0xGGs

[obese.potato🥔 @Obesepotato_hl]

Polymarket did another scam

First, Polymarket insiders bought No when Yes was trading at 70%

Ronaldo cried after the match

But Polymarket still dumped the market to 3%

All the No holders (insiders) cashed out

After that, the community put pressure on Polymarket that Ronaldo cried in the match

Polymarket took time and told all insiders to buy Yes

All insiders bought Yes at 3%

Then they pumped it to 100%

Polymarket team & insiders made money on both sides and the community got rekt

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

Hold on. The entire validity of this bet relied strictly on the 'matching photo' rule. With zero matching photos available, removing the core rule automatically nullifies the contract. Your current bias isn't just double standards—it's completely desperate.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

People don't realize how hard, or even impossible, it is to write prediction market rules that cover every edge case.

Polymarket, Kalshi and every prediction market platform struggles with this.

In the Ronaldo World Cup crying market, some people argued that the "clearly shed tears" clause shouldn't exist because of yesterday's edge case.

But if that clause was removed, it would create new edge cases that the rules don’t cover.

No rulebook will ever cover every possible scenario.

What prediction markets should do is issue clarifications quickly when an ambiguity is identified and be transparent about how the clarification decision was made.

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

这踏马C罗脸上看起来是眼泪？这如果不是眼泪 评论一人发 100u 立帖为证。

[Basenji @cryptobasenji]

@0xGGs @elonmusk @Cristiano @Polymarket @UMAprotocol @PolymarketSport @AskPolymarket Who are you to contradict Reuters, just accept reality and realize your loss

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

Everyone who comments on this tweet will get $100 (if those aren't tears in this picture).

[Basenji @cryptobasenji]

@0xGGs @elonmusk @Cristiano @Polymarket @UMAprotocol @PolymarketSport @AskPolymarket Who are you to contradict Reuters, just accept reality and realize your loss

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

@cryptobasenji @elonmusk @Cristiano @Polymarket @UMAprotocol @PolymarketSport @AskPolymarket So literal rules and UMA don't matter? Should I just trust Reuters instead? Is this even still a decentralized market? I am simply respecting Polymarket's rules of the game. In my view, you show an absolute lack of respect for both the literal rules and UMA.

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

The written rules of Polymarket and UMA hold absolutely no value. This is not a decentralized market—it is a massive scam.

@elonmusk @Cristiano @Polymarket @UMAprotocol @PolymarketSport @AskPolymarket @cryptobasenji

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

I agree with this view. The reality is that there is no decentralization, only centralized scammers.

[50 Pence @polyint]

Real crisis of confidence @Polymarket . Firing head of markets and flipping a .96c market on the same day is something only they could pull off.
I would not recommend anyone bet on any contestable markets for several months.

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

Are there tears on the arrow you drew?

[Basenji @cryptobasenji]

Did Ronaldo cry at the World Cup?🐾

Polymarket says 17%. The professional reporters who were in the stadium say otherwise.

The rule: resolves YES if he “visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on his face.”

ESPN, CNN: “tears in his eyes as he walked around the pitch.”

Reuters captioned the photo “in tears at the final whistle.”

Yahoo called the image of him crying an instant iconic moment of the tournament.

So the record is: every wire service and every major outlet, watching in HD, on the field, wrote that he shed tears. And a handful of NO holders zoomed into a photo, decided the tears were sweat, and are now betting that a man wiping tears from his eyes wasn’t crying. 🤭

The “it’s sweat” argument is the tell. It works against literally any crying moment ever filmed. By that logic no one has ever cried on camera, and no market like this could ever resolve YES on any evidence.

The market is titled “Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?” He cried. ESPN says so. Reuters says so. Your own eyes say so.

I’m on YES, because “sheds tears clearly observed on his face” is exactly what the cameras and the reporters recorded. If this resolves NO, it won’t be because he didn’t cry. It’ll be because a few large NO holders needed him not to.

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

I didn't see any tears in the picture, let alone 'visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on his face.' Are you absolutely sure you can see them? Liar.

[Basenji @cryptobasenji]

TRUTH PREVAILS🐾

UMA scammers tried Once more to scam and distort the reality. Polymarket fired the Head of markets because the guy has committed ENDLESS mistakes “probably” on purpose to let these UMA scammers totally screw objective Polymarket traders.

This is a great Victory for the future of @Polymarket

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

@cryptobasenji @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade I didn't see any tears in the picture, let alone 'visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on his face.' Are you absolutely sure you can see them? Liar.

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

@UMAprotocol Protect your reputation! If you validate Polymarket's forced "Yes" without 4K proof of tears, UMA is dead. Don't be their cartel accomplice!

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

@Polymarket @PolymarketSport @AskPolymarket Stop the fraud! Your rule says "CLEARLY observed." 4K proof shows zero tears. You are overriding rules and UMA to fleece users. Scam platform!

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

@elonmusk Boss Elon, please look into Polymarket. They are completely ignoring rules and decentralized UMA oracle on a $7M market just to force a scam.

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

@Cristiano You didn't cry at all after the Spain match, right? It was just red eyes of a warrior! Polymarket is ignoring its own rules to scam people. Legend!

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

Polymarket 正在公然无视规则、公然诈骗用户！

在 C罗世界杯是否流泪的盘口上，官方规则白纸黑字写着：必须在脸上“清晰观察到”可见的泪水。

昨晚淘汰赛所有的 4K 画面和原图摆在眼前，根本没有任何泪水。Polymarket 官方甚至无视去中心化 UMA 的仲裁机制，拿着外媒小作文强行按头判 Yes！

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

Polymarket is RIGGING the $7M Ronaldo market for a forced "Yes"! 🚨

Rule says: tears must be "CLEARLY observed on his face." 4K footage proves ZERO tears, only red eyes.

PM is ignoring rules & UMA oracle to scam users via media hype. Fraud!

@elonmusk @Cristiano @Polymarket

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

Cry out to heaven

[Israel Exposed @xIsraelExposedx]

It took a little longer than expected, but we have created a website for people to view the footage collected from Gaza in one place. You no longer have to download the entire archives to see them.

It includes:

64,537 videos
17,905 photos
Ability to download individual videos
Searchable index
Exhaustive sources list (300+ journalists)
Geolocation data
Livemap with minute to minute updates
Victim list

It can be accessed here: https://t.co/s0Se94PXWF

Please share & quote tweet to help this post break out of the twitter algorithm prison.

We will keep adding the rest of the archives to the site, be patient- it is difficult work. Continue to seed the torrents provided, as that is the best way to ensure the footage remains stored in decentalized way.

God bless all those who sacrificed their lives to get this footage out, and everyone invovled in collecting/archiving it.

Join our telegram:
https://t.co/bvcis3b9GT
Follow our backup accounts:
@ZionismExposedx & @IsraelExposedAr

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

很强

[GitHubDaily @GitHub_Daily]

知名网页抓取工具 Firecrawl 团队，最近开源了一个功能强大的项目：Open Lovable，短短几天已狂揽了 10.9k Star。

只需输入我们想克隆的任何网站链接，它就能在几秒内基于 React 重新生成一个一模一样的网站。

GitHub：https://t.co/WdzxsM2Yrm

主要特性：

- 一键克隆任何网站为 React 应用，支持复杂布局和交互
- 支持 OpenAI、Anthropic、Gemini、Groq 等 AI 模型
- 基于 Firecrawl 抓取网页结构，准确还原样式与内容
- 支持本地调试与部署，可实时预览生成结果
- E2B 沙盒环境提供安全的代码执行和��试环境

项目基于 MIT 协议完全开源，只需克隆项目代码到本地，配置好相关的 API 密钥即可使用。

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

😂😂😂

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

@sama You got 3M views on your bullshit post, you liar, far more than I’ve received on many of mine, despite me having 50 times your follower count!

[0xGGs @0xGGs]

值得学习

[Boywus @Boywus]

这段在 #polymarket 上累计盈利���到 2 万 U，但投入的时间和精力远超预期。做个复盘，分享我的交易思路和结果，希望能给同样在预测市场摸索的朋友一些参考。

1. 新闻驱动交易（低效，高度竞争）
最初尝试的是 新闻事件驱动交易，比如电影票房、地震预测、马斯克推特数量��专有市场。但问题很明显：

流动性低的盘口：我有速度优势，但整体交易量太小，赚不到大钱。

流动性好的盘口：竞争激烈，往往只能捡高价筹码的“尸体”，利润微薄。

资金效率低：这类市场的结算周期至少一周，大部分都是月度，资金利用率太低。

@Vida_BWE 很早就说过，这个市场一个月撑死几万 U 收益，现在深表认同。

2. 与官方机器人比定价（竞争激烈，难上规模）
后来转向 Crypto 板块，这里流动性更好，还有小时级别的结算市场（如 BTC/ETH/SOL涨跌预测）。

数据源透明：大部分基于 Binance 现货，API 完备，比拼的是 定价模型和速度，有差价的空间也没什么太���量

问题：仍然难以承载大资金，除非愿意承担更高的风险敞口，否则收益有限。

3. 期权对冲组合（收益尚可，但仍有瓶颈）
最终尝试了 Polymarket + 传统期权市场 的对冲策略。

买方模式（Buy Options）：用对冲 Polymarket 对冲深度虚值期权头寸，类似“买高胜率保险”。核心逻辑类似 杠铃策略（我的知乎发过）

卖方模式（Sell Options）：虽然理论上存在“无限亏损”，但实战中经常能吃到全额期权金，加上 Polymarket 的高残值，偶尔还能进入 “甜心区”（期权和 Polymarket 双赢）。
风险：目前还没经历大崩盘，PNL 可能被高估。
但整体上，期权卖方占用保证金太大，资金效率仍然不高，无法规模化运作。

结论：Polymarket ���适合“小而美”的玩家

经过这些尝试，我越来越认同 @lnkybtc 的观点：
“Polymarket 更适合小工作室或独立交易员，短期内不追求资金上限；靠‘广度致胜’——覆盖足够多的市场，同时构建自己的交易基础设施（Infra）护城河。”

对我个人而言，这个市场的收益天花板明显，投入产出比不高，未来可能会减少精力投入，转向更高效率的策略。

如果你也在 Polymarket 交易，欢迎交流你的策略！