ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory

Trader. Tape reader. Liquidity hunter.
Posting setups before pump, lessons after dump.
BTC · perps · macro 📊
TG channel: @elyssapyetrading

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: S&P 500 reaches new all-time high of 7,400

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

$BTC weekly recap · May 4–8

Mon-Tue: Rally fueled by $1B+ ETF inflows
Wed: Peaked at $82.5K, ETF flows collapsed to $46M
Thu-Fri: Sellers took control under $82K, BTC fading to $79.6K

The clean read:
✅ Spot demand carried the early move
⚠️ ETF flows ran out of fuel by mid-week
🛑 Sellers now own the $81-82K zone

What matters next:
🟢 Reclaim $81.5-82.5K → rally resumes
🔴 Daily close < $79K → consolidation becomes pullback

Mixed-to-cautiously bullish. Not a fresh breakout.

The trade is patience. Wait for the level to break, then react.

NFA 🫡

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

@coingecko dogecoin:native

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

🚨 $BTC SETUP HEADS UP 🚨

Funding rate has been NEGATIVE for 67 straight days.
That's the longest streak in 10 years.

📊 WHAT IT MEANS:
Shorts are paying longs. Market positioning is one-sided.
Historically → contrarian long opportunity.

📈 THE EDGE:
Since 2020, BTC's average 30-day return when funding is negative = +11.5%
Vs overall average = +4.5%
2x outperformance.

⚠️ Important caveat:
Negative funding ≠ guaranteed pump.
It's a statistical edge, not a crystal ball.
Size right. Survive first.

GN family 🫡

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

@DonWedge crypto is starting

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

Add in persistent negative funding + sidelined liquidity and the setup gets even more interesting.

If rates ease while regulation finally becomes clearer, BTC doesn’t need crazy narratives — it just needs capital rotation back into risk.

Most people will wait for confirmation above ATHs.
The market usually reprices before that.

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

Negative funding + everyone watching 79K like it’s the edge of the cliff 👀

That’s usually when BTC does the opposite of consensus.

As long as 79K holds, this still looks more like a positioning shakeout than a trend breakdown.
67 days of negative funding means shorts are overcrowded already — any reclaim of 84.5K could get violent fast.
Market is trading headlines short-term, but structurally the fuel for a squeeze is still there.

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

6/
What I'm NOT doing:

❌ Going 10x leveraged
❌ Going all-in at one price
❌ Capitulating with the herd at the lows

The hardest trade is the one everyone hates.

Right now, EVERYONE hates BTC. Funding proves it.

But the data says: when the boat is this tilted, you don't jump off — you bet on it tipping back.

Not a guarantee. Just probabilities + risk management.

Patience > prediction.

NFA · DYOR 🫡

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

$BTC funding rate has been negative for 67 STRAIGHT DAYS.

That's a 10-year record.

CT is bearish af. Shorts are paying longs to hold positions.

History says this is exactly when smart money buys 👇

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

5/
Historical precedent (storytelling):
November 2022. FTX collapsed. Funding went historically negative.

Everyone called for sub-$10k.

BTC bottomed at $15,500.

Anyone who recognized the funding signal and bought the bottom captured 600%+ gains over the next 18 months.

Same setup. Different cycle.

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

📊 $TON LONG UPDATE

Status: OPEN · +10.50% in profit
Entry: $2.4480 ✅ (filled on the $2.35 wick)
Current: $2.7051
Target: $3.0000 (+22.5% from entry)
Stop: $2.1800

What happened:
$TON pumped to $2.90 → flushed all weak hands to $2.35 → bounced clean.
The flush WAS the entry. That's why we set the limit there.

Will move SL to BE ($2.45) once we tap $2.85.

GN family. Enjoying the cook 🫡

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

7/ What I'm doing:

❌ NOT chasing $2.80. The risk:reward is awful here.
✅ Bidding $2.40-2.50 limit on first cool-off
✅ SL below $2.20 (loses MA7 = trend cracked)
✅ Risk 1% account for 2-3R potential to $3+

If it sends without me, I miss it. I survive.
If it pulls back, I get the trade.

[Ted @TedPillows]

Abraxas Capital has deposited $108,130,000 in $BTC to Kraken now.

More selling❓

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

ethereum:native memecoin season back?

ethereum:0xf280b16ef293d8e534e370794ef26bf312694126 cracked $200M on Ethereum.
The Solana version of the same ticker? Topped at $11M.

ethereum:0x6982508145454ce325ddbe47a25d4ec3d2311933 still flexing as the OG.

Translation: liquidity rotating back to ETH memes.
Solana traders complaining about "PvP culture" while ETH degens print.

Not chasing ethereum:0xf280b16ef293d8e534e370794ef26bf312694126 at the top.
Watching for the next ETH meme that hasn't pumped yet.

Meta shifts > coin picks. Trade the rotation.

NFA 🫡

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

@cryptorover amazing

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

@DonWedge same idea
https://t.co/HuIpjfxpjA

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

$BTC 81k and timeline's already screaming "top in."
Nah. I'm not chasing green candles.
Bid sitting at 80.2k
🎯 TP: 84.8k | SL: 77.6k | 1.77R
Funding flat. ETFs inflowing. Whales pulling coins off exchanges.
79k holds → 79k cracks → I'm out
Buy the dip.
NFA 🫡

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

@QuintenFrancois bullish
https://t.co/HuIpjfxpjA

[ElyssaPye | X Trading Factory @xtrading555]

$BTC 81k and timeline's already screaming "top in."
Nah. I'm not chasing green candles.
Bid sitting at 80.2k
🎯 TP: 84.8k | SL: 77.6k | 1.77R
Funding flat. ETFs inflowing. Whales pulling coins off exchanges.
79k holds → 79k cracks → I'm out
Buy the dip.
NFA 🫡