Bill Morris

Meteorologist from the Midwest working in the energy sector. Lambda Chi Alpha - Miami University. MS degree - Purdue. All opinions expressed are my own.

[Super 70s Sports @Super70sSports]

When you’re talking about the greatest WWE managers, “The Mouth of the South” Jimmy Hart has to be one of the first names you think - hang on, being told that’s Paul McCartney.

[Shooter McGavin @ShooterMcGavin]

WNBA players when Caitlin Clark pulls up for a 3

[Bill Morris @weatherrod]

@TracesofTexas Egan is interviewed extensively in Ken Burn’s Dust Bowl documentary, if anyone is interested.

[Local 12/WKRC-TV @Local12]

Quick action by staff members at a local school saved the life of a teacher who suffered a heart attack while alone in his classroom.

Mike Sage collapsed during lunch and was found face down on the floor by a student: https://t.co/hR3Q4DFNjG

[Cincinnati 💔 @CincyProblems]

16 Years Ago Today... RIP Touchdown Jesus 🙌🔥 #NeverForget

[Matt Jones @KySportsRadio]

I-65 is shut down in Louisville for two months so two people used the opportunity to sit in the middle of the road and kiss

[POLITICO @politico]

A judge said the Trump administration can’t dismantle a weather research center. The damage may already be done. https://t.co/LiakIdTYBW

[Stars and Stripes @starsandstripes]

The last time Paul Roach and Mike Dowe had seen the Rev. Emil Kapaun, he was being taken away by prison guards during the Korean War.

Read more at: https://t.co/BAeN4aaApX

[Anthony Scaramucci @Scaramucci]

Trump is a symptom, not the disease.

If it wasn’t him it would be someone else with the same narcissistic, populist impulses — because the underlying conditions that created him haven’t changed.

The median home in the US is $430,000.

You need about $150,000 in income to cover the mortgage and have any discretionary money left.

The median salary is $84,000. That’s a $50,000 gap.

Fifty years ago 80% of Americans could afford the dream.

Today it’s out of reach for at least half the country.

When people feel the system is rigged against them and nobody in power is fixing it, they check out.

When they check out long enough, someone like Trump comes along and becomes the avatar for all that anger.

They adhere to him even when he’s doing the exact opposite of what he promised.

The idea that when Trump loses power in 2028 things revert to normal — that’s not going to happen.

The conditions that created him will still be there.

Until we fix those, we’re just waiting for the next one.

[Patrick De Haan @GasBuddyGuy]

17 years ago today, I joined GasBuddy. Hard to believe how fast it’s gone by tracking fuel markets, forecasting prices, and helping drivers navigate hurricanes and historic price spikes. Thanks for coming along for the ride. My goal remains the same: credible, non-hype analysis.

[Patrick De Haan @GasBuddyGuy]

unfortunately, X incentivizes really bad takes that create panic and fear, and ultimately these accounts get paid by sharing fake information not rooted in reality, like this one. @nikitabier might be interested in reducing the incentive for payouts to such accounts

[MiamiOH News @MiamiOHNews]

At Miami’s Undergraduate Research Forum, some of the most surprising discoveries had nothing to do with data:
Among the more than 400 presenters, it wasn’t unusual to find students pursuing research outside their major
https://t.co/MFnoJJ1z1p
@miamiuniversity

[Miami University @miamiuniversity]

Miami University is proud to celebrate the 2026 recipients of the President’s Distinguished Service Award and the President’s Distinguished Student Scholar Award.

Join us in congratulating them on this recognition.

#MiamiOH #LoveAndHonor

🔗: https://t.co/2GIUNhKFF3

[The Bulwark @BulwarkOnline]

Rep. Jeffries: "This so-called White House press secretary wants to lecture America and lecture us about civility. Get lost. Clean up your own house before you have anything to say to us about the language that we use."

[Miami Softball @MiamiOH_SB]

With our win against Central Michigan, we have officially clinched a spot in the MAC Tournament‼️

We’ll see you in Akron 👋🏼

#RiseUpRedHawks | 🥎🏆

[Edward-Isaac Dovere @IsaacDovere]

Warren, Bannon, Buttigieg and — at least as of a few years ago — Vance have agreed on this: A short, ultra-private antitrust lawyer plotting a war on tech companies & monopolies understands what Americans are demanding out of their government: https://t.co/gmv9A6qVdQ

[Abdul-Hakim Shabazz @AttyAbdul]

Gerrymandering is in the eye of the beholder…
until you’re the one holding the pen. In Indiana: “draw the maps or else.” In Virginia: “stop the gerrymander.” Same guy. Same week. Different script.

[Roger Edwards @SkyPixWeather]

-- About Recent SPC Forecast Performance --

The story below from NBC, and others on the less-than-2% outlook's tornado occurrences in KS, some of which also note the watchless tornadoes in Lower MI earlier this year, grossly oversimplify reality on the SPC forecast desk. They rely on a lot of idle speculation by people who haven't worked it and just don't know.

I've done SPC outlooks for decades, and as usual, will be brutally honest here. I know how it works there, from the inside. Read and learn. These insights don't lend themselves to 10-second attention spans nor quick sound bites. So this is long. Don't "TLDR" this post if you really care about actually learning how it works.

I'll put the bottom line here, near the top: Chances are there is ***no smoking gun***. That may not suit rage-baiting and click-baiting, but it's simply reality. That's the lede. Here's the rest...

Why no smoking gun? Far too much goes into a forecast to lay "blame" at any one factor. Like it or not, bad forecasts happen. They always have and always will. The aim is to reduce them over years, knowing that some events are so localized and/or extreme that both human and computer forecasts can't always nail them down. That's reality.

Until forecasters have extremely high-resolution sampling of the real atmosphere on scales storms form and operate (a few miles), even the most sophisticated models, both from traditional, physics-based and AI/statistical packages, will suffer sometimes with localized subtleties. Guess what's involved in forming a dryline storm here vs. somewhere else, amidst capping and modest broader left? You got it, friends, localized subtleties.

Yes, observational balloon data were missing and are, in bulk, important to models. Several scientific papers have shown this. *Maybe* that mattered here. Maybe it did not. Satellite-derived data matter too, and often more. How important was the lack of radiosondes to this case on this day? We don't know. As Alan Gerard alludes in his quote in the NBC story: that needs to be studied (using data-denial experiments). Until then, it's speculation to say how much that altered output at any of many levels of the atmosphere, from models that *variably* and *incompletely* influenced the outlook's positioning here.

*Numerous* models are examined every forecast cycle, especially early-arriving deterministic ones, ensembles, and newer/quickly computed AI packages that work off historic pattern recognition. How they may be affected by missing input data can vary from model to model and by data type. It can be such a dense black box that such effects are simply unknown to the forecasters. We're not, and cannot be, privy to every nook and cranny of their physics or statistical equations. Forecasters often notice and account for model biases, but where they come from can be quite complex and not just tied to one factor.

Between that and diagnostics that should precede models, it can be a veritable firehose of information, on deadline. With time, experience, on-shift mentorship of the leads and senior outlookers, and training, forecasters get better at situationally prioritizing what to drink from that firehose, when, how, and why. It is simply impossible to examine every possible diagnostic and prognostic detail from every data source.

Models are not all that go into a forecast. So do diagnostics: analyses of surface and upper-air data. The latter factually do have holes that may cause analysis to miss subtle features, but was that true here? We don't know yet. Other diagnostics, such as satellite and radar-indicated features, and intangibles such as reading, research, forecaster experience, and intuition with specific situations, also play a role.

It's even more speculative, and likely inaccurate, to say the lack of greater staffing affected the outlooks in these cases so far. [That isn't to say it can't, or won't, the rest of the season.] Though I recently retired, and was not a participant in these forecasts, I do know the principals involved. Everyone who did the outlooks for the KS day were working normal 8-hour shifts and not overtime. If "exhaustion" or "fatigue" were factors, it comes simply from the nature of rotating shift work, which is documented to be unhealthy mentally and physically, and a known carcinogen. Don't knock it 'til you've done it.

Yes, with two retirements last month, 5 openings (out of 10 positions or 50% vacant) are on the SPC outlook/mesoscale desk. That is unprecedented. They need to be permanently filled with full-time forecasters, stat! A lot of fill-in shifts by both managers (one of whom is an extremely sharp and highly experienced forecaster), and less-tenured forecasters, will be needed until those are filled. Results may vary.

That won't help, and yes, it might hurt! But it's premature and speculative to pin any single forecast performance so far, or the rest of this season, just on that. Again, forecasts sometimes simply miss. SPC has a well-earned reputation for, and internally motivated standard of, excellence. Excellence is not synonymous with perfection. Even I had some bad forecast decisions I'd like to have back. ;-)

Outlooks at SPC do not happen in a vacuum. One or two names may appear thereon, but it's a team forecast. Internal collaboration is required. External coordination with involved WFOs is strongly encouraged if major changes are being made to a previous outlook. Otherwise, there is not enough time to coordinate every part of every outlook line with every involved WFO, who themselves also are busy with other tasks. Every minute doing that is a minute not spent doing meteorology. So there must be a balance achieved on deadline.

I don't know for sure here, but it is possible that the 2% and 5% tornado lines that drove the "MRGL" and "SLGT" areas were suggested by, or compromised with, the WFOs serving eastern KS. Only they and the SPC forecasters on duty could verify either way.

And even everything I've typed is just a superficial, condensed summary of the outlook forecast process. I did thousands of them, both the graphics and long-form text discussions, so give me the benefit of the doubt here.

[Anthony Scaramucci @Scaramucci]

We get our ass kicked every 80 years. And here's why. 👇🏼

After 80 years the generational memory is gone. Everyone who lived through the last crisis is dead.

Revolution in 1776. 80 years later — the Civil War. 600,000 dead. We couldn't resolve the stain in the Constitution any other way.

80 years after that — the Great Depression leading into World War II.

We're 80 years out again.

The last World War II veterans are 100 years old.

The institutional memory is gone.

And instead of remembering why we came together — we're tearing each other apart.

This is the pattern. Every single time.

We get beaten badly enough that we look around and say — okay, this is screwed up. How do we fix it?

So here's what fixing it looks like:

-25 to 50 year plans.
-Bipartisan commitment.
-Fix K-12 education.
-Rebuild the infrastructure.
-Jobs training.
-Curb the deficit spending.

Not a four year political cycle. A generational commitment.

We've rebuilt ourselves every 80 years.

Time to do it again. @Newsweek

[Anthony Scaramucci @Scaramucci]

Let me set the record straight on Pam Bondi. 👇🏼

She did everything she thought was appropriate:

-went after his adversaries
-spoke to an audience of one
-redacted and delivered

It was never enough.

It is never enough for Donald Trump.

When Trump and I started fighting, Bill Maher told me — you were 7/8 for Trump.

He’s going to light you up tonight. You have to go 13/10.

That’s who we’re dealing with.

But I want to be fair to Pam Bondi because there’s a lot of disinformation floating around out there.

She did not last 37 Scaramucci’s.

She lasted 39.7.

That is a long time in a very difficult environment trying to satisfy a man who cannot be satisfied.

Thanks for having on the show last night @ChrisCuomo