babyyan

[Cici @Ciciyingying]

这才是教你赚钱的文章
@MrRyanChi 老师的这篇【套利圣经 】太干了，值得每一个撸毛人或者玩预测的反复看和学习

前两天看到chongxian 说他在预测一个月收益在5w-10w, 很多人质疑，我是相信的

会玩预测的撸积分只是顺带，在发币前就赚的盆满钵满。
很多人觉得预测市场是个赌场，但其实和赌有本质的区别

拿预测龙头Polymarket 来说，涵盖地缘政治、体育、娱乐、加密货币、政治等领域。

预测市场本质上是信息聚合工具，我们通过买卖“股份”来对未来事件的概率判断，最终价格反映的是共识概率。而赌博更侧重娱乐、运气和庄家赔率设置。预测市场高度校准，能准确预测真实结果。

关于预测市场单平台的套利空间有限或者能套到几率很小，选择不同平台对冲吃到的概率就大很多

比如预测盘口【edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?】
在Polymarket 上$2B yes 和no 的概率与在predict 上的yes 和no 概率是不同的，这两个平台全部同样金额都买入yes 和no,就有差价出来了
polymarket 盘口可以瞅瞅→https://t.co/O3cnz0RKjv

从撸毛角度来说
只是为了拿积分，选择事件概率90%以上下注，赔钱的可能性低, 赚也是很少
如果靠下注赚钱那就是赌事件爆冷，赔率很高

很多玩预测借助工具扫尾盘套利等也能赚到不少，，如果纯小白玩预测我觉得和赌没啥区别。完全凭运气了，真想撸一定多学多研究

再说说龙头项目 Polymarket 已明确发币，据说是撸毛工作室和撸毛人最后执着。目前没明确积分，但可以查排名，去查了下数据日活跃在13w+,周活跃量33w+. 所以，并不算卷。

估值已超150亿美金，如果真大范围空投的话，几十万乃至上百万地址也不是没可能。这也是为什么这么多人原因撸它的原因。

再次提醒，不擅长一定谨玩预测~

[babyyan @yanming522]

@ordinalgenesis 0x168a527af520246de8657f3dde5defc167c19058

[Ordinal Genesis @ordinalgenesis]

GenesisPad is inbound and we’re kicking things off with a free mint.

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[babyyan @yanming522]

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[babyyan @yanming522]

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[babyyan @yanming522]

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[Elympics @elympics_ai]

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[Elympics @elympics_ai]

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[babyyan @yanming522]

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[One Gravity (Ø,G) @OneGravityNFT]

The story of One Gravity - the journey to Defy Gravity 🛸. 🧵👇

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[babyyan @yanming522]

I would call it beta, but everything @sentientAGI releases is based

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[Sentient @SentientAGI]

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Perplexity has done great work in the last few months, but the world deserves an open version.

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[babyyan @yanming522]

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[babyyan @yanming522]

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[Morkie @_morkie]

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[DRAZE @DrazeLab]

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[Aria @Aria_Protocol]

Introducing Aria, tokenizing epic, real-world IP so that you can own the iconic.

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[Soneium 💿 @soneium]

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[babyyan @yanming522]

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[The DATA Foundation @datafdn]

Ippy cook

[The DATA Foundation @datafdn]

IP is the intersection where AI and blockchains will collide.

[The DATA Foundation @datafdn]

Step into the Story IP x AI Carnival on @BinanceWallet 🎡

From Jan 13 – Feb 5, explore the Story ecosystem and complete quests on Binance Wallet for a chance to unlock rewards from a pool of 444,444 $IP.

New quests announced weekly.

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