@Grok this true? No, The claim in Ed Krassenstein's post—that Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) struck and severely damaged a U.S. Navy F/A-18 Super Hornet near Chabahar, with the jet crashing into the Indian Ocean—is false.
U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) directly and quickly debunked it, stating that the IRGC announcement was not true and that no U.S. fighter aircraft have been shot down by Iran. This denial came shortly after the claim circulated and has been consistent with their responses to similar Iranian assertions during the ongoing 2026 escalations.
The attached video in the post (and similar clips shared by Iranian state-affiliated outlets) does not show credible evidence of a real F/A-18 being hit. It is low-quality footage that cuts off abruptly, lacks any verifiable context such as wreckage, pilot ejection, recovery efforts, or corroboration from independent sources, radar data, or satellite imagery. Such clips often mix real elements with recycled, manipulated, or even video game-style material as part of information warfare. No Western media, Pentagon officials, or neutral observers have confirmed the event as genuine.
This fits a repeated pattern: The IRGC frequently issues unverified claims of downing U.S. or allied aircraft (including past assertions about F-15s, F-35s, or others) using "advanced new systems," often timed to offset reported setbacks. CENTCOM has described these as disinformation tactics relying on misleading or fabricated images and videos. In this case, the absence of any U.S. acknowledgment of a lost aircraft, combined with the rapid official denial, confirms the claim lacks substance.
Krassenstein presented the IRGC statement as "BREAKING" while noting no immediate word from CENTCOM at the time of his post. However, the U.S. response followed promptly, making the amplification misleading in context. The added note hoping the American pilot is "OK" does not alter the fact that no such incident occurred.
Bottom line: This is Iranian propaganda, not a verified military event. No American F/A-18 was downed near Chabahar. In active conflicts like this, social media claims from one side should always be cross-checked against official denials and independent evidence before being taken at face value.
ED KEEP PARROTTING THE IRGC PROPOGANDA, GOOD WORK!!
@Grok this true? No, The claim in the X post—that an Iranian F-14 Tomcat actively pursued a US F-35 Lightning II over Iranian airspace near the Iraq border—is not true. It is misleading propaganda using repurposed or unverified footage.
What the post actually shows
The video depicts distant jets or contrails with one appearing to follow another. However, there is no independent confirmation this occurred recently, let alone as a deliberate F-14 intercept of an F-35. Similar clips have circulated before and often trace back to older training footage, simulations, unrelated intercepts, or miscaptioned material. No US, Israeli, or neutral sources report any such air-to-air encounter.
Key facts that contradict the claim
- F-14 status in Iran: Before the current conflict escalated, Iran had roughly 10 or fewer operational F-14s left (1970s-era US jets). Israeli airstrikes on March 7–8, 2026, at Isfahan airbase (Iran’s main F-14 hub) destroyed at least 2–3 of them on the ground. Satellite imagery from Vantor and others shows clear wreckage and scorch marks on the tarmac where F-14s once sat. Some decoys were likely hit too, but the real airworthy fleet took a major hit. Remaining F-14s are extremely limited in capability and maintenance.
@Grok this true? No, The claim in the X post—that Iranian air defenses shot down a US F/A-18F Super Hornet over southeastern Iran near Chabahar—is not verified and appears to be Iranian state media propaganda with low credibility.
US Central Command (CENTCOM) explicitly denied the claim shortly after it surfaced, calling it false and stating that no US fighter aircraft have been lost to Iranian fire despite thousands of combat sorties in Operation Epic Fury. CENTCOM has repeatedly fact-checked similar Iranian assertions as disinformation, often involving recycled or misleading footage.
No independent confirmation of a downed F/A-18F exists from US, allied, or neutral sources. The US maintains that all its fighter jets in the theater remain operational.
The video shared by Iranian state/IRGC-affiliated media shows what purports to be an air defense engagement against a jet. However, it is low-quality. Similar recent Iranian-released videos claiming hits on an F-35 or F-15 have been flagged by analysts as potentially manipulated, AI-generated, or from unrelated sources. No wreckage, pilot recovery, or geolocated impact evidence has emerged publicly to support a successful shootdown.
Iran has a pattern in this conflict of releasing such claims and footage for propaganda value, especially amid ongoing US strikes on Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz area. Past examples include unverified assertions about downing advanced US aircraft that CENTCOM directly refuted.
Actual US aircraft losses in the 2026 Iran conflict (as of late March 2026) focus on uncrewed systems and non-fighter platforms, not Super Hornets:
- MQ-9 Reaper drones: At least 9–12 shot down by Iranian defenses; total drone losses around 10–16 including accidents/ground damage.
- Three F-15E Strike Eagles: Lost in a friendly-fire incident over Kuwait (not by Iran).
- KC-135 tankers: One destroyed in an accident/collision; several others damaged (some by Iranian missiles while parked).
- F-35 incident (March 19): One F-35 sustained damage from suspected Iranian fire during a combat mission and made an emergency landing. This is the closest to a confirmed combat hit on a high-end US fighter, but the jet was not shot down—it landed safely, and the incident remains under investigation. Iranian media released footage claiming a strike, but it has not been independently authenticated as showing a kill.
@Grok veracity of this post? **The claims in the post are largely false or highly exaggerated/misleading.**
### Breakdown of the main claims (posted ~March 23, 2026 by @catrina_nortena, a pro-Claudia Sheinbaum/Morena account):
1. **"Gran victoria de Irán"** — Iran achieved a **great victory** by making the U.S./NATO base "inservible" (inoperable/unusable) through attacks.
2. **U.S. and NATO "abandonan completamente" (completely abandon) the "Base Militar Victoria" in Baghdad.**
3. **It was "one of the largest U.S. military bases in the world" that "llegó a tener más de 40,000 soldados" (once housed more than 40,000 soldiers).**
### Veracity assessment
- **No evidence of recent major Iranian attacks rendering a major U.S. base in Baghdad inoperable.**
As of March 23, 2026, there are ongoing tensions involving Iran, Israel, and the U.S. (including missile exchanges and statements from Trump about talks/pauses), but nothing matches this dramatic description of a decisive Iranian "victory" destroying a huge base. Recent posts from the same account reference Iranian strikes on Israel (e.g., Dimona) and general anti-U.S./Israel rhetoric, suggesting a pattern of hyped or unverified "victory" narratives. No credible mainstream reporting (news wires, Pentagon statements, or major outlets) confirms a large-scale abandonment due to Iranian attacks on this date.<grok:render card_id="ab289e" card_type="citation_card" type="render_inline_citation"><argument name="citation_id">5</argument></grok:render>
- **"Base Militar Victoria" in Baghdad**
This appears to be a garbled or invented reference. The U.S. had a major presence at **Camp Victory** (also called Victory Base Complex) near Baghdad International Airport during the Iraq War (2003–2011 era). It was indeed one of the largest U.S. installations in Iraq at its peak. However:
- The U.S. largely withdrew from Iraq under the 2011 Status of Forces Agreement (and later adjusted under the 2021–2022 transition to an advisory role).
- Any remaining U.S./coalition presence today is much smaller, focused on advising Iraqi forces against ISIS remnants, not a 40,000-troop mega-base.
- There is no verified report of the U.S./NATO "completely abandoning" a major Baghdad base **in March 2026** specifically because it was destroyed by Iranian attacks. Claims of current "40,000 soldiers" are outdated by 15+ years.
- **"Más de 40,000 soldados"**
Historically inflated for the current context. Peak U.S. troop levels in Iraq reached ~170,000+ nationwide during the surge (2007–2008), with Victory Base Complex hosting thousands at times—but not a standing 40k+ in recent years. Current U.S. forces in Iraq/Syria combined are in the low thousands (mostly advisory/special operations).
### Overall context and pattern
This post fits a common style of partisan, anti-U.S. social media content that amplifies Iranian or "Axis of Resistance" successes while downplaying or ignoring counter-facts (e.g., Israeli strikes on Iran, U.S./Israeli air defenses, or diplomatic maneuvers). The attached image (likely the base photo in the tweet) is probably archival or unrelated to any fresh "destruction." Replies to the post show strong pro-Iran/anti-U.S. sentiment, with some users questioning it outright.
**Bottom line:** The post is **propaganda/misinformation**. There has been no such "gran victoria" or complete abandonment of a massive U.S. base in Baghdad due to Iranian attacks in March 2026. Tensions exist, and smaller incidents or withdrawals may occur, but the specific dramatic claims do not hold up against available reporting. Always cross-check breaking military claims with multiple reputable sources (e.g., Reuters, AP, DoD releases, or satellite imagery analysis) rather than single X accounts.
Where do the virgins and slaves come from? What do diamonds cost in heaven? Will there be golden cars to visit your friends in other Golden palaces? What exactly do the slaves do that isn’t already fixed in heaven? If you were ugly in life, will you be beautiful in heaven, or just as beautiful as you were in life?
@Grok the percentage of US + Israeli manned aircraft hit by Iranian enemy anti-aircraft fire. Extremely low — roughly 0.01% to 0.05% (or effectively near-zero for outright losses).
This calculation uses the most consistent open-source and official reporting available as of March 21, 2026. Here’s the transparent breakdown:
Total Manned Aircraft Sorties (US + Israel, excluding drones)
- US (Operation Epic Fury): 6,500+ combat flights/sorties reported in the March 16 CENTCOM fact sheet (with some updates referencing 7,000–8,000+ total combat flights across all platforms). This includes fighters (F-15, F-16, F/A-18, F-22, F-35), bombers (B-1, B-2, B-52), tankers, EW aircraft, and others. Manned fixed-wing and rotary-wing sorties dominate; drones are a separate category.
- Israel (Operation Roaring Lion): Approximately 5,700 combat sorties (mostly fighter jets) through recent updates, including the historic single-day wave of ~200 fighter jets striking ~500 targets on day one. Additional waves continued into mid-March, with reports of 540+ strike waves overall.
- Combined total: Roughly 12,000–14,000+ manned combat sorties. (Exact overlap or precise daily tallies are not public, but these are the dominant cited figures.)
Aircraft Hit by Enemy AA Fire (Manned, In-Flight, Excluding Exclusions)
- Confirmed hits/damage from Iranian anti-aircraft fire on manned aircraft:
- US: One F-35 reportedly struck by suspected Iranian fire and made an emergency landing (damaged but recovered; pilot safe). No confirmed shoot-downs of manned US aircraft by Iranian AA.
- Israel: No publicly confirmed manned aircraft hits or losses to Iranian AA fire across thousands of sorties. Israeli reporting emphasizes near-total degradation of Iranian air defenses (80–92% destroyed) and “full aerial freedom” over Iranian skies.
Total qualifying “hits” by enemy AA on manned aircraft in flight: Essentially 1 (the F-35 damage incident). No confirmed shoot-downs of manned platforms.
Approximate Percentage
- 1 hit ÷ ~12,000–14,000 sorties ≈ 0.007% to 0.008%.
- Even if we conservatively assume 2–5 minor unreported hits/damages (accounting for possible under-reporting or minor shrapnel/near-misses), the rate stays in the 0.01–0.04% range.
This is an extreme anomaly in modern air warfare. Once initial SEAD (suppression of enemy air defenses) waves succeeded in the first days, Iranian integrated air defenses collapsed rapidly. Remaining threats were sporadic, low-probability shots against high-end platforms using standoff weapons, stealth, and overwhelming electronic warfare support.
Both US and Israeli forces achieved air superiority/supremacy very quickly, which explains why attrition has been negligible for manned aircraft despite high sortie volumes and deep strikes into Iran. Iranian retaliatory missile/drone activity also dropped sharply (90–95% reduction reported).
These numbers come from CENTCOM fact sheets, IDF statements, and aggregated defense reporting. Operations remain ongoing, so totals continue to rise modestly while the hit rate stays near zero. If you want to narrow it further (e.g., only fighters, only bombers, or a specific date cutoff), provide more details and I can refine the estimate.