Oussama Safeh

Global Macro

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

4 Months ago on a detailled memo ar fund i was working in I explained Why rate will be high
2 Months ago expected that september gonna be live
And by the end of the day History Is repeating itself …
Thanks

[Joseph Wang @josephwang]

Market isn't just solidifying it expectation of a hike in September, it is now also pricing in a more aggressive hike cycle of almost 4 hikes. It was pricing 2 hikes just last week.

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

@HowRoyalTrades Good luck buddy

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

@MaryanneY213 @Ed_Miliband Source: Trust me Bro

[Investment Wisdom @InvestingCanons]

Stanley Druckenmiller: “You need to be intellectually curious, really really open-minded, & you need to have courage.

And when I say courage, you need the courage to bet big & bet concentrated, but also the courage to fight your own emotions.”

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

Oh boy !

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

My case is that either a hike at this meeting or a hike at the next one is a done deal. Inflation and NFP have softened, but leading indicators are resilient. Warsh understands markets and policy transmission from Duquesne, while the Board communication has been hawkish.

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

We're so back

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

The start date of the buyback program is September

[Barchart @Barchart]

JUST IN 🚨: U.S. Treasury only bought back $1.2 Billion of debt, roughly 25% of the forecasted $4 Billion 🤯 👀

[Conks @conksresearch]

Treasury-Fed accord turning into the Treasury-Fed disorder

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

ENSO on el nino and IYKYK

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

QE with treasury Cap

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

@Credit_Junk Pretty much a goldilock in the corner

[Conks @conksresearch]

TGA repos

the mechanics of the U.S. Treasury deploying excess government cash (from the Treasury General Account) into repo markets

https://t.co/GFZDZctrMU

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

Yes that’s true especially retail education around fx only, if you just expand onto stocks commodities and other asset class your opportunities set gonna be big and you will not force trades as fx divergence rarely occurs

[David Belle | Fink | Markets Talk, We Translate @Fink_Money]

if you're a crypto investor only and not in stocks, you are severely limiting yourself.

They can behave very similarly, with a better liquidity profile in equities.

If you're crypto only, why do you choose not to trade in equities?

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

One of the best play that i missed this year was being long US Oil company around rumour that they gonna enter Venezuela market, the trade could be structured around earning catalyst but US-iran was the boom gift

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

@jeremie0117 Great Call sir

[Oussama Safeh @0ussamacro]

$Cenx up 15%

[Jérémie Boyer @jeremie0117]

@oussama_sf02 I think $CENX will do better.
Earnings soon today.

[Conks @conksresearch]

thank god, fewer non-farmers were payrolled

[Eric Basmajian @EPBResearch]

92% of the economy is growing 1%

8% of the economy is growing 14%.