do you use up/down tick as a proxy?

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@jtrader Small edge + enough capital + repeatable execution beats constantly swinging for the fences.

The obsession with huge returns is often just impatience with lipstick.

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

#Poker and #Trading get dangerous when you treat them as games.

Don’t “just this once”

You’re deploying your capital.

Every entry is a business decision:
Risk, Expected return, Execution +
Discipline.

Treat it like a business, or the market / table will regularly invoice you.

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@fannitrades Respect for posting the ugly ones.

The losses are part of trading & the cost of doing business. The rule-break after it is expensive.

I’m increasingly convinced that protecting process after a loss matters more than finding better setups.

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@KhayamHassan12 This took me far too long to learn.

Every time I added another setup, I felt like I was improving.

Most of the time I was just adding more ways to talk myself into a trade.

Simple rules. Repeated well. That’s real work.

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@wannabechamp Douglas’ best lesson for me: stop treating each trade as something that needs to work.

One outcome proves almost nothing.

The edge only shows up across a series of correctly executed decisions.

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

Poker and Trading have the same uncomfortable truth:

You don’t get paid for being certain.

You get paid for making better decisions with incomplete information.

That’s what VividRange is about:

Test ideas. Measure outcomes. Keep what survives.

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

Candid confession: I prefer coding in notepad++ rather than Visual Studio…Does this make me a bad person?

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

Highly recommended for #poker players & #daytrading

✨ hyperfixation/hyperfocus https://t.co/cNNcD0ozXe

[VividRange® @vividrange_IO]

@EdmondsonShaun @HODL15Capital And frustrating where the wall below disappears, and 3 levels manifest above as you go long. Latency is the biggest problem for retail traders and these indicators.