Warren Singer

[interactive investor (ii) @ii_couk]

Early in 2021, UK #inflation was running at less than 1%. Now it’s 9%, a 40-year high! Take a look at just how much prices have changed for everyday items such as butter and orange juice, to commodities like oil and gas: https://t.co/L66zt3Z58Y (capital at risk) @JamesEagle17

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

Black line of 2021 not looking good under age 65…

[stuart mcdonald @ActuaryByDay]

Fascinating mortality patterns by age in today’s CMI Mortality Monitor for Q3 2021. Whilst year-to-date death rates at older ages are back within the normal range, at ages below 65 they are even higher than last year!

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

An interesting re-classification. Something to do with universities? @HigherEdActuary https://t.co/1MJHkJd3Xg

[Data & Statistical Science for Health, LSHTM @LSHTM_datastats]

We are excited to announce that Sir David Spiegelhalter @d_spiegel will give a webinar "Communicating Statistics in the Time of Covid" (abstract below) on 18/11/2020 at 17:30- 19:30 hrs UK time.
Details on how to join will appear on our event page soon.

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

What are the risks of COVID? And what is meant by ‘the risks of COVID’? by @d_spiegel https://t.co/EIyo23tb3N

[John Lichfield @john_lichfield]

France is extremely accurate in its daily reporting of Covid-19 deaths (much more so than UK) judging by the latest “excess mortality” figures issued by the French statistics agency, INSEE. The figures also reveal that one third of France has scarcely been touched by C19.
1/10

[David Spiegelhalter @d_spiegel]

Glossy new @PHE_uk infographic says 16,271 COVID-19 deaths up to 22nd April in England https://t.co/TXjKrdms0k Far too low -already 12,516 on death certs by 10th April, 10 days beforehand https://t.co/dVcH1LSlqZ Just a tiny death-rate footnote. Is this trustworthy communication?

[Bill Gates @BillGates]

We don't yet have all the tools we need to stop the novel coronavirus and safely re-open the economy. But they are on the horizon. https://t.co/1q7YHRXokz

[COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group @COVID19actuary]

The Continuous Mortality Investigation (CMI) has published its analysis of today’s ONS release.

Key points:
- death rates 59% higher than the same week last year
- excess deaths 76% higher than COVID-19 deaths
- They estimate there have been 25,000 excess deaths in the UK!

[NEJM @NEJM]

“Covid-19 and the Stiff Upper Lip,” a new Perspective article by David Hunter, MB, BS, ScD, online now. #COVID19

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

More hopeful than "To avoid a rebound in transmission, these policies will need to be maintained until large stocks of vaccine are available to immunise the population – which could be 18 months or more." https://t.co/BDvoet6uXr

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

Hopeful reading...

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

A review of Ferguson et al., paper using the U.K. standard model for virus risks, w/@yaneerbaryam
Paper underestimates the benefits of a LOCKDOWN.
As we saw, SIR-type models fail to capture granularity and difference between individuals and AGGREGATES.

https://t.co/ivePmSbIq2

[Dr Nafeez Ahmed @NafeezAhmed]

Editor-in-chief of British medical journal The Lancet pulls rug out from the govt's claim that not moving to 'delay' in tackling #coronavirus is based on science. In the absence of govt action, all citizens and institutions should pursue social distancing https://t.co/xycGSlCpVt

[Silvia Stringhini @silviast9]

19/ Full post here, you can DeepL: https://t.co/zDC7de6wtI

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

New research suggests pensions advice websites create "Terror Management" bias for cash lump sums https://t.co/sRsP3k1dSC

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

"Meritocracy traps entire generations inside demeaning fears and inauthentic ambitions" "History does present one clear-cut case of an orderly recovery from concentrated inequality" Strong and compelling stuff... https://t.co/7J5VXNZvVT

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

Scottish life expectancy "decreased by about 0.1 years for both males and females between 2014-16 and 2015-17" per https://t.co/N41hJI5QRV

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

FRC consults on enhanced Ethical & Auditing Standards: "prohibited non-audit services shall mean services that involve playing any part in the management or
decision-making of the audited entity; valuations performed in connection
with actuarial services" https://t.co/dXcS84RBO3

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

Split ‘Big Four’ audit function from consultancy services, say MPs - News from Parliament - UK Parliament https://t.co/ouKuWJrpT4 via @UKParliament

[Warren Singer @WGSinger]

RPI/CPI wedge at 0.6% for Feb 2019 https://t.co/u7z0y5jsFP