Yieldoom

Yieldoom: Real yield intelligence for 2026.
📉 Stop panic-selling
📊 Free behavioral finance calculators
🔗 #Recession #Rates #AI

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Full analysis: regional divergence, asset allocation frameworks, catalyst calendar

https://t.co/EY584OTxhA

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🔴 BEAR CASE (30%): "Geopolitical Shock"
• Middle East/Taiwan escalation
• Oil spikes to $110-130/bbl
• Inflation re-accelerates
• S&P 500: -10 to -20%
→ Defensive positioning, safe havens
@tradingview @IMFNews @federalreserve @Bloomberg

[Yieldoom @yieldoom]

🎯 SECTOR WATCH:
✅ Overweight: AI/Semiconductors, Defense, Healthcare
❌ Underweight: CRE, Leveraged Consumer, Retail

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🟢 BASE CASE (55%): "Muddling Through"
• S&P 500: +6-10%
• US GDP: +1.8-2.2%
• Fed cuts: 75-100 bps
• Oil: $75-90/bbl
→ Balanced portfolio, quality bias

[Yieldoom @yieldoom]

📊 2026 MARKET OUTLOOK: Bull SURGE vs. Geopolitical CRISIS

Can resilient fundamentals overcome escalating geopolitical polarization?

Our probability-weighted framework 🧵

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Full technical levels + catalyst calendar:
https://t.co/kgZDGSgGlK

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⚡ MARKET QUICK TAKE: FX Fallout + Energy Surges

Currency volatility & oil momentum are reinforcing. Here's what traders need to know 🧵
Data: @tradingview @IEA @federalreserve

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TOP SETUPS:
→ Long CAD/JPY (oil + risk barometer)
→ Short TRY/USD (structural deficit)
→ Brent call spreads (defined risk)

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rio analysis + tactical positioning frameworks:
https://t.co/hszYzckv1Z

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🧵 Why does Iran conflict strain the global economy?
Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz: 21% of global oil transits here. Disruption = immediate supply shock.

[Yieldoom @yieldoom]

EM Vulnerability
• Capital flight: $15B weekly outflows per 10-point VIX spike
• Currency stress: TRY, EGP, PKR most exposed
• Debt sustainability: 60% of low-income countries at high risk

[Yieldoom @yieldoom]

Full analysis: correlations, historical precedents, and tactical hedges
https://t.co/n5TdffNhak

[Yieldoom @yieldoom]

🧵 Why is gold jumping now?
- Middle East escalation = geopolitical risk premium
- Real yields remain compressed → low opportunity cost
- Central banks keep buying → structural demand floor

[Yieldoom @yieldoom]

What to watch next:
🔸 Gold: Hold above $2,020? Test $2,100?
🔸 USD/JPY: Break 147.00 → acceleration risk
🔸 Headlines: De-escalation = quick reversal risk