Best strategy I found for BTC Up/Down markets with the new TWAP on @Polymarket
And it’s all about how the last minute works
TWAP takes the average price during the final 60 seconds
So if the first few minutes are pretty stable
The real trade starts right before the TWAP zone
What I look for:
No huge spike at the start
Price moving inside a normal 5m / 15m channel
BTC slowly leaning one way before the final minute
If BTC is leaning up before TWAP starts - I look for Up
If it’s leaning down - I look for Down
The goal is not to hold until resolution
The goal is to catch the repricing and sell after +10-20%
Sometimes this happens in 10-20 seconds
It doesn’t work when BTC already nuked or pumped hard at the start of the candle
But when the market is calm and then starts choosing direction before TWAP
That’s one of the cleanest spots I’ve found so far
I made solid money on this already