@MikeZaccardi Skewed upside vs downside. Extending max downturn to 200%, a statistical impossibility unless the entire market cap is margin, makes the downturns seem much smaller.
BREAKING: The increase in the average U.S. gas prices over the last 7 days is now in the top 10 largest weekly increases ever recorded at 41.6c/gal, according to live GasBuddy data
@TheStalwart@Havelock_AI Howard Mark's latest memo, who to me tends to be one of the best financial writers, scored a 54%. Do we think traditional investing/finance notes will simply be lower?
The tech sector + the Mag 7 now makes up over 50% of the S&P 500's market cap.
Getting harder to have useful macro views unless you are taking views, explicit or implicit, on the state of the AI boom
@EricBalchunas "By all accounts, Bessent had a stellar run as the Soros CIO for years, but by the end of 2023, his hedge fund had lost almost 90 percent of its assets from the peak: Assets had fallen to $577 million after reaching a height of around $5 bil"
@bgurley a 10% equity stake is a 100% guaranteed bailout backed by the american taxpayer. Less risk of a bailout if they actually did a 10% stake in a well run company...