Liam Buckingham

Sport betting and Reality TV fanatic. ⚽️📺

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@Invisible_Lady1 They defied the stats and performed 5th, so only the second winner ever to have performed in the first half of the show.

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

Annual #BGT running order reminder...
15 out of 18 winners were one of the final three acts to perform!

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@win_tips Yeah, impressive to defy the running order. I was never backing them at single digit odds after how the Post Office choir flopped last year. Especially as YouTube views and Facebook likes were less than impressive

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

If I get nothing else correct at least I correctly called Matty closing the show! He's certainly had some good treatment from #BGT
Golden buzzer for his audition
Last to perform in his semi-final
Golden buzzer in the semi-final
Last to perfrom in the final

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

With that in mind I'd pencil in the choir or (perhaps more likely) Matty to close the show.
Do think one of the acts performing just before them could ultimately end up the winner though.

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

Bad result that. The choir fall in the very small group of #BGT winners that defied the running order.

Only 1 million votes cast sounds super low though, especially when it's 5 votes per person. Really shows BGTs drop off in viewers

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@win_tips Not so good as it turns out...

Never rated the choirs chances especially after seeing how early they were on tonight.

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@win_tips We'll see how it actually pans out shortly 😅

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@bankerwankr I'm just hoping that if the Post Office choir couldn't come close to winning last year, neither will Hawkstone 🤞

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

Very happy with the running order as a layer of Sonny and the Choir. Also sitting on Celestial/Ted and Ted/Celestial forecast at big odds which certainly looks in with a decent shot now #BGT

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@win_tips I think Celestial will win and did have them as my biggest green (alongside Ted and Rafferty heading into the final).
They were never going to close the show, so being the penultimate act is the perfect spot for them. They were also topping Facebook polls comfortably this week

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@superTV247 Oh I know. I just find it frustrating as a fan of magic acts that it's these ones that keep having success rather than ones that require a higher level of skill

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@BigDanESC I think it's largely views from the Philippines, but hard to know exactly to what extent they're inflating the viewing figures.
He's probably got a great chance as the only solo singer in the final though.

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

Current YouTube views and the duration of each act's semi-final performance on #BGT

Only 2 acts exceed 3 minutes last year. This time we've got 6 that exceed 4 minutes!

Will be interesting to see who gets given less time for the final 🤔

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@CherryAnalysts A PSG win in normal time to finish off an FA and European cups multiple would do nicely tonight

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

With that in mind I'd pencil in the choir or (perhaps more likely) Matty to close the show.
Do think one of the acts performing just before them could ultimately end up the winner though.

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

Performing last is statistically the best with 8 winners; however, we have seen it yield a 4th place finish in 3 of the last 4 series.
I believe this is due to longer acts (comedians, magicians, etc.) doing well whilst the show insists on closing with a short act (e.g. a singer)

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

With the YouTube views it's worth bearing in mind that some acts have had longer to amass views, and some will have more international appeal and a bump in views as a result.

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@itsnottobs @superTV247 "Technically" no one is a solo winner as two people always win the show. In practice the girl is each couple largely drives the votes and it's fair to say Amber, Jess, and Mimii all won irrespective of the guys they were with.

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@Reality_Tim @win_tips FWIW the semi-final golden buzzer acts performed 5th, 7th, 9th, 10th, and 11th last year. So definitely heavily skewed towards setting them up for success.

That said Ted, Rafferty, and the choir all got golden buzzers during the auditions.

[Liam Buckingham @xliam93]

@Reality_Tim @win_tips "producers' approval" feels key to me. I've got a short list of 4 (maybe 6) acts I think can win and will be largely waiting to see the running order on the night.
I think the winner will probably come from that 2nd or 3rd to last running order spot, with Matty closing the show