David Wakefield

Amateur sports and election forecaster just getting started

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

Good Roy Morgan poll today for ALP
shift their likely seats up ~2 and chances to govern improve from ~7% to ~11.5%.
LNP still clear favourites despite dropping from ~87% to 80%, with chances of a truely hung parliament also increasing.
#vicvotes #auspol

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

Model for tonight’s AFL game says bulldogs 81% favourites to win, equating to a 37 point margin

#bulldogs #kangaroos #afl

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

With latest #freshwater and #Redbridge polls in Victoria, LNP position improves slightly with forecast increasing by 1 seat, with LNP/ONP coalition still the most common outcome.
#vicpoll #vicelection

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@efc_cain Loan armstrong out once garner is training again, I’d say sell Tim but then we need a replacement. Sell alcaraz if David isn’t going to play him

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@TheBackPocketAU Mine’ sitting on Freo ~45%, hawthorn, Sydney and Brisbane all about ~15%

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

End of Season Forecast

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

Round 21 AFL Elo Forecasts
#afl

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

Updated forecast based on latest newspoll. LNP clear favorites with ALP in trouble #newspoll #vicpoll #vicelection

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

Vic Election forecast based on LNP preference options;
Preference ALP: ALP 40 seats, LNP 39 seats, ONP 5
Preference Agnostic: ALP 35, LNP 39, ONP 10
Preference ONP: ALP 30, LNP 39, ONP 15
Shaping up as a minority government
#vicelection #minoritygov

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@elpivoteftbl Disappointed but not surprised, no chance of materially improving if we don’t get games into the young players

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@GoodisonHistory In my top 5 Everton goals in the EPL

[FMInside @fminside]

Another #FM26 giveaway? Why not!! 😍

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☑️Follow @fminside
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[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@GOttaviani Are you doing the Melbourne altitude show also?

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@CRLIntel @ClashRoyale Incredible that they still won’t touch war or do anything that incentivizes being in a clan for max players

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@lxeagle17 His approval rating has only moved a couple of points, isn’t it more likely the deterioration is people who went ‘meh, I’ll give him a shot’ realizing he isn’t any better than last time than genuine trump voters being turned off by what he is doing?

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@AFL Norm smith medal to the umpires

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@hasumpstuffedup Topped by the advantage call with 60 seconds left

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@nocontextfm1 Far and away my Best Buy in FM23

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@AFLisnotasport If you don’t recognize records pre afl then you cant count premierships pre afl either.

[David Wakefield @wakey333]

@RoyaleAPI All the evolutions except skellie