Michael Watkins 🇺🇦

Lead Data Scientist at TelevisaUnivision. I build machine learning/LLM models.

Melodic House/EDM producer/DJ known as Coldfront.

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

Technical paper re: Google ML hurricane forecast methodology:

https://t.co/gMTUEqpHBw

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

Google Deepmind Weather Lab has introduced a Machine Learning (ML) hurricane forecast model, which has out-performed the physics based global models in terms of track error for 2023/24. Their predictions are public and part of our guidance suite:

https://t.co/sM059N7IWd

PS: I am not surprised a neural net is winning - I've been building them for the last 10 years, although XGBoost still wins for my event classification models :)

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

I create live melodic house and trance mixes every week. If you love EDM or want to listen to a 2 hour song, love to get your feedback as well!

This is my latest Deepfreeze set from Saturday nigjt ://www.mixcloud.com/BeatGeeksRadio/coldfront-presents-the-deepfreeze-226-300626/

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

Finally.

A movie/story about dealing with uncertainty that actually represents how real meteorologists/scientists deal with uncertainty.

#pressure

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

@hwinkler4real I think that might be correlation.

Children with parents who can afford that procedure have the resources and education to get an Autism diagnosis later in life (more engaged with the healthcare system already).

In Data Science we’d call this conclusion a case of selection bias

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

Here comes that rain we’ve been promised all day, South Florida! #flwx

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

@wxjerdman Johnathan great writeup re: the coming massive El Nino event!

Great to see your ever expanding/positive and, most importantly, science-based approach to weather com!
https://t.co/MLKgKppkAx

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

@Google your playoff bracket formatting is off, awarding the home team the win in the score section but advancing the actual team that won the series?

I guess not using Deepmind and counting on huirestics?

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

Math works! Amazing mission happening now - physics in action too. Love it - this is one of the most special missions of anything I’ve ever known about https://t.co/RVxHeLF3UR

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

If we get a “super El Niño”?

1. How will the Atlantic Hurricane Season evolve? I vividly remember 1997 after the Atlantic “sprung to life” in 1995/96.
2. What will the “twitter official weather sites” do for content?

Will that event separate garbage from actual science?

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

I don’t know of any followers I have from Hawaii, but this is a serious and incredibly rare event occurring right now. Hope everyone heeds these warnings and that they stay safe.

[Oahu Emergency Mgmt. @Oahu_DEM]

HNL Alert: 08:34 AM 03-20-2026 - DAM/LEVEE FAILURE IN PROGRESS OR EXPECTED at WAHIAWA DAM. Potential life-threatening flooding of downstream areas.

Evacuation Order for AREAS DOWNSTREAM of WAHIAWA DAM including PARTS OF HALEIWA AN https://t.co/zOvIggln9F

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

@hurricanetrack Meteorology is a probabilistic discipline, predominantly inhabited by people who communicate risk too deterministically.

Remember all of those amazing mets who were sure Katrina was heading to the FL panhandle as a cat 1?

#rememberhumberto

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

What? A certain, predicted deterministic weather event didn't actually happen yesterday?

The overriding, guiding tenant of weather communication is first and always: convey the reality of uncertainty.

Turns out we still don't "know" anything. #science #wxcom #probability

[NWS Storm Prediction Center @NWSSPC]

1:09am CDT #SPC Day2 Outlook Moderate Risk: from northern South Carolina across North Carolina and into Virginia and Maryland https://t.co/Y1WiOd8m1i

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

Wow east coast be ready and have multiple ways to get storm warning info on Monday, big severe weather day expected
https://t.co/obXF8rZ2Ep

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

That noise outside our tent was this young racoon stealing potato chips from our neighbors camp site.

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

We've been experiencing big time locally induced fog (pictured) here at Jekyll Island. The environment is saturated and the island seems to be acting as a local lift mechanism via cold water and land interaction #gawx

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

Full moon peeking through the tree canopy at the north end of Jekyl Island,
GA just now. Amazing and unusual weather here, foggy for 4 straight nights and counting #gawx

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

@JakeMorrisonNBA Uhm, no. #clickbait

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

@hurricanetrack Going through a pile of hurricane paperwork. I remember doing that training for Sprint, but I had no idea I still had the presentation lol.

I also found my official storm spotter letter!

[Michael Watkins 🇺🇦 @watkinstrack]

@hurricanetrack lol remember this from, 2005 I think?