xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈

Football analytics. Building (@DumbleScoreLabs). Dixon-Coles models across many leagues. Data over narratives. 25% off first month: X25

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Nick Verschuren is a defensive force. He leads the Eredivisie with 51 blocked shots for FC Volendam. That's an incredible 2.22 per game. No one else comes close to his shot-blocking prowess. The data shows his immense impact. 🔥

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

16 Schüsse, davon 8 aufs Tor – das zeigt, wie sehr Union das Spiel kontrollierte. Nach dem frühen Rückstand durch Pereira Lage war die Reaktion stark, Ilics Ausgleich in der 52. Minute verdiente mehr. Pre-match xG von 1.44 zu 1.04 spiegelte die Erwartung wider. Am Ende war es ein Punkt, aber das Gefühl bleibt, dass ein Sieg drin gewesen wäre.

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

16 Schüsse, davon 8 aufs Tor – das zeigt, wie sehr Union das Spiel kontrollierte. Nach dem frühen Rückstand durch Pereira Lage war die Reaktion stark, Ilics Ausgleich in der 52. Minute verdiente mehr. Pre-match xG von 1.44 zu 1.04 spiegelte die Erwartung wider. Am Ende war es ein Punkt, aber das Gefühl bleibt, dass ein Sieg drin gewesen wäre.

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Che partenza! Mettere due gol di vantaggio dopo 16 minuti è stato decisivo. La gestione della partita è stata solida da lì in poi, mostrando grande maturità. Un piccolo brivido con il rigore nel finale, ma la vittoria non è mai stata in discussione. Tre punti importanti fuori casa, ottenuti con carattere.

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

West Ham v Leeds FA Cup. Model xG of 2.38-2.18 points to a high-scoring affair. Over 2.5 goals probability is 83%. The market lags significantly at just 49%. This 34% probability gap is an extreme misread. Goals are undervalued.

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@TrollFootball They shouldn't have put Salah in the goal.

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

¡Gran triunfo en casa! El gol de Satriano al 90' fue el broche de oro para un partido que se trabajó con inteligencia. Athletic tuvo el balón, sí, pero el Getafe controló el ritmo y las oportunidades clave. Vázquez puso el 1-0 y, aunque el xG pre-partido era bajo (0.87), la solidez defensiva y la puntería hicieron el resto. Tres puntos merecidos para seguir sumando.

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@FotMob A memorable first goal for Inter Miami at Nu Stadium. Our pre-match model had them generating 1.83 xG, so their two actual goals were well aligned. Austin's two goals significantly overperformed their 1.06 xG projection. That was a clinical finish from them.

[DumbleScore Labs @DumbleScoreLabs]

Amazing performance yesterday!

Check yesterday's stats in the link below ⬇️⬇️⬇️

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Atlético Madrid is severely undervalued against Barcelona. The market implies a 32% win probability for Atleti, but the numbers show 43%. This 11% gap is significant. With an xG of 1.91 vs 1.65, Atleti has the edge. Expect them to capitalize.

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@FotMob The model predicted a tightly contested match. Our pre-match xG for Freiburg was 1.72, with Bayern at 2.00. While the model suggested a narrow Bayern win, the actual 2-3 score shows both teams were clinical, especially Bayern exceeding expectations.

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@RealSociedad Dominio total desde el inicio. Con un 60% de posesión y 18 remates a puerta, la Real controló cada aspecto del juego. Jon Martín abrió el marcador y Brais Méndez lo cerró con el segundo. Un resultado merecido que reflejó la superioridad en el campo, asegurando los tres puntos.

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@BosniaNTBall https://t.co/B1rUOyCNwL

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Italy misses their third straight World Cup.

Welcome to the Swamp of Sadness.

Who's winning the World Cup? Wrong answers only.
I'll start: England. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

#Italy #WorldCup2026 #NeverendingStory

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Antonio Blanco of @Alaves has been dribbled past a league-high 48 times in La Liga this season. That's 2.09 times per game over 23 appearances. The data suggests opponents are consistently targeting his flank. Is he the weak link in their defense? 📉⚽️

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@FabrizioRomano https://t.co/xhFrvr655G

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Italy misses their third straight World Cup.

Welcome to the Swamp of Sadness.

Who's winning the World Cup? Wrong answers only.
I'll start: England. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

#Italy #WorldCup2026 #NeverendingStory

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@MUFCDarren_ https://t.co/xhFrvr655G

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Italy misses their third straight World Cup.

Welcome to the Swamp of Sadness.

Who's winning the World Cup? Wrong answers only.
I'll start: England. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

#Italy #WorldCup2026 #NeverendingStory

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@fortebet_rwanda arrogance

https://t.co/xhFrvr655G

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Italy misses their third straight World Cup.

Welcome to the Swamp of Sadness.

Who's winning the World Cup? Wrong answers only.
I'll start: England. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

#Italy #WorldCup2026 #NeverendingStory

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@TrollFootball https://t.co/xhFrvr655G

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Italy misses their third straight World Cup.

Welcome to the Swamp of Sadness.

Who's winning the World Cup? Wrong answers only.
I'll start: England. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

#Italy #WorldCup2026 #NeverendingStory

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@433 https://t.co/xhFrvr655G

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Italy misses their third straight World Cup.

Welcome to the Swamp of Sadness.

Who's winning the World Cup? Wrong answers only.
I'll start: England. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

#Italy #WorldCup2026 #NeverendingStory

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

@cIairefontaine https://t.co/xhFrvr655G

[xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈 @xpectedRoger]

Italy misses their third straight World Cup.

Welcome to the Swamp of Sadness.

Who's winning the World Cup? Wrong answers only.
I'll start: England. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

#Italy #WorldCup2026 #NeverendingStory