ZonaAloha

Building prediction market analytics for people serious about skill vs luck. Unapologetic Arizona Wildcats superfan. 🐻⬇️

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

Anyway, I built and launched https://t.co/30cetN6yfG.

For the right audience, I think it’s pretty cool. And refreshingly honest.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@Asteri_eth Region not mattering surprises me. The forecast misses differently in Helsinki than in Lucknow, and he ladders both the same way.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

Of the 13 NFL games kicking off this afternoon, Commanders vs Cowboys has the least money on who wins, under $30K on Polymarket as of this morning. Bengals vs Texans is past $1M on the same question. Cowboys priced around 65¢, which on any other Sunday would start a fight.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

Arizona football ends the night at 1:40am ET.

This is why Hawaiʻi time is best for watching sports.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

Noah Fifita just passed Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles to become @ArizonaFBall's all-time leader in passing yards! 🐻⬇️

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@kiira7094 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketSport He's red before kickoff. Does he normally sit through that?

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

As of this morning, Polymarket has more money traded on who wins Coastal Carolina vs Delaware than on who wins Florida State vs Alabama. $100K to $52K. Delaware is priced around 65¢ and kicks off at 11:30 ET, which is early to be this opinionated about Delaware.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

2008: New Grand Theft Auto is coming out...
Me: Nah, I'll just play World of Warcraft.

2013: New GTA is coming out...
Me: Nah, I'll just play WoW.

2026: New GTA is coming out...
Me: Nah, I'll just play WoW.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@0xKorens Tokyo and Houston I get. San Francisco weather is different on either side of any hill.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@kiira7094 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketSport Not for 12%. Madrid needed stoppage time and I'd have aged a year watching it.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@Vexter @arc "No sampling" is my favorite line in the post.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@AdiFlips Different models though. OpenAI can ship Sol on time and Terra late, so I'm not seeing what links the two legs.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@AlexFinn Why did you write this for me, specifically?

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@0xSurferX How long does that gap usually stay open? I've never seen anyone put a number on it.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

8,300 NFL markets are open on Polymarket this morning for 12 games, nearly 700 per game. Alternate spread lines in Cardinals-Chargers run out to 21.5 points. That is a lot of points for an NFL game.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

18,300 college football markets are open on Polymarket this morning across 124 games. The widest alternate spread listed is Indiana -76.5 over Howard.

Somewhere a person is considering just how much Coach Cignetti likes to run up the score...

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@0xSurferX Does it re-price the ladder when the forecast moves, or are the rungs set once for the day?

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@bckfv_eth The Hyperliquid comparison did it for me. The whole Perps board still fits in a group chat.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

https://t.co/3ok5FCptqZ has its first paying subscriber!

I’ve had a number of projects in half-built states for years now, but a few months ago I decided I needed to start actually shipping things. This one ended up quite a bit more sophisticated than the original concept.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@0xbobaaa Funny how the review never comes after a losing month.

[ZonaAloha @ZonaAloha]

@tiur_eth @Polymarket Of course the biggest trade of the month is a wallet called wr0ngw4yb3tt0r.