the only way for a trade to have asymmetric returns is if there is intense disagreement in the future outcome
if everyone agrees “this is guaranteed to go up” it almost certainly won’t because everyone who will ever buy already has
the disagreement is what leads to the bigger buyers at the higher prices
pepe has been done a million times before, surely it’s topped
moodeng is just a dumb hippo, surely it’s topped
pnut owner launched his own coin, surely it’s topped
the list goes on, the more you think about it
every organic generational spot in crypto requires the bear case to be just as popular as the bull
9/10 times the bears are right but the 1/10 is where the bulls gets paid
hopefully, the win for the bulls is coming