Zeb Hermann

GM, v0

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@AndyGlockner @Coach_Dean89 lol

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@ModeledBehavior Great take

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@DeanO_Lytics Very interesting. I’m surprised Champagnie lost more value on offense - Brunson was cooking him 1:1

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@TheWestbrookEra You’re right

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@emmitonair Big Bill Walton, the original Jokic

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@TheWestbrookEra Worst commissioner in sports history*

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@TyLawson3 Correct

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@geoffschwartz Correct

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@AndrewDBailey Adam Silver is a coward (and the worst commissioner in pro sports history). He will do nothing

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@DraftMac Ebuka is top 10

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@stocksreaves Unbelievable company

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@draymottishaw I don't like Acuff much (small, no D) but having him at 24 is wild

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@ATabarrok Your worst take so far

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@zeeg @okbel cooked

[staysaasy @staysaasy]

> the product is having issues
> engineering: we’ve called a sev. we’re swarming to fix. we’re running a retro so it never happens again.

> the company is having an issue with a new internal process
> the company: shut up. no it’s not. stop complaining. you’re immature. adults are speaking.

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@AdiPolak Agreed

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@leerob Let’s go!!!

[Saffron Huang @saffronhuang]

Here's a plausible positive scenario that doesn't require many further AI advancements. I wanted to clearly paint the path "from here to there" instead of hand-waving so it starts out negative but ends positive (I swear):

A recession leads to slowed hiring and a breakdown of the early-career ladder. The political window opens for industrial policy on AI: governments encourage firms to launch apprenticeship programs to bridge the training gap between junior and senior white-collar roles, instilling discernment and judgment of AI outputs. Programs help reshuffle people with clerical jobs into education (especially elementary and middle school 1-1 tutoring) or nursing (and given AI tools to upskill into providing clinical care). Those with a risk-taking or strategic bent become entrepreneurs and executives overseeing AI agents. Industrial policy is important, but AI also helps to decrease regulatory and compliance burdens on construction; this sector expands, and the built environment starts improving (e.g. high speed rail becomes more possible).

Later on, material abundance (robot manufacturing) means that goods are cheap and easier to manufacture domestically. Most people's spending is therefore on human-led services, today's luxuries. For example, high quality education: schooling in many places (including the US) has historically been low quality for most, with many knock-on effects. 1-1 personal attention by human teachers (for younger students) + AI personalized tutoring (for older students) bridges this gap. Everyone is healthy: cheap AI triaging of medical issues lowers the barrier to preventative as well as life-saving care. Entrepreneurship is enabled by easy access to AI agents. The bar for customer service is raised all-round (high-end retail and hospitality services, like what you see in Japan). Everyone works 3-4 days a week. Baumol's cost disease is a feature not a bug: the relative expense of human services stops being a budget problem and starts being a labor market solution. That is where the jobs are, and they're jobs worth having.

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@brexton @NotionHQ I agree. Insane glow up by Notion

[Zeb Hermann @zeb_hermann]

@zebriez @sonofalli new one for the list