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UFC Freedom 250 - June 14:
Ilia Topuria (-625) vs. Justin Gaethje (+410)
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Adding some valuable takes on who’s racing in the Kentucky Derby today.
1 - Renegade
As of now Renegade is the current favorite. Todd Pletcher is a really good trainer and probably knows what he needs to do with race position 1 but unfortunately, a winner has not come from this gate since 1986. More likely a second or third place horse.
6 - Commandment
Commandment is a Florida Derby winner and has run 1:43 seconds in a 1m 1/16. That’s not the fastest of the field, but the Florida Derby is a very important race. Brad Cox is a very good up-and-coming trainer, and I think he can win
8 - So Happy
So Happy is one of my favorite horses in the field so far. It has very fast for furlong workouts ranging from 47 to 48 seconds which shows I can get out of the gate really fast. At gate 8 you need early sprint speed to be a contender. It also has a very high winning percentage gate which historically 9.5% of Derby winners came from the gate. It won the Santa Anita Derby in 1:49 for a 1m 1/8 race, which is also a very important race.
18 - Further Ado
This horse has an outside gate, which in years past has been a pretty good gate to run out of. Last winner was Country House in 2019 with that being a controversial win but nonetheless it’s a win. It has won a G1 race which was its last start and that’s a good sign. Trainer Brad Cox and John Velasquez are well respected horse racing people.
Long Shot Potential:
Bob Baffert is back after being suspended for cheating and is just not the greatest person in my opinion. Aside from that he has had seven horses cross the line in first but Medina Spirit in 2021 failed the drug test and was disqualified. This led to him getting suspended. He certainly knows how to tackle this race, which is why I want to put both horses on this list. #4 and #14 are Baffert horses
4 - Litmus Test
This horse is not the favorite at all. It’s a great horse and is one a few races but it’s very inconsistent. It does have a very outstanding 1m 1/16 time of 1:42 from a G2 stakes race. It ran in the Arkansas Derby with a 7th place finish and it faded at the end never really had a chance throughout the race. One of the reasons I picked this horse is because it’s a Baffert horse and it’s 1m 1/16 PR.
12 - Chief Wallabe
Do I think this horse will win? No, but I think it’s a good 2nd to 4th place horse.
📷📷KENTUCKY DERBY ODDS📷📷
Renegade +450
So Happy +1400
Fulleffort +2500
Right To Party +4000
The big race happens this weekend!!
Who you got?
https://t.co/RTVg3YhlOL
Here are the estimated ring walk times for tomorrow’s fights 🥊
▫️Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani — 8:00 AM EST
▫️David Benavidez vs Gilberto Ramirez — 11:15 PM EST
Our UFC Picks Don’t Miss!
Jack Della Maddalena: Former champion looking to rebound after losing his belt to Islam Makhachev and reinsert himself into the title picture.
Carlos Prates: Red-hot contender riding a knockout streak, aiming for his first UFC title shot with a statement win.
This isn’t just a main event—it’s essentially a title eliminator.
UFC Fight Night - May 2:
• Jack Della Maddalena (+100) vs. Carlos Prates (-122)
• Pick of the Week: Jack Della Maddalena to win by KO. Bet $100, win $208!
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