WEARE Trading

We trade crypto with discipline • Daily setups, on-chain insights & trading psychology | Not financial advice

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

📌 My current $BTC plan

BTC is still holding above the key $62.5K support, but repeated rejection near $63.8K–$64K keeps the setup fragile.

If any 4H candle closes below $62.5K, I won’t chase the breakdown. I’ll wait for the next major demand zone around $60K–$60.5K and look for a cleaner reaction there.

For now, I’m mainly watching BTC and limiting altcoin exposure until the market confirms its next move.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

🚨 @Strategy only needs Bitcoin to grow 3.3% per year?

According to @saylor , Strategy’s “BTC Breakeven ARR” model suggests that if Bitcoin appreciates by more than 3.3% annually on average, the gains from its BTC holdings could be enough to cover $STRC dividends over the long term.

Even if BTC stops rising, Strategy estimates it could still sustain dividend payments for roughly 31 years.

That’s why Saylor argues that many people overestimate the future selling pressure from Strategy.

Still, this model depends on Bitcoin continuing to appreciate over time. If BTC stays flat or declines for years, the risk does not disappear.

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

One of the most misunderstood $MSTR metrics is BTC Breakeven ARR. If BTC appreciates faster than 3.3% over time, BTC capital gains can fund $STRC dividends indefinitely.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

My view on $SOL:

Last cycle, I bought Solana around $40 and sold near $122 for a solid profit.

Now I’m waiting for the right setup to enter again.

The difference this time is experience.

I’m more patient with entries, clearer on risk, and much better at knowing when to take profit.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

🔥 The crypto market paradox

@saylor sells 32 BTC 👉 Market dumps nearly 20%

Michael sells 120x more 👉 Bitcoin rebounds around 5%

A quick look back:

The @federalreserve starts cutting rates 👉 The market tops out and dumps after each meeting
The Fed raises rates 👉 The cycle bottoms, then trends higher over the long term anyway

We often trade the news.

But have we ever looked back and asked whether that approach actually matches how the market moves?

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

Plan for #BTC to run up to 63K–63.5K: done ✅

The bullish structure on #BTC is still holding nicely. That said, the 63K–63.5K area is a strong resistance zone, so I’d wait for a pullback before looking for long entries.

Key zones to watch:

61.3K–61.7K
60K–60.5K

You can look for longs on either #BTC or selected alts if the reaction around these zones looks clean.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@TheCryptoSquire Even if it was scripted, the important part is that $XRP made it into the script. That alone tells you it’s already in the policy conversation.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

Possible $BTC bear market endgame:

Panic sends BTC to $40K on fears that Strategy is about to get forced into selling.

Then @saylor steps in and reveals he already sold part of the $MSTR / BTC exposure through OTC, cleared the debt, removed the liquidation risk, and is now sitting on a massive balance sheet.

The market realizes the biggest “forced seller” narrative was already priced in.

No more Saylor liquidation overhang.

No more panic thesis.

Just a cleaner setup for the next BTC and MSTR bull run.

[Kalshi Crypto @Kalshi_Crypto]

BREAKING: Michael Saylor's 'Strategy' sells $225M worth of Bitcoin

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

We’re seeing the early signs of a real structural shift in global finance.

Tokenized stocks are now doing $8.35B in monthly transfer volume, while the broader tokenized RWA market is approaching $30B in assets.

In Q2, @solana processed a record $5.7B in tokenized stock spot volume, more than 2x its $2.69B from Q1.

Assets that can move globally without the friction of legacy rails.

#Tokenization is starting to move from an experiment into one of crypto’s strongest long-term investment themes.

The market isn’t just putting assets on-chain.

It’s rebuilding how assets move.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@cryptofergani This is usually the phase where everyone feels like a genius… until market reminds them they’re not.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@FIFAWorldCup just became the biggest crypto onboarding event nobody's talking about.
@Polymarket processed ~$6B in World Cup-related volume.

60% of those users? First time ever touching a crypto wallet.

First time setting up a wallet.
First time depositing onchain.
First time interacting with a prediction market.
No DeFi tutorials. No bridge guides. No farming strategies.

That's the unlock prediction markets have been waiting for.
Full picture:
— @Polymarket total volume: ~$11.7B
— @Kalshi total volume: ~$68.4B
— Kalshi May fees: ~$137.86M
— Polymarket May fees: ~$28.07M

Kalshi is quietly becoming one of the most profitable apps in crypto.
Without most crypto people even noticing.
Prediction markets don't need a bull market to grow.
They need a calendar.
$ALLO #Polymarket #Kalshi #OnchainAI #Web3

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@ChainHunter_2 alr bro

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

Claude Fable 5 is back online. What this means for AI x onchain builders

Claude Fable 5 went offline for 3 weeks due to US export controls. Back July 1. Credits start July 7.

Why this matters for AI x Web3 builders:

1/ On-chain AI agents that relied on Fable were essentially paused. Projects like @ritual_net and Bittensor subnets building on top of frontier models just got their pipeline back.

2/ The export control angle is not going away. This is a preview of what happens when AI infrastructure gets treated like defense tech. Every AI crypto project needs a regulatory moat.

3/ The credits-from-July-7 decision is interesting. @AnthropicAI held users' paid time while the model was down. That's accountability most Web2 SaaS doesn't do.

Frontier AI + on-chain compute is about to get very interesting.

#AIxWeb3 #Claude #Bittensor $TAO

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@Zackmarting0 dm me

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@DecencyDnc Pure sharing on X bro

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@LLuciano_BTC https://t.co/YK5Gd9ifz4

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

After the BTC ETF, the game changed completely. And most retail still hasn't noticed.
MM is no longer targeting small fish holding under $1M.
They're targeting institutions. Corporations. Sovereign funds.
So when Tom Lee's Bitmine or Saylor's Strategy publicly buys — then publicly sits in loss — stop calling it dumb money.

That's a media operation.
Public buy = herd effect = pressure on large funds to follow.
The "loss" is the narrative. It's designed to make CEOs and treasurers feel safe allocating.
And when old money finally moves in full, they won't chase tech stories.

The tech narrative already died as a market driver. AI killed it — once every project claims AI, none of them stand out.
What moves markets now: real revenue, institutional backing, and regulatory clarity.
Fundamentals are back. Just not the ones you're used to.
#BTC #ETH #CryptoAlpha

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

After the BTC ETF, the game changed completely. And most retail still hasn't noticed.
MM is no longer targeting small fish holding under $1M.
They're targeting institutions. Corporations. Sovereign funds.
So when Tom Lee's Bitmine or Saylor's Strategy publicly buys — then publicly sits in loss — stop calling it dumb money.

That's a media operation.
Public buy = herd effect = pressure on large funds to follow.
The "loss" is the narrative. It's designed to make CEOs and treasurers feel safe allocating.
And when old money finally moves in full, they won't chase tech stories.

The tech narrative already died as a market driver. AI killed it — once every project claims AI, none of them stand out.
What moves markets now: real revenue, institutional backing, and regulatory clarity.
Fundamentals are back. Just not the ones you're used to.
#BTC #ETH #CryptoAlpha

[Lucky @LLuciano_BTC]

Happy 4th of July America.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@APompliano The 4-year cycle was built for a market without ETFs, sovereign buyers, and on-chain AI agents. That market doesn't exist anymore.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@AshCrypto ETH lagging then catching up = rotation starting. Watch altseason timing from here.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

🔥 If you're looking for the next wave after Perp Dex, pay attention to this.

Binance has always led the trend .
They have the capital, the users, and the distribution to shift where money flows.

Remember Perp Dex?
Before Binance shipped @Aster_DEX — only @HyperliquidX was winning.
@dydxfoundation was first. But being first didn't save them.
The second Binance entered? Everyone started building Perp Dex.
@Lighter_xyz . @Backpack . @grvt_io . @StandX_Official

The same pattern is playing out right now.
Go look at what @cz_binance , @_RichardTeng , and @heyibinance have been posting lately.
👉 @binance is going all-in on Tokenized Stocks.

bStocks launched June 1. Hit $1B AUM in 30 days.
Richard Teng said it publicly: "Tokenization is nearing a major turning point."
This is not a hint. It's a roadmap.
Trend is friend. Money is where we go.
That's why I've been rotating capital into airdrop hunting across this sector.

Still mapping out the next names beyond @xStocksFi .
#TokenizedStocks #bStocks #xStocks #Web3 #CryptoAlpha #Binance #AIxWeb3

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@AshCrypto They sold the hardest asset on earth to defend one of the weakest currencies on earth.
Not Turkish problem => This is a fiat problem.

[WEARE Trading @wearetrading]

@TheCryptoSquire The Clarity Act passing is exactly why @binance moved into tokenized stocks NOW. Green light move move