I’m very selective when making long term investments.
It’s rare for me to even initiate a new long term position, typically I only do it when I see a severely discounted asset.
Thats what I saw in January with $INTC at $39 per share.
156% in four months.
Why? Price is what you pay, value is what you get.
Posting a bit of the thesis I shared back then. Not only has the thesis started to come to fruition, but it’s strengthened and become even more relevant as the AI story for Intel has accelerated.
Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic in a recent interview:
“I think biotech is about to have a renaissance driven by AI. My instinct is we’re about to cure a lot of diseases.”
AI healthcare is going to be a massive theme.
$ABCL $RXRX $TEM and others stand to benefit.
Days like today come with the territory.
If you want to participate in a bull market you have to be prepared for volatility, drawdowns, and pullbacks.
You can’t just have the benefit of participating in a bull market without the risk and moments like this. If it was a risk free and volatility free way to make money everyone would do it, but they don’t.
Most people invest in index funds, they don’t capture a move like $SNDK $MU $NBIS $DELL $ARM etc.
If you want to trade or invest in individual stocks you have to accept the risk and volatility that comes with individual stock picking.
It’s all part of the game.
Not seeing anyone talk about the new $RDDT products and commentary just released moments ago.
Few highlights:
- Nearly half of shoppers verify AI-generated recommendations on Reddit before buying
- Users trust Reddit more than family or friends to verify AI recommendations
- 1 in 4 users immediately buy a product after seeing their decision validated on Reddit
New ad products announced:
- Free form ad generator
Uses a brand’s website and relevant Reddit conversations to create Reddit native ads.
- Tailored creative assets
AI identifies high potential Reddit communities and audience personas, then generates better headline and image variations.
- Brands can embed real Reddit conversations directly into ads, giving the ad more credibility and social proof.
- Shopping Listing Ads
Reddit’s first multi advertiser shopping ad product + partnership with Shopify, matching products to relevant conversations and surfacing them in a carousel.
- More ML driven ad optimization
Reddit is using machine learning, user interest modeling, content understanding, and real time behavior signals to improve ad performance.
Pretty clear how quickly Reddit is evolving into an ads powerhouse, closest thing to Meta in the market.
Timeframe alignment is key.
If you identify a bullish setup on the weekly chart or higher timeframe but micromanage every single day of price action you’re doing it wrong.
You can’t build a thesis on the weekly and then let daily action shake you out.
If you’re going to zoom out you need to actually zoom out.
$NOK
Pullback in the short term distracts from the fact this broke out of a massive 15+ year base.
Not to mention $NVDA has a stake and an Anduril partnership.
Zooming out helps.