#Bitcoin โ What's Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
๐ฉ TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown:
As mentioned in my latest Bitcoin update shared on August 20th, Bitcoin made an impressive breakout above several extremely important resistance levels, and I made my position very clear: in my opinion, the bear market is over. No โif this happens,โ no โmaybe if that breaks,โ no ten scenarios to later claim one of them was right. The bear market ended, Bitcoin entered what I call the Soft Bull Market, and congratulations to everyone who bought the fear with me over the last 30 days. So what comes next? There are only two numbers I care about right now: $71,000 as extremely strong support and $78,500 as the next major resistance.
Everything between these two numbers is noise for me. I am not ruling out a retest of the $71K region, but I am absolutely not betting on it either. I already accumulated what I wanted to accumulate, and now my job is simply to hold. Whether Bitcoin trades at $73K, $75K or gets rejected somewhere inside this range changes absolutely nothing about my strategy. In my opinion, $71K is the lowest meaningful region Bitcoin could revisit before continuing higher, while a breakout above $78,500 opens the road toward approximately $82K. Once $82K breaks with strength, the Soft Bull Market turns into a full bull market escalation.
The reaction around $60K also confirmed something extremely important: there is serious capital waiting to enter this market. Bulls showed that they are ready to deploy size when fear appears, while everyone waiting for $50K, $40K or some magical four-year-cycle bottom was left watching the market move without them. And personally, I doubt the market will now be generous enough to give the majority another clean opportunity below $71K. This is how markets work: when everybody is waiting for the same entry, the market usually refuses to serve it.
There is also something I want to explain because I keep reading that โRSI is overbought,โ and many clearly do not understand what they are talking about. On the weekly timeframe RSI remains in a neutral region, and the same applies to the monthly timeframe. These are the major timeframes we watch when discussing a macro trend. The daily RSI matters for short-term movements and should absolutely be watched, but I do not consider it a major risk at the current price area.
A huge part of this move happened because shorts were forced to close rather than because the market suddenly became overloaded with new leveraged longs or gigantic spot purchases. Bears became buyers against their will. In other words, the strength of this move makes the daily RSI look hotter than the underlying market positioning really is. And we have seen this exact psychology before. In 2023 Bitcoin went up from around $16K to $25K, an increase of approximately 56%. Eventually RSI reached extreme levels and Bitcoin corrected roughly 22% from $25K toward $19K. Fear and Greed reached extreme fear levels and many holders who survived the entire bear market suddenly panic sold because they believed another disaster was beginning. And guess what happened few days after that bearish trap? Bitcoin escalated from approximately $19K to $30K, another move of almost 60%. This is why history is our friend. Not because the exact candles repeat, but because human psychology repeats forever: fear, disbelief, short squeeze, correction, panic, capitulation and then expansion. Different cycle but the same humans and they will not change.
My plan therefore remains ridiculously simple: I hold the assets I accumulated while others were afraid, especially my Galactic Three: Ethereum, Circle and Coinbase. My BTC/ETH allocation remains 60% ETH and 40% BTC, and this is the first cycle in my entire trading history where Ethereum has a larger allocation than Bitcoin. Usually I always invested significantly more into Bitcoin, but this cycle I am making the larger bet on ETH.
Since my entries I have shared in the Premium Membership in full detail:
BTC is up +26%
ETH is up +33%
CRCL is up +50%
COIN is up +15%
These are not assets I discovered after they pumped; these are the assets I positioned into while fear dominated the market, and the Galactic Three Report is a big proof that I saw THIS exactly coming. I strongly recommend everyone to read my Galactic Three Report pinned on my profile because what is happening in front of us is much bigger than one Bitcoin breakout. Tokenization, stablecoins, on-chain settlement, institutional adoption and the infrastructure of global finance are changing in front of our eyes.
The goal is to position before the mass understands what is happening. For Bitcoin my map is now brutally simple: $71K is support, $78.5K is resistance that Bitcoin will manage to break-out above, and $82K is the start of the bull market escalation. Everything between $71K and $78.5K is noise. Now I hold. The bears had their market. Now the bulls are taking control.
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Most of them act as if they saw it coming
Even worse, denying that they been bearish
Denying that playing it on the both sides
None gave CLEAR buying signals at 60k
Most either started to buy from 80k
And others lie and never boughtโฆ
And yet they claim to have told you..
$BTC: The four-year cycle bears believed the market will bottom in exactly 47 days. They even marked the date in their calendars, waiting for the market to deliver their perfect bottom on schedule. One minute of silence for these incompetent peasants
Twenty days ago I published the GALACTIC THREE
THE GALACTIC THREE WENT UP SO FAR:
$CRCL +47%
$COIN +22%
$ETH +28%
Millionaires are born in https://t.co/NTuykQp0RV
$BTC: This is where we at right now:
Many are looking for a justification, many are behaving like they called this pump, and the fact it was the largest liquidation event for bears in history, and yet everyone behaves as if they have not been affected. Lets pray for those souls, may they never run out of funds. Congratulations to everyone who accumulated with me in recent weeks. Congratulations to everyone who closed all their shorts from $120K with me last month at $60K, realized gigantic profits, and started buying.
Bitcoin has crushed one resistance after another, and to be more precise, BTC crushed 4โ5 entire bear market resistance zones within one day. Thatโs impressive, thatโs remarkable. Among them, as I predicted, were the Bear Market Resistance Bands, which have been crushed entirely as well, silencing those who believed in this outdated indicator. And to bring it straight to the point, there are only two resistance zones in front of us before we can fully confirm that the bull market has started. Yet I already consider the bear market over, and we are now in the early stage of the bull market. To be even more precise, we are in a soft bull market right now, and this is the moment when the market moves from a bear market into a bull market. And to bring things even more to detail: Read the Galactic Three Report in order to understand where the market is moving right now, and that we are in front of a Crypto Super Bull Market that includes the adoption of the current financial system. I cant repeat my words more often: Read the report and its pinned at my profile.
There are only two numbers we need to focus on entirely and ignore the pure noise that is coming: the $71,500 area is an extremely strong resistance area, and this needs to be flipped. Iโm confident it will happen. The only question is whether it will flip during the current run or in the coming weeks. And by โflip,โ I mean either trading significantly higher than $71,500 or seeing a weekly close above it. The second important resistance zone is the $78,000 area, and the same applies to it as well. And the third resistance is at 82k area, and once this is flipped, the road for the Bull Market is finally open! I am confident we will reach those targets in the coming weeks, and I wont be surprised to see these targets coming faster than usual and the last two days showed us why. I understand many failed to accumulate in time. Many failed to buy because they trusted the four-year cycle. Others told me the market would give back the July gains in August, and others spammed my replies with the Bear Market Resistance Bands. I educated them once again on a better way, and most of the premium content can be found exclusively in Premium: https://t.co/fHOsNokHaL
This is no financial advice but educational content only.
$BTC:
No change from last Weeks Sunday Report
The Old Man Punched perfectly at $65,400
I have placed spot buy orders at $61,500 area
Everything between 54-64k is my buy region!
For the past 3 years, Iโve been sharing my Sunday Reports non-stop. The quality of my work is for you to judge, but I believe these reports offer something outstanding and unique that you wonโt find anywhere else.
For 3 years, Sunday Reports have averaged around 2,000 likes. If that average doesnโt increase to at least 4,000 over the coming weeks, I will make the Sunday Report premium content with paid access only.
You can read it for free, but in return, Iโm asking you to simply leave a like. Your like supports my work and, more importantly, helps the algorithm push the report to more people. If the support isnโt there, the Sunday Report will fully move to Premium, and if you witnessed, most of content is currently premium only, and my posts decreased significantly on X, as most goes to the paid content only
#Bitcoin โ What's Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
๐ฉ TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown:
The Old Man's Punch: This week is very important so we can finally understand if the old man's punch will hit or fail, and each result leads to two great results, and let me explain further. Bitcoin is right now trading at the 65,200 area, and the area of 65,400 is a very interesting one, and it's just $200 away from the current levels, because it is a significant resistance zone where a lot of selling happened in the recent weeks. So what do I mean, and in avoidance of any misunderstandings: it does not mean that if we see a candle, a wick or something even above 65,400, it does not matter much, as you can see in the recent weeks we broke out above it several times but each time it was a fakeout as the chart shows clearly. The Green line is at $65,400, this is the Green Line. In case we can break out, we can have a party later on! A breakout would mean that the second, very strong resistance in this bear market was broken, and there are 2-3 more key resistance zones ahead at 77-78k and 83k. So it basically means: if we break out above 65,400 and can see several weekly closes above, the doors for 77-78k will be open.
I Am Positioned, Not Waiting: And no matter what the chart says or giving a confirmation or not, I know many people that like to watch and wait for confirmations. And how many times you had your confirmations, and your buy signals started to flash green, and it was always way too late? That's not my style of playing. Regarding that, I am positioned and I said many times I have prepared my buying plan between 64-54k. All my purchases are shared in real time in Premium. Every single purchase, every single DCA I do, is shared in real time in Premium, and for that reason I am not able to disclose my exact entries publicly. But the accumulation has started between 54-64k and I am looking forward to accumulating more of BTC, ETH, and some altcoins that will be shared in Premium only. Join Premium here: https://t.co/iKJBbnBHBI
The Fear Has Switched Sides: The biggest fear right now is on the side of stablecoin holders. The fear of missing out is bigger than the fear of a new big crash! The more people realize that, the faster and more aggressive the accumulation goes, and the higher the prices continue to rise. No one wants to hold stablecoins and lose vs BTC when it goes up. So the risk is clearly sitting on one side right now: the greedy ones who bet on one last leg down, taking the risk of missing out on buying early, vs those who take the risk of one last leg down but certainly know things will go in their favor in the next months. One side is fighting for a few percent of a better entry. The other side is positioned for the entire next cycle. Choose which risk you want to carry.
The 2024 Box Is Doing Exactly What I Said It Would: And let me remind everyone of something I wrote long before anyone was thinking about it. Back in 2024, when Bitcoin spent the entire year inside the box between 58k and 74k, I said repeatedly that this box had three main purposes, and the most important one was the drawing of future reference lines for the next bear market of 2026, I even gave the exact year back then. I said many times that the 2024 box would play a key role again during the 2026 bear market, in the same price areas. And look where we are: Bitcoin is forming its bottom exactly inside the 2024 box, exactly in the price region I marked two years in advance. The current sideways region, the fakeouts at 65,400, the accumulation zone between 64-54k, all of it is playing out inside the structure I called in 2024.The same box that built the 2024 accumulation is now building the 2026 bottom formation.
What Happens If We Get Rejected? So what happens if we get rejected once again at the current level of the Green Line? Getting rejected at the current levels, and I believe that BTC will aim for the 61,500 area very quickly, and there is continued potential down to 54k, and this is why it's important to watch the current zone, and to understand that bottoms don't form within days or weeks. Sometimes it even takes multiple months to have a bottom formation completed, but anyone without patience will not understand. And everyone who knows my strategy already understood that my buying order is between 54-64k and this is the bottom formation range.
Calendar This Week: CPI inflation Wednesday August 12 is the key event of the week, the first major inflation print since Warsh's hawkish FOMC and the weak jobs report. With the market pricing hike risk instead of cuts, any upside surprise in CPI pressures the markets. PPI follows Thursday August 13. No FOMC until September 16, so the market trades these prints without Fed guidance in between.
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THIS IS NO FINANCIAL ADVICE BUT EDUCATIONAL CONTENT ONLY.
Next to the Clarity act, there is nothing more important than the alliance of BlackRock, CoinBase, Circle and ETH. My biggest bets of this cycle are on $ETH, $CIRCLE and $COIN. The reasons are in the โGalactic Threeโ report I have shared few days ago. Itโs coming!
$BTC: I dont like repeating words
So this old man will give all the answers
If the Old man's punch fails, Bulls are Back!
If he hits, 64-54k remains my buy zone!
#Bitcoin โ What's Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
๐ฉ TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: Let's have a look at the chart together and see where the market stands, what the market expects, and what might happen next. And as always, the golden rule applies: the mass is wrong. For now we can fairly agree that we have three camps of people. Most people are saying that BTC will bottom between 40-50k in September-October. The second camp are the people that say the bottom was already in, and the third camp are the people that say the bottom will be between 28-33k. The largest supported opinion is the one that the bottom will be 40-50k, and thats what the mass is thinking. And here is the important part: I called 40-50k back at 120k at the top in October 2025, when nobody wanted to hear it and everyone was calling for new ATHs. The mass laughed at those targets back then, and now the same mass has adopted them as their own. I just recently changed my final target: instead of 40-50k, I now consider the current range down to 54k as the very interesting zone, and since my announcement I am buying BTC and ETH with 5% batches inside my 54-64k range. And here is the point everyone needs to understand: when the entire market agrees on the same bottom target in the same month, that target loses its power. The bottom the mass is waiting for is the bottom the market will not deliver in the way they expect. They are trading my old call. I have already moved on. And to give the best example: They are now believing in the four years cycle, but called it a disgrace at the top of 120k, so if they believe in the four years cycle, why did they not believe when the market hit 120k at the exact four years cycle peak, why are they cherry picking their cycle lows , and the answer can be found in their greed.
We Are Still in a Bear Market, and That Is Exactly Why I Am Buying. Bitcoin is not in a bull market. Bitcoin is in a bear market, and this is exactly the reason why I am buying. It is understandable that a fool sees only two states: bull market or bear market. It's the same fool who rushes into an intersection the moment the traffic light turns yellow, without looking left or right, simply because it was red a second ago and assumes green must come next. Only a fool enters an intersection on yellow without understanding what comes next. Markets work exactly the same way. They are not simply "bull" or "bear," especially during major tops and bottoms. The transition is where the biggest opportunities are created, yet it is also where the majority becomes the most confused.
When I say I anticipate the end of the bear market, that does not mean we are already in a bull market. It means I am accumulating during the bear market because I believe its final phase is approaching. That is exactly where the highest risk-adjusted returns have always been made. The greatest investments are made in bear markets, not after everyone agrees a bull market has already begun. So let me make this perfectly clear: we are still in a bear market. I have never claimed otherwise. The difference is that I am buying before the crowd recognizes the transition. Those who can only think in black and white fail to understand that accumulation happens before confirmation. By the time the market officially becomes a bull market in the eyes of the public, the biggest opportunity has already passed. I am actively accumulating Bitcoin, and my purchases are shared in real time in Premium. Every single purchase, every single DCA I do, is shared in real time in Premium, and for that reason I am not able to disclose my exact entries publicly. But the accumulation has started, and I am looking forward to accumulating more of BTC, ETH, and some altcoins that will be shared in Premium only. Join Premium here: https://t.co/iKJBbnCfrg
The MA200 Weekly: History Keeps Proving the Point
Bitcoin has lost its MA200 weekly once again on the weekly time frame, and that is not an issue at all. We all know that in history Bitcoin lost the MA200 weekly several times. In fact, every single time BTC traded below the MA200 weekly, it was a great buying opportunity, and history is proving my words. Look at the chart: the Buying Range sits exactly where price is trading right now, directly at and below the MA200 weekly, with the bottom formation building in front of us. This is not the zone where you panic. This is the zone where my positions are built.
Saylor Wants to Sell Where I Am Buying
And now to the most interesting news of the week. Saylor is now considering selling $5 billion worth of Bitcoin, at a price point where I started my recent accumulation. Read that again. The man who said he would never sell, who laughed at every of my warnings, who kept buying at 100k, 110k, 120k with leverage on top, is now considering selling $5 billion at the bottom of the cycle, in the exact zone where I am slowly and carefully buying since days. I warned about Saylor publicly at the top. I told him to take profits at 115-125k. He refused, he mocked the idea of ever selling, and now his structure is forcing his hand at 60k instead of 120k. This is what happens when you have no plan: the market makes the plan for you, and the market's plan is always worse than the one you refused to make yourself. If Saylor's $5 billion hits the market inside my zone, I welcome it. Forced selling from a trapped whale is exactly the kind of liquidity event that marks accumulation zones. I am planning to buy anything between 54-64k as announced, and if Saylor's supply gives us deeper prices inside that range, my average entry only gets better.
The Setup Going Into October
The chart marks the path: bottom formation building through the coming weeks, the Buying Range between 54-64k active. This aligns with everything I have laid out since the pivot. The mass waits for 40-50k in September-October. I accumulate 54-64k now.
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#Bitcoin โ What's Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
๐ฉ TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown:
This is a small Sunday report and should give you more understanding of my point of view rather than an actual BTC analysis, it tells you why I am buying. Everyone Wants to Time the Exact Bottom. Many are talking about the strength in July and they mention it due to the midterms, and many, or let's say most, are arguing that in August and September the market will see a stronger correction to new lows. Some are speaking about 44k, others about 48k, and every single one of them wants to time the exact bottom. This is exactly the mistake I keep warning about. While they debate numbers, I consider the range of 64-54k as a great entry region for DCA. It is a range of 15%, and that is great. I will keep repeating it as many times as needed: I am actively accumulating Bitcoin, and my purchases are shared in real time in Premium. Every single purchase, every single DCA I do, is shared in real time in Premium, and for that reason I am not able to disclose my exact entries publicly. But the accumulation has started, and I am looking forward to accumulating more of BTC, ETH, and some altcoins that will be shared in Premium only. Join Premium here: https://t.co/oP8wCPuO9J
Look at the chart. The Buy Region between 54k and 64k is exactly where Bitcoin has been trading, and the MA200 weekly is running straight through the lower part of this zone. Bitcoin tested this region several times, and my argument is simple, and history can proof my point: Buying at , or close at the MA200 Weekly always proved to be profitable! This is the confluence I have been describing since the pivot announcement! So let me repeat, I am not buying daily, I am not buying at the current price, I am buying between 64-54k and each time I do so, the purchase is announced in real time in premium, and my goal is to have a solid average price of the next 1-2 months! This is a mid term accumulation game and we will see the results in 1-2 months!
I will be very straight with you:
Nobody can tell you where the exact Bitcoin bottom will be. Just as I did not claim to know the exact top, I identified the region where the top had to form. I started selling my assets and building my short position through DCA between 115,000 and 125,000. That was a range of roughly 9%. I did not need to catch the exact top, and while building shorts between 115-125k I had an average short entry of 119k! I needed to position myself inside the correct region, and that is exactly what I did. Now I am applying the same strategy in reverse. My accumulation range is between 64,000 and 54,000!
And let me make one thing clear: if Bitcoin bottoms around 54,000 and my long-term average ends up around 58,000, That is a phenomenal entry. People who constantly wait for the exact bottom usually end up buying much higher, or not buying at all. I am not here to gamble on one perfect number. I am here to dominate the range, build a powerful average entry, and position myself before the majority realizes the bottom is already behind us. Everyone who is ignoring this will lose.
Calendar This Week
FOMC meeting on Wednesday! Market prices a 65% chance of no change and a 35% chance of a rate HIKE. Think about that: the year started with everyone expecting cuts, now a third of the market bets on a hike, and September hike odds are above 80%. So the market is now really cautious and starts to price in at least 1 - 2 hikes! This is the reason why the Stock Market is currently slow, and Wedneday will give great insights on what the FED really thinks
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$ETH: For the first time ever, I'm making Ethereum a serious part of my portfolio. In previous cycles, only around 10% of my BTC allocation went into ETH. Now I'm raising that to 20%! For every $4 USD that I invest into Bitcoin, $1 goes into ETH
$BTC โ What's Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
๐ฉ TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown:
Everyone and I mean literally everyone I personally know has told me over the last three or four weeks, and especially over the last two weeks, that they want to buy in September or October. That alone is already very dangerous. When you ask them why, they all give the same answer: โBecause of the four-year cycle.โ And I honestly ask myself how long some of these people have even been in the market. The four-year cycle also worked almost perfectly at the top, but nobody talked about it then. That is the difference. At $120,000, nobody wanted to talk about the four-year cycle. In fact, people hated it. They said, โIt does not exist. It does not exist,โ because they were greedy and wanted prices to keep going higher.
Now the same people are greedy again, just in the opposite direction. They believe the market is going to serve them the exact bottom on a silver platter. โHere is the bottom. It will come around September or October. The exact price will be this or that.โ That is genuinely what people believe. The problem is not the four-year cycle itself. The problem is the number of people who believe in the exact same outcome. The more people believe it, the less realistic it becomes. I honestly believe we will not see this traditional four-year-cycle bottom
The next question is: what do we actually see instead?
At the moment, I do not even see Bitcoin going below $50,000. There is an extreme amount of liquidity around $54,000, and that cannot be ignored. You have to keep that level in mind. From the current price down to $54,000 is around 15%. From a risk-reward perspective, even if we assume the worst-case scenario is a move into the $54,000 region, buying now and facing 15% downside is not much. It is nothing compared with the people who always and stupidly bought at $70,000, $80,000 or $90,000, and those who never understood the right moment to enter the market, and anyway, those people will always buy, and we cant count them among those who bought the bottom.
That is why it makes sense to begin accumulating now, step by step. Not all in. That is very important. I do not suddenly FOMO in and deploy everything. No. This will still take some time. I also believe the real move higher is not starting immediately. But there is one more thing people should not forget. They say the four-year cycle should end around October. Fine. Then let me ask you a counterquestion:
BlackRock, the New York Stock Exchange, the S&P, Nasdaq and the other major institutions are all involved in the DTCC, the new financial market infrastructure, and they want to move forward with the tokenization of stocks. BlackRock wants to launch the new platform in October. What does that mean?
It means investors WILL trade stocks 24 hours a day. That is enormous, and the market still has not fully understood it. Tokenization has mostly been treated like a beta phase until now. Platforms such as Hyperliquid and similar markets were effectively test environments. They wanted to see how much demand there was, how users would react and whether the infrastructure worked. The users had to be tested. The technology had to be tested. The market had to be tested. And it worked extremely well. Now it has been announced that this is expected to move forward in October. At the same time, there are rumors that the Clarity Act could pass in August. That would be enormous news.
If it passes, there is regulatory clarity. Institutions can enter the crypto market much more easily. I do not necessarily believe they will suddenly start buying the entire crypto market at scale, but I do believe they will move aggressively into tokenization, which could follow one or two months later. So lets return to my question:
Who benefits from tokenization?
First of all, the entire crypto market benefits. Even if institutions do not directly buy every cryptocurrency in large size, the narrative becomes bullish for crypto and Blockchain. The market starts to see blockchain as legitimate, institutional and part of the future financial system.
Then you will see prices move strongly in my opinion. I expect we will see BlackRock announcing partnerships, BlackRock doing something with Bitcoin, Trump making new statements, and suddenly the entire narrative becomes extremely bullish because everything fits together. Do you really believe BlackRock will aggressively push tokenization forward in October while, at the exact same time, the crypto market crashes, fear dominates and nobody wants anything to do with crypto? Do you think that ? I do not.
I believe we will see FOMO in October. I believe we will see large candles and strong momentum in the market. It may not necessarily be the same type of retail FOMO we have seen before, but there will be growing confidence and acceptance, while major bullish news enters the market at the same time. And this will be the time where the retails are sitting and doing what ? Exactly, these people will wait for their four years cycle! Let them wait for their cycle, because the market will front run that! In my opinion, that will create an extremely powerful bullish narrative.
That is why the fact that everyone now believes in the four-year-cycle bottom is a warning sign to me. It tells me the crowd may once again be completely wrong. I especially believe that many people sitting with buy orders below $50,000 will never get filled. That is why I am starting to accumulate now. I hope we still take the liquidity around $54,000, because that would give an even better entry. I have my orders ready, and I will continue buying gradually every day.
The Exact Strategy: How I Am Buying, How Much I Am Deploying, and the BTCโETH Ratio
Watching this chart closely. In my opinion, once Bitcoin reclaims and flips the green line on the weekly timeframe, the end of the bear market will be confirmed. This would not be a standalone signal. It would align with several other indicators I am monitoring, some of which I have already disclosed inside Premium, together with multiple technical, psychological and fundamental factors I am currently considering. Bitcoin has already reclaimed the weekly MA200. The next major step is to reclaim this green line and hold above it on the weekly close. Once that happens, my next major target becomes $80,000. For now, however, Bitcoin has faced a rejection at this level, while a large amount of liquidity remains around $54,000. That is why my strategy is structured around two completely separate buckets of capital. It is important to understand that I am not mixing these funds.
The first bucket consists entirely of realized profits from the Bitcoin short opened around $120,000 and the more than 100 altcoin shorts I held for approximately nine months. I deployed that entire bucket yesterday and bought Bitcoin at around $64,000. In other words, I converted the profits made during the bear market directly into a long-term Bitcoin position fully.
The second bucket is completely separate. This is capital that was never used in the short positions and remained on the sidelines. I am now deploying this cash gradually. My plan is to invest this second bucket on every day Bitcoin trades between $54,000 and $64,000. Five percent multiplied by 20 purchases equals 100%, meaning the entire amount would be deployed if Bitcoin remains inside this accumulation zone for approximately 20 buying days.
If Bitcoin trades at $64,000, I buy. If it trades at $60,000, I buy. If it falls to $58,000, I buy. If it reaches $54,000, I continue buying at a better price. However, if Bitcoin moves above $64,000, I stop adding the daily 5%. I will not chase the market outside the accumulation zone. After approximately one month, the objective is to hold one large Bitcoin position purchased at around $64,000 using the realized short profits, together with a second position accumulated gradually through disciplined daily purchases. Depending on how deeply Bitcoin trades inside the range, I expect my combined average entry to settle somewhere around the $60,000 region.
From a risk-to-reward perspective, I personally consider my average Bitcoin entry around $60,000 to be phenomenal for the long term. That level is below the previous 2021 all-time-high region, and thats an exceptional position. At the same time, I am following a fixed BTC-to-ETH allocation. For every four dollars I invest in Bitcoin, I invest one dollar in Ethereum. That means for every $100,000 deployed into BTC, I allocate $25,000 to ETH.
Bitcoin remains the dominant position, while Ethereum receives an allocation equal to 25% of every Bitcoin purchase. Ethereum is a separate topic that deserves its own full report, because I am extremely bullish on ETH for the next major market expansion. So the strategy is clear: one bucket of realized short profits has already been fully deployed into Bitcoin at approximately $64,000. The second bucket is being deployed gradually through daily 5% purchases whenever Bitcoin trades between $54,000 and $64,000. For every four dollars invested in BTC, one dollar is invested in ETH.
That is the strategy, my accumulation just started
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$BTC:
Bears have gone quiet as Bitcoin successfully reclaimed the weekly MA200 and is now approaching the Green Line. In my opinion, a confirmed breakout above the Green Line would open the path toward the $80,000 region as the next major target. The Green line is located at $66,200! The Indicator is a Monthly one, so a monthly close above the Green line is required, however several daily closes above it will be a great sign for me!
Even if Bitcoin gets rejected at the Green Line initially, I would not consider that a problem. In that scenario, I expect price to consolidate sideways between the Green and White Lines before eventually breaking above the Green Line.
Whether the breakout happens now or later, a confirmed move above the Green Line remains my primary expectation, and I have positioned myself accordingly! All my exact buy orders, trading strategies and ideas are shared in Premium only! What I post on X is maybe 5% of educational content that is shared on Premium! Join now: https://t.co/oP8wCPvlZh
$BTC: Report of the Century:
Today I am making one of the biggest announcements since I sold the top in September 2025. I am taking profit on every single crypto short. The Bitcoin short built between $115,000 and $125,000 is closed now with a gigantic gain. The $80,500 short, built between $79,000 and $82,000, is closed with another massive profit. The 100+ altcoin shorts I opened over the last several months are also closed, locking in another enormous win on top. The time of drinking tea is over. Congratulations to everyone who ignored the noise, trusted the framework and followed me from September 2025 until today.
Buying Bitcoin Spot:
For the first time since September 2025, I am buying Bitcoin spot again. Today, I entered at $64,000 for the absolute long term. For the first time since 9 Months I am buying Bitcoin for the long term! It is the beginning of a structured accumulation strategy, and I will execute it with the same discipline that allowed me to sell the top.
The Accumulation Strategy
Everyone who followed my strategy at $115,000โ$125,000 remembers exactly how it worked. Every day Bitcoin traded inside that zone, I sold 10% of my spot position and added shorts. I did not care whether BTC was at $116,000, $120,000 or $124,000. Now I am doing the exact same thing in reverse. Every day Bitcoin remains between $54,000 and $64,000, I will buy 5% of my allocated capital in spot Bitcoin. Not 10% this time, but 5%, because I want to spread the accumulation across a wider period! If Bitcoin stays at $62,000, I buy. If it falls to $58,000, I buy. If it drops to $56,000, I buy. If it wicks into $54,000, I become more aggressive. If it returns to $64,000, I still buy. As long as Bitcoin remains inside this zone of 54-64k I am buying every day with 5% of my entire capital limited to 20 days.
The Technical Zone and Sentiment Shift
The legendary weekly MA200 sits in this region and is now being tested from below. Bitcoin already reached the lower section of this area last week. The top of the 2024 consolidation box also aligns with it. More importantly, sentiment has completely flipped. And I need to say, there are more bears, much more bears than bulls outside, and I dislike being one of many. The same people who were screaming for $150,000 at the top are now desperately waiting for $40,000. X is flooded with targets of $50,000, $45,000, $42,000 and $38,000. Retail is once again standing on one side of the boat, convinced the market owes them the perfect entry.
Front-Running the Herd
Since I announced the 50-40k region as my deeper bear-market target, most of crypto X has copied the same narrative. They copied everything, The market is not blind. The market knows retail is sitting in cash waiting below $50,000. They know people are terrified to buy at $64,000 because they have convinced themselves they will receive Bitcoin at $40,000. I am not going to stand behind the herd and beg the market for the same price as everyone else. I am front-running them. And the next that is following is also going to increase the price and so on, and the chain will be continued and those who are waiting for lower can stay there waiting forever.
Just because the four-year cycle worked at the top does not mean it will work at the bottom. Right now, everyone is waiting for September or October as if the market has already programmed the bottom into the calendar. Do you understand how insane that is? Ask anyone when they plan to buy and they will tell you September or October. Ask them why and they will repeat the same answer: because of the four-year cycle. That is the 1+1 herd behavior. What if the real cycle is not exactly four years? What if it is three years and nine or ten months? What if the market bottoms before the date the entire crowd is waiting for? Bulls are waiting, bears are waiting, and everyone is using the same indicator to justify the same timing. That alone shold cause panic to all waiting for the 4 years cycle to happen. Markets do not reward the masses for memorizing a calendar. I am betting against the four-year-cycle bottom. It is not happening. The bottom comes earlier.
The Structural Shift Around Bitcoin
The deeper reason for the change is not technical. It is structural. The environment around Bitcoin is shifting at a speed most people still do not understand. Regulatory clarity, tokenization infrastructure and institutional adoption are all moving forward at the same time, and the legal framework being built right now has the potential to unlock trillions of dollars of institutional capital that has been sitting on the sidelines or parked in the stock market waiting for certainty. Combine that with Coinbase's institutional buildout and BlackRock's fully operational ETF ecosystem, and we are no longer looking at the same Bitcoin market that existed six months ago. The CLARITY Act could go through on August 10 depending on the Senate, and that is not a small event. There is a reason the entire world is now racing to regulate crypto with full speed.
BlackRock, Vanguard, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and the New York Stock Exchange are already inside the DTCC live tokenization pilot. Microsoft shares, SPY, QQQ and US Treasuries are being tested as tokenized securities right now, with the official launch planned for October. Stocks, ETFs and Treasuries are moving on-chain, and the largest institutions in the world are adopting blockchain rails while retail is still debating whether the bear market is over. On top of that, Citadel just invested $400 million directly into https://t.co/R0aEy9w9Rx at a $20 billion valuation. The biggest players are deploying capital now, at scale, before the crowd understands what is happening. The infrastructure is being built directly in front of everyone, and I move my capital when the biggest capital in the world starts moving, not after
In Regards of the Stock Market Crash:
I am keeping every single SP500 short open. Bitcoin and the stock market are not the same trade, and they are not at the same point in their cycle. The crypto bear market began in October 2025 and continued for nine months while the stock market refused to fall. Bitcoin dropped 52% from 125k to 60k. In the same window the SP500 made new all-time highs. Crypto has already been repriced while stocks remain over valued. Therefore there is a very high probability that the Crypto Market will benefit from a Stock Market crash, as profits will move from over valued assets into under valued assets, and in times of Tokenization Hype, Stablecoin talk and the Clarity Act, these funds will very likely move into the Crypto Market.
One More Thing: I called 40-50k as the target and I was clear about it, I called 60k when Bitcoin was at 120k, and at 60k I said 40-50k is coming, But when the entire crowd on X starts waiting for the exact same level, the market almost never delivers it. Six months ago nobody was calling for sub-50k. Today every single account is. That is exactly when the target gets taken off the table. I now believe we will not see 40-50k at all this cycle. The setup that would have delivered that level is dissolving in front of the tokenization revolution, the CLARITY Act, and the biggest capital in the world moving in. Changing my view when the facts change is what a good trader should do. It is exactly why I made massive profits shorting from 120k, and it is why I am accumulating now while others are still waiting for a bottom that will not come the way they want it.
That is why I am buying now. The crowd has become aggressively bearish and the conditions required for a much deeper collapse are beginning to weaken in front of the regulatory and tokenization revolution. I would rather begin building a position before the crowd understands the shift than chase Bitcoin after confirmation at much higher prices. Buy earlier before the mass starts to understand.
$BTC: No Sunday Report today as nothing changed from last weeks report. The only thing that changed is that more and more people are start calling for the bottom. Let the market prove them wrong soon
#Bitcoin โ What's Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
๐ฉ TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown:
THE FINAL TRAP: Today I want to speak about the most important development on the chart right now, and it is going to be very interesting. I am watching the MA200 weekly closely, and what we are seeing is what looks like a retest of the MA200 weekly. Hold on, this is exactly the moment where things get dangerous. Let me take you back to 2022 to explain what is loading right now. In 2022, Bitcoin lost the MA200 weekly and everyone believed it was over. Then something happened that trapped everyone. A few weeks later, Bitcoin regained the MA200 weekly, and not only that, BTC printed three weekly closes above it. Bitcoin pumped 10% above the MA200 weekly in 2022, and guess what happened with the narrative? Everyone thought the bottom was in. "Wow, MA200 weekly reclaimed, this is bullish, the bear is over." This is exactly what they said. And so many bought right above the MA200 weekly, believing it was the confirmation they needed. Just to get trapped again. This was the final trap, and this is what led directly to the capitulation event. The reclaim of the MA200 weekly in 2022 was not the bottom signal, it was the trap that preceded the final flush to 15-16k.
Why This Matters Right Now:
Look at where we are today. Bitcoin lost the MA200 weekly. And now BTC is doing exactly what happened in 2022. It is testing the MA200 weekly from below, and there is a very real possibility that we see the same repeat. So in my idea there if we see a weekly close above MA200 Weekly, it will be definitely a trap! And for this case I told two weeks ago at 60k that I am placing short orders at 68-69k in case market allows to visit. This is exactly the setup I have been warning about for the last two weeks when I spoke about the white and blue lines converging and the death cross loading. The MA200 weekly retest is the key ingredient of the final trap, and history is about to repeat with almost perfect timing.
The reason this trap works every single time is because retail cannot resist a reclaim of a major moving average. When Bitcoin closes above the MA200 weekly, every one will be bullish and start FOMO buying. And this is exactly why it works. Market makers need this trap to build the maximum amount of long liquidity before the final flush. Without this trap, the capitulation would not have enough fuel. The final trap is what generates the liquidity for the final flush. This is how bear markets always end, and this is how this one will end too.
Why This Aligns With the CBB
If the 2022 pattern repeats, the final flush after the trap lands us directly at the CBB, the 40-50k zone where the BlackRock ETF launched. My timeline of September-October 2026 for the bottom aligns perfectly with the timing of a MA200 weekly reclaim happening now, followed by a fake bullish move in July-August, followed by the final rejection and capitulation in September-October. Every piece of the puzzle continues to fit. (Visit our website: https://t.co/oP8wCPuO9J) The 2022 playbook, the death cross setup, the aSOPR realized losses, the MA200 weekly trap, and the CBB target all point to the same conclusion.
My Positioning
Both shorts remain fully open. The 120k big short and the 80,500 average are in deep profit. New short orders at 68-69k remain prepared in case the market allows another visit. The plan is for the macro move toward the CBB, but the sideways zone between 57-68k is not over yet. I would not bet on an upside move, but I would bet that if the market allows another visit to 68-69k, I add more into my shorts. I am not interested in adding below this zone. If the MA200 weekly reclaim scenario plays out and BTC pumps 10% above the line, this is the perfect zone for me to add aggressively.
Calendar This Week:
FOMC minutes from the June 16-17 meeting release Wednesday July 8 at 2:00 p.m. This is a major event because it was Warsh's first FOMC as Chair, and the meeting delivered a clear hawkish shift with the median federal funds forecast implying the potential for one rate HIKE before year-end 2026, not a cut. Exactly what I predicted in the June 14 Sunday report when I said the dovish pivot would not be delivered cleanly. The minutes will show how divided the Committee was and how strong the hawkish argument was internally. Any confirmation of the hawkish tone will give us more sell pressure. Initial jobless claims Thursday July 9. Consumer credit data also Wednesday July 8.]
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