Yury🐓

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[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

The Titanic anniversary has been on the radar for a while:
1) https://t.co/FmS6DFD4dA

2) https://t.co/2MZkQAJx76

Consider "The Fifa effect" and you get the perfect storm for a 🩸Q2
1) https://t.co/rZ4Kbx0Res

But if we follow the Slingshot thesis, this next leg up should be quick and powerful.
Powerful enough to give us good gains and get out before the major blood bath.
At that point, you could decide to enter short trades or just sidestep the downside and chill for a while.

All eyes on CNY.
Based on the performance during this time, we'll get our answer on how to proceed in March/April (in confluence with major levels)

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

The⚽️FIFA⚽️Effect

Most FIFA events have been preceded
(at times also followed) by major downside moves in the market ( $BTC, $SPX)

Take a look at the charts:
Happened in 2022, 2018, 2014, 2010, 2002,...

This is in line with my theory of a bloody🩸Q2

🎯11 June–19 July 2026

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

$BTC at the meme levels: 66D - 67D - 69D
Time for a bounce.
Or bring us to the 46k❄️Gulag already.

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@JaqueStoke Give it time 🧘‍♂️

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@reidosorteios 😂😂 Worked for now.
Let's see if we start forming a bottom at these levels

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@Richard_2869 Most Alts are holding relatively well.
If we are about to get the altseason to conclude the cycle, I'd say you could end up breakeven or slightly in profit on most of them.
BTC.D hopefully about to breakdown.

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@Jetlicomes Mainly for the lols.
But also, there might be something more to it.
If $BTC starts building a bottom here, it might be worth adding to the Timeframe list on Tradingview

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@a_wandering_jew They really liked the 69D level
Let's see if we start building a bottom in this area.

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@a_wandering_jew Could be something, could be nothing.
The 69D goes down to 60k, so let's see.

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@Bitcoinmies He did indeed

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@BeeNoir_ Cycle speedrun

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@BeeNoir_ Ye, directly to Q4 bear market😂

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@dinax4y6r Less bullish than before.

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@SilkTea97 https://t.co/GSZKNT7Kbn

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

The⚽️FIFA⚽️Effect

Most FIFA events have been preceded
(at times also followed) by major downside moves in the market ( $BTC, $SPX)

Take a look at the charts:
Happened in 2022, 2018, 2014, 2010, 2002,...

This is in line with my theory of a bloody🩸Q2

🎯11 June–19 July 2026

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

USDT.D - Considerations and "The Slingshot" Dynamics -

After the recent price action, I had to take a step back and reassess my view and levels (https://t.co/z3NHEBq8PX).

Overall, the initial macro plan is still on track:
🔴January 🟢February 🟢March = 🚀Q1
(https://t.co/tybu1uX4I8) (https://t.co/X1H7pAY78Q)

Most of you probably saw "The Slingshot" post by @Moneytaur_
"A Slingshot stores energy in stretched bands and releases it in milliseconds, producing a powerful, high-acceleration launch.
The more energy stored (⛽️), the stronger the shot."

So I was curious how this thesis could play out on the USDT.D chart:
For those who don't know:
When USDT.D goes down🔽, Crypto goes up🔼
(and vice versa).

The first target I'll be 👁️watching:
🎯5.40% - 5.30%

After taking this much fuel⛽️, is it possible to have an even stronger shot, potentially targeting 4.70% or even 3.30% before "Protocol Armageddon"?

@nineinchtrails made a killer post regarding "Bitfinex Longs" and how the bullish impulses since Q4 '23 got shorter and shorter ➡️ https://t.co/YPaM1mBZWc

If we follow this theory, the next major🐂bullish impulse might last only 21 days, which would put us in the first half of March
(aligned with End of CNY, Starship launch, USA Tax Refunds).

@TraderDune pointed out in Oct/Nov '25, USDT.D was in an accumulation phase, similar to 2021 ➡️ https://t.co/GIFMIxtEbV
Following this Accumulation, we might be in a "Breakout-Retest" and move upwards into the next Distribution in Q4 2026/Q1 2027 (9.50%-10.50% area).

I've added cycles to give us a possible time window for a USDT.D low (Macro top?), which falls on 4.20🚬.

Other events are lining up around the same time:
- 15 April - Titanic Anniversary
- 20 April - Colossus & MacroHarder building upgrade
- 7 May - Miami Web3 Event (generally preceded by🩸)

$OTHERS is showing relative strength, constantly flirting with 180B.
We can assume #Altcoins outperformance in this next phase of the cycle. The infamous #Altseason.
Monitor BTC.D, USDC.D, and USDT.D for guidance when the time comes.
I'd argue this is gonna be "The Grand Finale" before the ❄️Gulag (aka Valhalla).

The Risk-to-Reward now is great, especially after hitting most of the 🔑key levels.
February is finally here. 🍿It's show time.

❗️NOTE:
If the low is not already in, I would not be surprised if we see another flush on Sunday, 8th Feb (Super Bowl).
During weekends, the liquidity required to manipulate markets is less (like we saw in the previous weeks).

( $BTC 69420 $ETH 1950 inc?)

[🎯 Master @Moneytaur_]

I'll be here for the slingshot.

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@ESC4NOR_ @CoinbasePredict Ah, yes, you mean this one?

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

Thank you bros .@hoodstock_80 .@lucas67261771
I'm truly honored 🙏

This community has been a blessing for me and many others.
I'm simply giving back my "2 Cents" on what I see.

Most importantly, some of these ideas and views are built on the shoulders of giants (with a twist of decoding).

There's still plenty of studying and work to do to improve.

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@de_ascentis Some kind of Global Recession (similar to GFC)

For now, I'd go with @camelfinance stance about "Global Deflation" narrative, considering the speed at which inflation is coming down.
But it could be something else
In 2020 we had C19. In 2026 we'll have...?
https://t.co/WzezCG4ntd

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@OVcrypto Deflation coming soon
https://t.co/GNt6n9wLaT

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@ESC4NOR_ @Crypto_Kakashi1 @0xpocketchange So no Murad's memecoin supercycle afterall

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

@Vastcrypt0 Yep
https://t.co/62wWn9VEM8

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

I know❗️
You've seen this post already

But here's what I think:

They are already hinting at 2026.
Just like the LTC post

The Titanic sinking in the background
(market burning?)

The anniversary of the Titanic sinking is April 15🎯

Might this also mean that MSTR will survive?

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

I was very bullish on $KAS, but the current market structure is not looking great.
I'm still bullish long term (2027/2028).

I don't think we'll get new ATHs this year.
0.20$ will remain the high for a while.

There's a nice level at 0.08$ to exit.
I think that's what I'll do.
It really depends on how these 2 months will play out.

[Yury🐓 @yurystart]

My current scenarios based on USDT.D are these:

1⃣
We make a new ATH on BTC (138k-150k).
Altcoins do not pump much. No altseason.
BTC.D keeps climbing.
The real Altseason comes in 2027/2028.

2⃣
Alts pump substantially (2x-5x)
BTC Lower High (no new ATH)
BTC.D drops to 46%

3⃣
BTC new ATH.
Incredible Altseason.
BTC.D drops to 46%
USDT.D drops to 3.3%
(BSC)

Eitherway, in all 3 scenarios, something pumps.
In the first one, BTC stays the king until 2027.
In the second, we get altseason, but BTC underperforms (LH).
The third, everything goes to the moon, something similar to 2017 and 2021.

We first need to start seeing some green candles ASAP.
Then we can discuss these different scenarios.