WenLambo

$BTC permabull

[Killa @KillaXBT]

I believe the $BTC bottom is in.

After this leg upwards, we can expect a range to develop. This range would likely represent accumulation before expansion.

I did warn you that we were in the manipulation phase.

I guess people just chose not to believe it. Typical.

[Rand Group @randgroup]

Even Fidelity is pointing for a bounce over this confluence support. Time to run it back

[Killa @KillaXBT]

$BTC

We’re currently trading above the green 0.8 level after deviating below it.

Looking back at 2022, BTC also deviated below this level before reclaiming it. The key confirmation came when price flipped the 200DMA, and that’s when the bull market began.

Right now, the 200DMA sits around 69.5K.

So, literally, all we have to do is wait for BTC to flip and reclaim the blue 200DMA.

Once that happens, the market has officially flipped, and we’re in a bull market.

[Will @WClemente]

Technicals on weekly timeframe for BTC acting similar to late 2022.

Sell off into prior cycle all time highs with first oversold reading in years, bleeding into a bull divergence for price/momentum.

[Amiri King @AmiriKing]

Well this is awkward.

*taps sign*

[WenLambo @WenLambo]

@Highway_30

[Killa @KillaXBT]

It’s not complicated

Buy the blood... $BTC

I’ll be the only bull left standing if that’s what it takes.

I’ve been publicly short this entire 50% drop… and only now, after many months I am finally long.

Don't confuse me for a perma bull or a perma bear. I simply switch sides when the market tells me to.

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

JUST IN: WNBA Commissioner announces the league is meeting to review what a woman is, after multiple former NBA stars announced plans to join the league.

[Killa @KillaXBT]

I observed every single $BTC bear cycle.

Key update:

Practically every single cycle, we complete a 5-wave correction. We also tend to form two significant bear market highs. The first comes immediately after the initial top on the first major retrace. This is the complacency high, the point where the majority believe the bull market is back.

It's exactly why I took shorts from 96K down to 70K this cycle. Once that complacency high is established, price usually pushes to fresh lows as the macro correction continues.

We saw this in 2014, 2022, and again in 2026. In 2018, price didn't make a new low after the complacency bounce, but the overall structure remained very similar with multiple retests.

Shortly afterwards, we typically get a dead cat bounce. Across the previous cycles, this dead cat bounce establishes the base low. By this stage, most market participants have already been wrecked after buying into complacency, sentiment is at its worst, and everyone begins aggressively piling into shorts.

Delta flips, shorts get squeezed, and price rallies. At the end of the day, it's simply market psychology. After the dead cat base low is formed, the final bottom is usually established following the second major retest.

We saw this in 2015, 2018, and 2022. Fast forward to today, BTC has swept the dead cat base low and completed the same 5-wave corrective structure we've seen throughout previous cycles.

The only thing that makes me hesitate is the timing. Every previous bear market has lasted roughly 365 days before putting in the final bottom. If the low is already in this cycle, it would have formed in around 260 days, roughly 100 days earlier than every previous cycle.

That's why I'm still 50/50. Structure suggests the bottom is in. Timing suggests it isn't. Eventually, cycle lengths will change. The mistake is assuming they never will. We need to be prepared for that possibility.

We'll likely have our answer over the next couple of months, but it's worth pointing out that, from a structural perspective, every corrective wave has now been completed and the lows appear to have been established.

There is a very good chance we get some chop from here, but in terms of the low being in, I think it's more likely we form higher lows than make significant new lows.

[Sminston With 👁 @sminston_with]

Massive uptick in ISM Manufacturing PMI.

July = 55.6

I'm literally shaking.

[WenLambo @WenLambo]

@MatthewDun18561 @Basedgoymemes Smells better

[WenLambo @WenLambo]

@LeadingReport Yeah, duh…

[Killa @KillaXBT]

Words genuinely cannot describe how excited I am for the next 2 years.

Swing longs. Continuation longs. Range longs... $BTC

After spending the last 9 months positioned as a bear, I’m more than ready for the other side of the cycle.

An asset can only fall 99.9%.

We’re already seeing clear divergence in seller strength.

Sellers are gradually losing momentum. 2 months left.

[Killa @KillaXBT]

My current $BTC plan.

Above 80K Q1 2027.
Above 110K Q4 2027.

Bull market tops June-July 2028. (160-180K)

We are not hitting 100K this year. Next year is a different story. I expect us to trade above 100K in Q4 2027.

[DurdenBTC @DurdenBTC]

bitcoin's worst-case price six months out is higher than its price today.

the -2σ floor is $73,000. $BTC trades at ~$65,000 right now. that's +12%.

the bear case is a gain.. sit with that.

[Stockmoney Lizards @StockmoneyL]

I am using this simple indicator since 2020 to decide when to buy Bitcoin.

It has never failed me since.

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

$BTC: Report of the Century:

Today I am making one of the biggest announcements since I sold the top in September 2025. I am taking profit on every single crypto short. The Bitcoin short built between $115,000 and $125,000 is closed now with a gigantic gain. The $80,500 short, built between $79,000 and $82,000, is closed with another massive profit. The 100+ altcoin shorts I opened over the last several months are also closed, locking in another enormous win on top. The time of drinking tea is over. Congratulations to everyone who ignored the noise, trusted the framework and followed me from September 2025 until today.

Buying Bitcoin Spot:

For the first time since September 2025, I am buying Bitcoin spot again. Today, I entered at $64,000 for the absolute long term. For the first time since 9 Months I am buying Bitcoin for the long term! It is the beginning of a structured accumulation strategy, and I will execute it with the same discipline that allowed me to sell the top.

The Accumulation Strategy

Everyone who followed my strategy at $115,000–$125,000 remembers exactly how it worked. Every day Bitcoin traded inside that zone, I sold 10% of my spot position and added shorts. I did not care whether BTC was at $116,000, $120,000 or $124,000. Now I am doing the exact same thing in reverse. Every day Bitcoin remains between $54,000 and $64,000, I will buy 5% of my allocated capital in spot Bitcoin. Not 10% this time, but 5%, because I want to spread the accumulation across a wider period! If Bitcoin stays at $62,000, I buy. If it falls to $58,000, I buy. If it drops to $56,000, I buy. If it wicks into $54,000, I become more aggressive. If it returns to $64,000, I still buy. As long as Bitcoin remains inside this zone of 54-64k I am buying every day with 5% of my entire capital limited to 20 days.

The Technical Zone and Sentiment Shift

The legendary weekly MA200 sits in this region and is now being tested from below. Bitcoin already reached the lower section of this area last week. The top of the 2024 consolidation box also aligns with it. More importantly, sentiment has completely flipped. And I need to say, there are more bears, much more bears than bulls outside, and I dislike being one of many. The same people who were screaming for $150,000 at the top are now desperately waiting for $40,000. X is flooded with targets of $50,000, $45,000, $42,000 and $38,000. Retail is once again standing on one side of the boat, convinced the market owes them the perfect entry.

Front-Running the Herd

Since I announced the 50-40k region as my deeper bear-market target, most of crypto X has copied the same narrative. They copied everything, The market is not blind. The market knows retail is sitting in cash waiting below $50,000. They know people are terrified to buy at $64,000 because they have convinced themselves they will receive Bitcoin at $40,000. I am not going to stand behind the herd and beg the market for the same price as everyone else. I am front-running them. And the next that is following is also going to increase the price and so on, and the chain will be continued and those who are waiting for lower can stay there waiting forever.

Just because the four-year cycle worked at the top does not mean it will work at the bottom. Right now, everyone is waiting for September or October as if the market has already programmed the bottom into the calendar. Do you understand how insane that is? Ask anyone when they plan to buy and they will tell you September or October. Ask them why and they will repeat the same answer: because of the four-year cycle. That is the 1+1 herd behavior. What if the real cycle is not exactly four years? What if it is three years and nine or ten months? What if the market bottoms before the date the entire crowd is waiting for? Bulls are waiting, bears are waiting, and everyone is using the same indicator to justify the same timing. That alone shold cause panic to all waiting for the 4 years cycle to happen. Markets do not reward the masses for memorizing a calendar. I am betting against the four-year-cycle bottom. It is not happening. The bottom comes earlier.

The Structural Shift Around Bitcoin

The deeper reason for the change is not technical. It is structural. The environment around Bitcoin is shifting at a speed most people still do not understand. Regulatory clarity, tokenization infrastructure and institutional adoption are all moving forward at the same time, and the legal framework being built right now has the potential to unlock trillions of dollars of institutional capital that has been sitting on the sidelines or parked in the stock market waiting for certainty. Combine that with Coinbase's institutional buildout and BlackRock's fully operational ETF ecosystem, and we are no longer looking at the same Bitcoin market that existed six months ago. The CLARITY Act could go through on August 10 depending on the Senate, and that is not a small event. There is a reason the entire world is now racing to regulate crypto with full speed.

BlackRock, Vanguard, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and the New York Stock Exchange are already inside the DTCC live tokenization pilot. Microsoft shares, SPY, QQQ and US Treasuries are being tested as tokenized securities right now, with the official launch planned for October. Stocks, ETFs and Treasuries are moving on-chain, and the largest institutions in the world are adopting blockchain rails while retail is still debating whether the bear market is over. On top of that, Citadel just invested $400 million directly into https://t.co/R0aEy9w9Rx at a $20 billion valuation. The biggest players are deploying capital now, at scale, before the crowd understands what is happening. The infrastructure is being built directly in front of everyone, and I move my capital when the biggest capital in the world starts moving, not after

In Regards of the Stock Market Crash:

I am keeping every single SP500 short open. Bitcoin and the stock market are not the same trade, and they are not at the same point in their cycle. The crypto bear market began in October 2025 and continued for nine months while the stock market refused to fall. Bitcoin dropped 52% from 125k to 60k. In the same window the SP500 made new all-time highs. Crypto has already been repriced while stocks remain over valued. Therefore there is a very high probability that the Crypto Market will benefit from a Stock Market crash, as profits will move from over valued assets into under valued assets, and in times of Tokenization Hype, Stablecoin talk and the Clarity Act, these funds will very likely move into the Crypto Market.

One More Thing: I called 40-50k as the target and I was clear about it, I called 60k when Bitcoin was at 120k, and at 60k I said 40-50k is coming, But when the entire crowd on X starts waiting for the exact same level, the market almost never delivers it. Six months ago nobody was calling for sub-50k. Today every single account is. That is exactly when the target gets taken off the table. I now believe we will not see 40-50k at all this cycle. The setup that would have delivered that level is dissolving in front of the tokenization revolution, the CLARITY Act, and the biggest capital in the world moving in. Changing my view when the facts change is what a good trader should do. It is exactly why I made massive profits shorting from 120k, and it is why I am accumulating now while others are still waiting for a bottom that will not come the way they want it.

That is why I am buying now. The crowd has become aggressively bearish and the conditions required for a much deeper collapse are beginning to weaken in front of the regulatory and tokenization revolution. I would rather begin building a position before the crowd understands the shift than chase Bitcoin after confirmation at much higher prices. Buy earlier before the mass starts to understand.

[DurdenBTC @DurdenBTC]

everyone's still arguing about whether the $BTC bottom is in.

the last time these holder bands crossed, the argument was already over.. price just hadn't caught up yet.

your conviction must be yours and yours alone.

[Simply Bitcoin @SimplyBitcoin]

Uncanny.

Buy Bitcoin 500 days before the halving. Sell 500 days after. Repeat.

Tops landed 526 days after 2016, 545 after 2020, 535 after 2024. This cycle hit right on schedule.

Bitcoin is down over 50 percent from it since.

[Roberto Rios @peruvian_bull]

FINANCIAL GRAVITY:

If we divide the S&P 500 by the fed’s balance sheet, the line is basically flat since 2008.

The correlation coefficient between central bank quantitative easing and the price of stock indexes is nearly 1.

The money printed by the Fed, because of the structure of the Open Market Operations, is plugged directly into the Treasury markets, and from there, flows into equities and derivatives.

This has served to primarily enrich the asset owners, financial institutions, and wealthy elites who own the majority of the stock market anyways.

The entire rally has been an illusion, financed by the Fed and maintained through QE.