Very little in the Six Week War - capped off by the Desert Two debacle in Isfahan - could be considered a "tactical success" at all.
We got stiff-armed by a well-prepared regional power, ran out of ammo, and the Chinese are once again about to win by doing absolutely nothing.⬇️
Let's actually assess this in a rational manner, working my best guess as to what our objectives actually were during this operation - which is in and of itself a difficult thing to figure out given they seemed to change daily because nobody at the Pentagon was willing to impose any kind of strategic discipline on Trump.
So, uh, let's break this down by lines of effort because there were several.
Line of Effort 1: Strategic neutralization of Iran as a threat vector to Israel and other US interests and forces in the Middle East
OBJ 1.1: Regime change
- FAILED. Iranian government as currently constituted ("regime") consolidated power; "Khamenei replaced with Khamenei". No significant anti-regime protests recorded.
OBJ 1.2: Secure US/Israeli air supremacy over central Iran
- FAILED. Coalition remained dependent on standoff weapons for strikes outside border regions; only apparent attempt to fly massed air sorties into central Iran resulted in lost aircraft and near-disaster. Most Coalition air assets withdrawn to inconvenient bases far from Iran due to missile threat and reliant on extensive tanker support to operate at low sortie rates.
OBJ 1.3: Coerce existing regime to align with US strategic interests
- FAILED. Iranian hardliners empowered by perceived victory against the United States and Israel; more moderate factions have aligned with hardliners.
OBJ 1.4: Isolate Iran from great power support (Russia/China)
- FAILED. Russia and China continue to provide substantial economic and military support to Iran.
Line of Effort 2: Destruction of the Iranian WMD program
OBJ 2.1: Seize Iranian enriched uranium stockpile
- FAILED. Attempted SOF raid ended in debacle.
OBJ 2.2: Destroy Iranian uranium enrichment capability
- FAILED. Iranian enrichment capability is in extremely hardened underground facilities which do not appear to have sustained significant damage from Coalition attacks.
OBJ 2.3: Destroy Iranian industrial pipeline to manufacture nuclear warheads
- UNKNOWN. Little data exists here outside of raw speculation.
Line of Effort 3: Destruction of Iranian means of coercion against Israel and US interests in the Middle East
OBJ 3.1: Destroy Iranian missile force
- FAILED. Iranian ballistic, cruise, and drone capabilities very much intact.
OBJ 3.2: Destroy Iranian aerial forces
- FAILED. Iranian tactical aviation intact; transport and logistics aircraft destroyed on the ground by Coalition forces were of limited tactical utility.
OBJ 3.3: Destroy Iranian naval forces
- FAILED. IRGCN mosquito fleet currently the dominant naval power in the Persian Gulf; naval balance of power in the key Persian Gulf and Hormuz region has shifted AGAINST the United States and allies.
OBJ 3.4: Destroy Iranian regional proxies
- FAILED. Iranian regional proxies in Iraq and Lebanon showed resilience well beyond that expected by analysts.
OBJ 3.5: Prevent capture of Coalition aircrew by Iran
- QUALIFIED SUCCESS. Thanks to strategically ruinous expenditures of standoff weapons, exposure of Coalition aircraft to Iranian air defenses was minimized, preventing Iran from taking POWs.
Line of Effort 4: Protect Israel, friendly Gulf Arab regimes, US military forces, and broader US interests from Iranian retaliation
OBJ 4.1: Secure oil shipment through Strait of Hormuz
- FAILED. Iran secured control of the Strait of Hormuz and continues to export oil despite attempted blockade.
OBJ 4.2: Disrupt Iranian retaliatory strikes
- FAILED. Coalition strikes did little to nothing to disrupt Iranian missile and drone launches.
OBJ 4.3: Degrade Iranian retaliatory strikes on Coalition military assets in theater
- FAILED. US forces withdrew to bases at operational standoff from Iran rather than contest positions inside SRBM range, ceding influence over the strategically critical Persian Gulf to Iran rather than risk friendly casualties. Iranian drones and MRBMs caused painful if not decisive losses to Coalition assets throughout the war.
OBJ 4.4: Prevent Iranian counter-value coercion against friendly Gulf Arab regimes
- FAILED. Iran struck countervalue targets in the Arab states at will and continues to hold them at great risk; Qatar (previously home to a massive US presence) appears to have given Iran a massive tributary payment rather than face further attacks.
OBJ 4.5: Prevent Iranian strikes against Coalition proxies in theater.
- FAILED. Iran effectively struck Iraqi Kurdish militias being positioned as a proxy force, leading to the Kurds concluding a separate peace with Iran and withdrawing from the conflict despite extensive claims in Iranian territory.
OBJ 4.6: Prevent second-order economic effects of the war in the United States
- QUALIFIED SUCCESS. Stock market apparently unable or unwilling to believe magnitude of ongoing energy supply disruptions; jawboning and frequent false reports by the Trump Administration of imminent peace and successful negotiations reduced market turmoil at the cost of the long-term credibility of the US government.
In summary: Deep failures across all lines of effort and very few objectives accomplished.
@RonCryptoMan98@TulsaTedd@MarioNawfal You sound like a stable level-headed they/them on your period.
Does coping this hard help you with the "cramps" ?
@TulsaTedd@MarioNawfal The caption reads "Southern Lebanon"
So any school/hospital/church in that approximate region should be bombed to shit just to make sure?
Hey bro, you are justifying some evil shit and you are only trying to convince yourself.
Im sad for you
🇷🇺 Russian political strategist Pavel Dubravsky shared a meaningful graphic:
🇺🇸 In the photo of US Congress members, those funded by the pro-Israel lobbying group AIPAC are highlighted in red.
324 of the 435 members of Congress are controlled by Israel, and this is not a conspiracy theory.
@joni_askola Even if they did...
Our promises/negotiations dont seem to mean shit.
Us bombing Iran twice during negotiations proves this beyond a shadow of a doubt
@LokiDonJuan@Simply_Shula@SethDillon Yes. Thats correct.
If Trump says "youre a retard" then you must drop your IQ by 50 points to prove to everyone he is right, or else youre not MAGA
@tiffanylloree@PiersUncensored@piersmorgan@scrowder ... do you ever wonder "why" they took them hostage?
If your history starts in 1980 then you really are clueless...
It goes back to at least the late 1940s.
Also, feel free to look up "Operation Ajax" carried out against Iran by our CIA to overthrow their elected government