Wave 3 Trades Insights

Investing in the Future | Medium/Long-Term Investor | Always do your own research

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

People don't realize $15B annual revenue for $ASTS in a few years is easily attainable

That should put the market cap around $200-$300B

When the market is irrational you take advantage

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

$ASTS

Green morning with a hold on the trend line the past 2 days so far

A steady rise is much better than a parabolic rally, although the pressure is high and $ASTS could pop at any moment

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

$NBIS +5% TODAY

THE DIP WONT LAST FOREVER

Reminder that the wave 5 target sits at $406

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

BANG

4 for 4

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

$ASTS RED TO GREEN AT THE OPEN

CALLING IT

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

$SPY

Continue to reject the trend, we go lower

Breakout and theres plenty of room to run

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

At what amount of money would you finally think “I’ve made it”?

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

Surely $ASTS is going to ZERO

That’s why institutions are buying more!

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

KOSPI causing US markets to dump

SpaceX causing space stocks to dump

Ai stocks are dumping

60% of US tech stocks are in a bear market

Sentiment is in fear

All while the market is only -1.6% from ATH

WHAT IS GOING ON

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

$ASTS to $300B market cap is not as far fetched as you might think

A 10X from here

- AST is the standard for D2D satellite connectivity
- Hundreds of millions, potentially billions of subscribers through the 60+ MNO partnerships with MANY more to come
- Extremely high margins ~90%

J-LEO proved $ASTS can beat Starlink head to head and every country on Earth has taken note

Sovereign satellite coverage is essential, and that’s the edge

In my opinion, $15B in annual revenue by 2030 is the base case. A 20x revenue multiple puts AST at a $300B market cap

The potential is massive, and the current catalysts are proving the concept

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

THE S&P 500 TRADES AT 25X EARNINGS

Here's a list of quality companies that are trading below that

🧵

1. $MSFT P/E 22.9

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

6: $MPC P/E 17.5

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

7: $BABA P/E 15.2

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

$ONDS THESIS

BULL CASE:

Management has raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $525 million showing massive YoY growth. This surge is from rapid acquisitions including Omnisys, Cyberhawk, and DZYNE.

Including all the recent acquisitions, Ondas is sitting on a massive $810 million backlog. The DZYNE purchase alone added $111m in immediate backlog as well as a $1.5B three year contract pipeline

Global defense spending is rapidly expanding and shifting towards autonomous defense systems, Ondas is becoming a full scale autonomous defense contractor to take advantage of this opportunity

Wall street consensus sits at a strong buy with an average 1 year price target around $17-$20 and institutional ownership has increased by roughly 12x in the past year from 18.2 million shares to over 214 million

Ondas approach: high risk high reward. THE POTENTIAL IS MASSIVE

BEAR CASE:

The main Ondas bear case comes from heavy dilution concerns and execution risk

The cost of rapid expansion comes at a price. Approximately 263.25 million shares were added this year representing a 101% increase. This hurt shareholders as the market cap increased but the value of your shares decreased.

Not only does dilution hurt in order to acquire companies, but buying multiple highly complex defense and drone tech companies in a single year creates heavy operational risks

Problems within the companies that Ondas recently acquired could also result in unexpected operational or financial issues postponing the path to profitability

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$ONDS is prioritizing speed over organic development aiming to build a comprehensive autonomous defense platform before competitors

The path to success is there, the potential is massive, now its up to management to execute

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

$ASTS

Sitting right on the 50wma

Volume is decreasing

Catalysts are improving by the day

I bought more

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

Just a quick reminder that $ONDS price targets are over a 2X

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

Source: https://t.co/IWGAJOc86e

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

$CRDO looks to of completed its impulse count in my opinion

I am very bullish on this name but some downside might be due

A strong confluence of all the moving averages and the 0.5 fib line up at $157 which is my target entry price

Although If the market reverses, this pullback could be over much sooner

NFA

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

WHAT IS GOING ON I THOUGHT $SNDK AND $MU CAN ONLY GO UP

[Wave 3 Trades @wave3trades]

$ASTS continues to drop on low volume

This often signals a temporary pullback rather than a continued downtrend

The catalysts are there and the pressure is building

I don't think this pullback lasts much longer...