Stephen Ward

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@adamcarolla I hate liars

[Katie Hopkins @KTHopkins]

This massive twatspangle - Gemma Loughran - agreed for another 18 illegals from Gaza to come into the UK because one family member made it here.

This is the Ahmed Multiplier. Send in an anchor, haul in the tribe.

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@liz_churchill10

[Jonathan Turley @Real_Turley]

Could Trey Gowdy be a good choice to replace Lindsey Graham?

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@NiohBerg Yep he ded. Just like Mitch McConnell

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@Sassafrass_84 He ded 🤷

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@AlexanderSoros Your father makes Dr. Mengele look like a normal person. Purely evil family.

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@JoshMandell6 @phongle @CJ_Bitcoin @AdamBLiv 12%?

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@RoyCooperNC Western NC says No to Roy

[Dave Freeman @GrassMoundMaker]

And Now a Message from Captain Obvious…

Who is benefiting most from the delay in the Iran peace process?

Not who caused it.

Not who is right.

Not who is wrong.

Who benefits?

The United States appears to be the largest strategic beneficiary of a prolonged but controlled period of uncertainty.

Europe has shifted away from Russian energy and toward alternative suppliers, including the United States. American LNG exports to Europe have surged. The U.S. has become a central energy supplier to allies that previously depended far more heavily on Russia.

At the same time, instability in the Persian Gulf and threats to the Strait of Hormuz place pressure not primarily on the United States, but on Asia—especially China, Japan, South Korea, and India, which depend heavily on energy flows through that region.

This creates an interesting incentive structure.

A rapid and durable Iran peace deal would reduce risk premiums, restore confidence in Persian Gulf energy flows, and potentially strengthen Iran’s position in global energy markets.

A prolonged delay, however, keeps uncertainty elevated and encourages the world to continue investing in alternative sources of energy.

If one ignores the politics and simply follows the incentives, a different picture emerges.

The beneficiaries of a world that becomes less dependent on the Persian Gulf include:

• The United States
• Canada
• Guyana
• Brazil
• Australia
• Potentially Venezuela, if political conditions eventually allow broader investment and production

Collectively, these countries possess enormous energy resources and are largely outside the traditional Southwest Asian energy chokepoint system.

In that context, the more interesting question may not be whether peace is delayed.

The more interesting question is whether the world is already beginning a transition toward a new fossil fuel reality.

For decades, global energy security revolved around the Persian Gulf.

Today, an alternative system is emerging:

North American production.

South American production.

Australian LNG.

Atlantic Basin shipping.

Expanded refining and export capacity along the U.S. Gulf Coast.

Viewed through that lens, the delay in the Iran peace process may be less important than the larger structural shift occurring underneath it.

Perhaps the real story is not the peace negotiations themselves.

Perhaps the real story is that the world is gradually building an energy system in which the Persian Gulf is no longer the singular center of gravity it once was.

If that is true, then the biggest winner is not necessarily the side that wins the next negotiation.

It is the side that benefits most from the transition.

May the good guys always win.

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@JohnCornyn @LeaderJohnThune

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@JohnCornyn

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@ecudraker @RoyCooperNC @WhatleyNC

[Leader John Thune @LeaderJohnThune]

Democrats have made it clear this year that for them, it’s always politics over policy.

Republicans will continue to do everything we can to keep our country and our communities secure.

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@RoyCooperNC @WhatleyNC Thanks for all the help in Western NC dipshit

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@ConstitustionX

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@iamcardib

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@LeaderJohnThune

[Stephen Ward @wwardss416]

@TeamCooperNC Except for Western NC