Vincent Kammerer

Entreprise France : de super talents et atouts; l'urgence de libérer les énergies : maquis juridique et réglementaire, fardeau fiscal et social, instabilité

[War Radar @War_Radar2]

JUST IN: 🇵🇱🇷🇺 Poland Issues Chilling Russia Warning

Poland's foreign intelligence chief says the country must prepare as if war with Russia could erupt in the near term.

He warned that Moscow will keep testing NATO through provocations and said the risk of direct military confrontation is real.

Europe's frontline is no longer preparing for a hypothetical conflict, it's preparing for a potential one.

[Jarl Finland @jalle51]

Day 3 of the 40-day operation and the Kremlin’s aggressive propaganda mill is spinning in absolute fury as its neighboring borders strengthen... 📉🇫🇮 Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova (visible in image_cabc41.jpg) just announced that Moscow will take swift "political and military-technical measures" in response to Finland amending its Nuclear Energy Act. Zakharova desperately claims that Helsinki is turning into a proxy for an "aggressive militaristic block". This empty saber-rattling perfectly underscores the current consensus from military intelligence and Gregg's endurance index: Russia's radioactive threats are nothing but a desperate bluff.

The reality is that Putin is cornered—his advanced S-400 air defenses are burning in Crimea, his 5th Tank Brigade faces partial encirclement at the front, and his economy is facing a catastrophic domestic fuel embargo. Attempting to scare Finland from a position of total military and logistical degradation shows just how broken the regime’s facade really is. Helsinki is simply solidifying its deterrence alongside its regional allies, leaving Russia's imperial fantasies out in the cold.

[Jarl Finland @jalle51]

Day 3 of the 40-day operation and battlefield analyst Kenneth Gregg just dropped exclusive high-level military intelligence regarding the Russian-Belarusian-Chinese triangle... 🇧🇾🇨🇳 Information from a senior officer confirms that Moscow is aggressively pressuring Minsk for drone corridors, military integration, and infrastructure to force a constant threat against Kyiv. Lukashenko knows a direct intervention is politically fatal, so he ran straight to Beijing on June 29. Out of pure economic self-interest, Xi Jinping has effectively become Lukashenko’s insurance policy against Putin, as Beijing refuses to let a Russian victory disrupt its vital trade with Europe. If Putin pushes too hard, he won't get a new front; he'll get a catastrophic crisis on his own western flank.

The Kremlin is acting out of pure desperation. Their crown jewel, Crimea, is strategically isolated, Moscow is easily targetable, and the nuclear threats have officially been exposed as a bluff. According to Gregg’s endurance index, Midsummer marked the definitive turning point of the war. The newest forecast predicts that Russian fronts in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia will begin to collapse by September, dragging the Donbas into the same meatgrinder state. Putin's allies simply refuse to die for his imperial fantasy. To bring the rawest ground reality straight to the public, a massive new reporting cooperation has officially launched with the 15th Brigade of the Ukrainian National Guard (Kara Dag) right on the Donbas front lines. The facade is breaking everywhere.

[Jarl Finland @jalle51]

Vladimir Putin’s latest address to the United Russia party exposed a massive historical paradox: the dictator is leaking more truth between the lines than he actually realizes... 🪆📉 When he rants about the West "testing Russia on a serious level" and admits to a "difficult period," he is fundamentally describing a regime that has lost all strategic initiative and is stuck in a reactive panic.

The ground reality can no longer be masked by state TV propaganda:

Infrastructure Collapse: Ukraine's precise drone quarantine is leaving mega-refineries (like Slavyansk-na-Kubani) in ashes, compounding a catastrophic domestic fuel crisis with dried-up pumps and endless lines.

Military Defeats: Elite air defense systems (S-300/S-400) are being obliterated in the Kerch region, a third of the country's commercial flight fleets are grounded due to sanctions, and insider leaks reveal emergency evacuation blueprints for Crimea.

Political Fractures: Putin is actively purging volatile warmongers like Dmitry Medvedev from electoral lists, recognizing that the Russian public is utterly exhausted by war and surging inflation.

The most telling sign from Putin's rhetoric is the sudden, defensive shift. The grand, arrogant promises of conquering new lands and reshaping the Western security order have quietly vanished. Instead, the focus is now entirely on surviving and protecting their own borders. When a tyrant stops bragging about expansion and starts pleading for survival, it tells you everything about the true state of the empire.

[24h Pujadas @24hPujadas]

▶️️️#Exclusif - Bruno TERTRAIS, directeur adjoint de la Fondation pour la recherche stratégique, invité de LCI :

« Vladimir a mis en branle un train qu’il ne peut plus arrêter. Il n’a plus le choix que d’escalader. »

#24hPujadas #LCI #Ukraine #Russie #Poutine #Zelensky ⤵️

[Maneli Mirkhan | مانلی میرخان @ManeliMirkhan]

L'axe chiite d'influence du régime iranien craque sur ses deux jambes. Beyrouth signe avec Tel Aviv pour contrer le Hezbollah. Bagdad arrête les relais de la République islamique au plus haut niveau. Le Croissant chiite, doctrine de Soleimani, perd sa cohérence systémique. Et à date, la République islamique l'aborde dans une position de faiblesse historique, prise en étau entre faillite économique et fractures de pouvoir et doctrinales à l'intérieur du régime.
@LCI @margothaddad #IranWar‌

[Dominique Reynié @DominiqueReynie]

Là où les soins palliatifs n'existent pas, ou sont de mauvaise qualité, l'euthanasie n'est plus un choix. C'est ça la liberté ? Avec l'injection létale, avant vous êtes vivant, après vous êtes mort. C'est ça un soin ?
Ce matin @DominiqueReynie sur @franceinter avec @Ben_Duhamel

[Jarl Finland @jalle51]

We are witnessing a massive, historic shift in the global geopolitical landscape right now... 🇨🇳🎭 The recent two-day lockdown meeting between Putin and Lukashenko in Valdai was unprecedented for what it lacked: no joint press conferences, no real statements, and not even a single staged photo-op. Immediately after, Lukashenko scrambled to Beijing in an unannounced, urgently arranged visit to meet Xi Jinping.

When Xi formally stated that China supports Belarus’s "sovereignty and territorial integrity," it wasn't just diplomatic prose. It was Beijing drawing a line around Minsk and declaring a functional protectorate to safeguard its own land-based trade routes to Europe and vital potash supplies. Lukashenko clearly rejected Putin’s pressure to drag Belarus deeper into the war and ran straight to China for cover.

Putin’s retaliation was swift and aggressive. He immediately escalated his rhetoric, declaring the "complete liberation of Donbas and Novorossia" as his goal, insisting that future talks must restructure the entire European security architecture. This conflict has officially transcended Russia and Ukraine. It is now a Chinese-Russian instrument to reshape the West, completely dependent on Beijing's long-term strategic calculations. If China solidifies this grip, expect Central Asia to turn its back on Moscow next. The facade of Russian dominance is gone.

[Anton Gerashchenko @Gerashchenko_en]

Over the past few days, a lot of important things have happened. In recent days, my attention has been focused on Lukashenko and the activity within the Russian-Belarusian-Chinese triangle.

For the first time after the meeting between Putin and Lukashenko at Valdai, there was neither a joint press conference, nor substantive statements, nor even the traditional demonstrative photo-op. The meeting lasted two days.

Immediately afterwards, Lukashenko urgently traveled to Beijing, and this visit was organized with unprecedented speed for China, where he was personally received by Xi Jinping.

The visit had not been planned or announced in advance. Therefore, it was urgent and important for both sides.

The Chinese leader emphasized support for Belarus’s sovereignty, independence, and territorial integrity. Formally, this is a standard diplomatic formula. But in the current circumstances, it can be read as a signal: Beijing is declaring a protectorate over Belarus and indicating that it has its own interests there. And we know what those interests are - Belarus is a major producer of potash fertilizers, an important logistical hub between Russia and Europe, and part of the overland routes of Chinese trade.

The role of Minsk may be more complex than it appears.

As of now, it looks as though Lukashenko has rejected Putin’s demands to involve Belarus even more deeply in the war with Ukraine and has turned to Beijing for protection.
Time will tell whether these assumptions are correct.

If so, a serious shift in the geopolitical configuration of the region has occurred.
If China takes a more active position regarding Belarus (and Ukraine), I would not rule out that the countries of Central Asia will also listen less to Russia and increasingly turn toward China as the center of their interests.

Meanwhile, after the talks with Lukashenko, Putin made one of the most important statements of recent months. He did not simply reject the Ukrainian proposal for a mutual cessation of long-range strikes. He escalated - declaring the "complete liberation of Donbas and Novorossiya" as his goal. Putin is demonstrating readiness for further escalation and insists that future negotiations must concern not only Ukraine, but the entire system of European security.

Thus, we see that the war is increasingly transcending the framework of a bilateral conflict between Russia and Ukraine. It is becoming a Chinese-Russian tool for reshaping the entire European security system, and its further trajectory depends more and more on Beijing’s strategic calculations.

[Kongar @ultrarrow]

🇷🇺 Vladimir Putin:

ABD, Rusya ile Avrupa'yı bu çatışmaya kasten sürükledi. Bu bakımdan amaçlarına ulaştılar; aramıza ve Avrupa ile aramıza bir takoz soktular. Şimdi ise bu çatışmanın mali yükünü Avrupalıların omuzlarına yüklüyorlar.

Bugün Avrupa'daki omurgasız ve iradesiz siyasetçi kuşağı, medyada, ekonomide ve siyasette ABD'ye olan ezici bağımlılıkları nedeniyle buna karşı koyamıyor.

Herhangi bir büyük medya kuruluşunu yakından incelediğinizde, nihai yararlanıcısının çoğu zaman bir Amerikan fonu olduğunu görürsünüz.

Okyanusun ötesindeki ABD istihbarat kurumları, destekçilerini daha öğrencilik yıllarında işe alıyor, onları yetiştiriyor ve zamanla Avrupa ülkelerinin siyasi yönetim kademelerine taşıyor.

[Daniel Mayakovski @DaniMayakovski]

Un informe de la Universidad de Cambridge indicó que los centros de datos de Inteligencia Artificial generan un efecto de isla de calor, elevando la temperatura superficial del suelo en 2°C, detectable hasta 10 km a la redonda, con picos extremos de hasta 9,1°C.

El impacto medioambiental de los centros de datos para Inteligencia Artificial podría afectar a más de 340 millones de personas en el corto plazo.

Mientras las multinacionales contaminan masivamente y sin límites, a los trabajadores le dicen que se aprieten el cinturón y les prohíben ir al trabajo en su coche diésel en ciudad.

[Comité Trump France @TrumpFrance]

Le député @philippejuvin fait l'un des meilleurs discours sur la délirante loi euthanasie.
Regardez-le.
Écoutez.
Découvrez la loi terrifiante qu'ils sont en train de nous préparer.

[ChrisO_wiki @ChrisO_wiki]

1/ Russia's ongoing fuel crisis will soon lead to impacts far worse than queues at gas stations, warns a Russian warblogger. A logistical crisis is predicted, accompanied by shortages of raw materials and goods, along with soaring inflation. ⬇️
https://t.co/FR25NRBTCK

[Coin Bureau @coinbureau]

🚨ANTHROPIC CEO: OPEN SOURCE AI IS GETTING DANGEROUS

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei told lawmakers that open-source AI is moving down a “very dangerous path.”

His warns that once powerful models are released openly, companies lose the ability to monitor misuse, revoke access, or update safety guardrails.

[Kate from Kharkiv @BohuslavskaKate]

APPLEBAUM: Clearly, Trump is somebody who was cultivated by Russians for many years. Clearly, when they talk to him, they spend lot of time thinking about how he can be manipulated, and he seems to respond. Trump is easy to manipulate if you know which buttons to push and so on.

[Jaime Garcia-Máiquez @JGMaiquez]

Me lo han enviado poniendo el grito en el cielo, pero a mí me ha hecho gracia. Hay que reirse, por Dios... y por nosotros

[Simon Betschinger @SBetschinger]

Wie kann es sein, dass die Industrieproduktion weltweit Jahr für Jahr steigt und nur in Deutschland schrumpft? Der Grund ist die europäische Regulierung, die in Deutschland begeistert umgesetzt wurde. Statt auf Marktwirtschaft setzen die Regulierer auf planwirtschaftlichen Zwang. Gegen jede wissenschaftliche Vernunft.

[War Radar @War_Radar2]

🇪🇺🇧🇾🇷🇺 Europe is watching Belarus.

For months, Ukraine's intelligence has issued warnings that have often proven significant. Now, fresh concerns are growing that Belarus could become the next front in the war.

If Belarus were to enter the conflict directly, Ukraine would suddenly face pressure from another direction, forcing it to defend multiple fronts at once.

Military analysts warn that any major escalation could ripple across Eastern Europe, raising tensions throughout the region and increasing concerns about NATO's eastern flank.

Nothing has been confirmed. But if Belarus enters the war, it would mark one of the biggest turning points since Russia's full scale invasion.

The next move could reshape the battlefield and the security of Europe.

[Jay in Kyiv @JayinKyiv]

Among the unlucky Russian oil infrastructure facilities targeted by Ukraine's drone barrages overnight, the Slavneft-YANOS refinery in Yaroslavl, one of Russia's largest oil refineries with annual processing capacity of 15 million tons and at a distance of 700km from Ukraine.

Approximately the 5th largest in the country in terms of processing capacity, this facility has been a frequent recipient of Ukrainian strikes.