Fair, I get that it’s a framework and not a fixed timestamp.
My point was just that specific windows naturally become timing anchors for people, so I wanted to clarify what changed and what the current active thesis is.
At the end of the day nobody knows exactly when it really starts or ends. If the move gets reflexive, taking profits into strength is usually the cleanest way to not get trapped.
No disrespect, just keeping it precise.
BREAKING: The S&P 500 closes at its highest level on record, now up +14.5% since the March 30th bottom.
That's +$8.3 TRILLION in market cap in 24 trading days.
Risk Asset bedeutet nicht „darf man nicht anfassen“, sondern dass es vom Risikoappetit des Marktes abhängt.
S&P/Nasdaq sind Risk Assets. Krypto ist einfach höheres Beta. Deshalb ist die Frage interessant, ob Krypto gerade wirklich tot ist oder nur verzögert auf den Risk on Impuls reagiert.
S&P und Nasdaq sind Risk Assets. Genau darauf bezog ich mich.
Dass Krypto relativ zur Börse schwach ist, bestreite ich nicht. Aber das widerlegt den Punkt nicht es kann auch bedeuten, dass Krypto als höheres Beta noch hinterherhinkt und später rotiert.
Relative Schwäche ist ein Warnsignal, aber kein Beweis für ein starres Bärenmarkt Zeitmodell.
This is Max pain.
And it’s the outcome that most are unprepared for.
This kind of running correction has never happened before on Bitcoin, and we have a very large group of traders/investors that don’t understand how this works.
Almost everyone is looking at the 4 year cycle bear trend and moving as if it is guaranteed to happen again.
Everyone waiting for a sweep of the $60k low because that is what “always” happens and it must have to happen again.
What @i_am_jackis has charted here is the expanded flat correction I have been talking about for months.
It doesn’t play by the same rules as other corrections…
Which is what makes it so dangerous.
It’s a range, as pictured, with deviations above and below that traps both bulls and bears…
And reverses very hard from the top/bottom of those deviations once it’s ready.
This would be the most devastating outcome simply because it is the most unknown, and therefore, the most unprepared for.
And so far, it’s playing out exactly as expected.
Everyone is bullish here 🤡
People are max long 🤡
If that's the case, why is the majority of liquidity still to the upside?
Max pain here is not a new bottom but a new ATH.