I’ve been building a market regime stack designed to read risk, macro pressure, cycle timing, and momentum together.
These charts show a 2020 play-by-play.
Risk OS moved defensive ahead of the worst of the breakdown.
Recession OS reflected the macro stress.
Swing Cycle OS used cycle timing to frame where a tradable low was becoming more probable.
Momentum OS showed the reset, then the rebuilding of upside pressure.
The goal is not to call every tick, but to improve positioning by identifying when the market backdrop is deteriorating, when a cycle low is becoming more likely, and when conditions are starting to improve again.
I’ve delayed bringing this to market because I keep refining the system.
At this point, I’m trying to gauge interest:
Would anyone be interested in a public release?
If there is real demand, I’ll shift more attention toward packaging and release while continuing to refine the models over time.
$SPX $DJI $DXY $BTC $ETH
@SamyazaSpeaks Dude this is absolute fire. Though yes it was made with existing arts, you breathed more life into it..
Make more of this, become the legend you were born to be. 🤌
A combined view on liquidity and the health of the economy could be revealing of the most recent $BTC cycle and why its gains were nerfed.
If the economy continues to strengthen, with liquidity inbound, the stage could be set for $BTC to roar once again.
Back to risk on ofc, but market chop is still the leading read.
More interestingly right now, BTC is presenting prime accumulation areas for a longer term view.
I am slowly applying leverage here, not allowing a liquidation level to be present yet. I plan to hold this open for at least a year.
@MmisterNobody Or... maybe more intentional cohesive designs evolved, to allow intentional colors of art pieces etc to have more impact. Just a thought...
Back to risk on ofc, but market chop is still the leading read.
More interestingly right now, BTC is presenting prime accumulation areas for a longer term view.
I am slowly applying leverage here, not allowing a liquidation level to be present yet. I plan to hold this open for at least a year.
and back to risk off. Something that's been a bit frustrating lately has been testing this in a choppy market. Working on resolving this. Once the market begins trending again, I suspect risk OS market states will show their true usefulness again. Looking forward to chop ending.
@Gymvibe_ I once did over 3,200 pushups in a month, my elbow became quickly fucked therafter, and i had to take time off.. you kinda cant do the same movements over and over just heads up kids
Guru's calling for recession may be trying to sell you a narrative as opposed to telling you how it is.
The leading recession indicator is recovering.
Both the coincident and lagging indicators are curving up.
There is no credit stress whatsoever.
Hard to watch them toot their horn, when I believe some also have these reads.
I think it is because they want you to buy their narratives - and buy their subscriptions.
Unethically being unable to adapt to changing markets, because it would destroy their narrative.
Todays update $SPX.
It reads to me as more chop/volatility. No clear direction here, but as recession risk is continuing to fade, with momentum resetting, and hightime moneyflow so strong 👉 likely trend resolution will resolve to the upside.