toki

dev

[toki @0xToki]

@0xcacti Is it worth transferring over to nvim from vsc with vim keybindings?

[Surya Ganguli @SuryaGanguli]

Love this quote from Sir Michael Atiyah: "Algebra is the offer made by the devil to a mathematician. The devil says, 'I will give you this powerful machine...all you need to do is give up your soul: give up geometry...' The danger to our soul is there... when you pass into algebraic calculation,..., you stop thinking geometrically, you stop thinking about meaning.

[Daniel Von Fange @danielvf]

Yesterday's sophisticated 50 million Radiant Capital hack happened after attacker's trojaned the computers of multiple team members.

Team members saw and verified good multisig data on screens, but their hardware wallets signed evil data. 1/7

[toki @0xToki]

@CyberTraderX @Samyak1729 competitive programming

[099.eth @welikejpegs]

I burned multiple six figures last month in "R&D" to test several strategies with sol memecoin new launches. The results were abysmal in terms of % return, but worth many times what I spent in terms of practical tuition.

This is not how I normally trade, and it goes completely against my DNA... but I wanted to see how much volatility can be harvested from these markets as the hot ball of $$$ gets passed around.

My conclusions:
-The trenches are completely cooked, but Solana's meme ecosystem will remain vibrant. Simply focus on organic longer term winners to increase your odds of success by a great deal.

-Ignore the shills of strangers (large accts you don't know on a personal level), but focus on anything that is talked about by 3+ trusted accounts, which hasn't taken off. Examples of people who have been early callers include @idrawline @vydamo_ @yungdoteth. They aren't large enough where they can manufacture interest off of their tweets and create self fulfilling short term prophecies (which almost always die out). They actually have an ear to the ground and have a reputation of finding winners. These accts are known quantities, so review your followers critically to find 3 new ones, ideally with fewer than 5k followers each.

-Anyone who is not afraid to launch a memecoin and take on any future risk of regulatory violation, or civil penalty is most likely not afraid to bot their launches, spoof volume, corner supply in several secret wallets, and DUMP on you. Most people with an ounce of introspection will question whether they want to launch something that could lead to marriages breaking up, suicides, etc if it ultimately fails or results in total loss. This observation not only pertains to celebrities and their corrupt handlers... It points to them. The gatekept world of celebrities and the leeching handlers who surround them demands a level of moral compromise as the price of entry. There are very few exceptions to this.

-With the above in mind, martingale ("keep doubling down") strategies don't work... Even with nearly infinite capital. Unattached supply whales, and trigger happy momentum chasers will literally dump to zero without a second thought once volume starts to lose steam. I've martingaled into as high was 30% of a microcap's supply... Simply to experiment with how much dead weight needed to be bought out before a price reversion.... To my surprise... No matter how much supply I absorbed, every dead cat bounce I created with my buying was promptly and disrespectfully dumped. This is not an anomaly.

-CTOs above $100k are exceedingly difficult and unlikely to succeed. The CTO strategy is saturated, and dead for the most part. "Just CTO'd ____" is as trite as "Is ape follow ape still a thing?" The difficulty of absorbing supply from a liquidity pool is non-linear so your efforts to get rid of the most stubborn but resolute limit sellers gets harder as price climbs. It's like rolling a boulder up a hill, but the incline gets steeper the farther up you travel. So CTOs are possible, and make for amazing stories... But the heuristic should be that they are entertaining works of fantasy. The CTO dream is the male equivalent of when a woman thinks she can change the bad boy to commit to her, when she's simply getting pumped & dumped. It's a delightful delusion that ultimately ends in tears.

-The trending lists on Birdeye and Dexscreener are easily manipulated. 90% of trending coins are losers in 72 hrs, and you can assume that 25% are blatant scams (soft honeypots, artificial volatility suppression, outright p&d). Treat 48 hrs as the tipping point for when a new meme begins to show staying power.

-If you don't have your own bot executing trades fee-free, then slippage and bot fees (bonkbot, et al) are too high to harvest volatility as a novice strategy. Yes there are people with highly successful trading bots on sol, but they are mostly applied to more liquid memecoins with moderate volatility and trading history. Volatility harvesting opportunities on new launches under $500k mcap with more than a $10k capital base get eaten by slippage, bot fees, and discounting of an occasional total loss rug pull scenario where even hot $$$ can get caught in rapid, violent rugs.

-The typical pattern for new launches is a parabolic insider runup... Lasting 5 minutes to 6 hrs... Followed by a break in structure, sell off of 40-90% followed by a double top or attempt to reach prior high that fails again into a perpetual bleed.

-In a dog eat dog environment, treat bonding curves on moonshot or pump as a line full of unethical people. The only position in which you are at zero price risk on a bonding curve is if you are literally the first person to seed capital. Being first gives you the privilege and option to dump your coins on anyone in second, third, fourth position, etc. for a higher valustion, since their position on the curve mandates that they buy the same coins that you did, for a higher price. So lots of bottomfeeder types literally look at your addition of funds to a bonding curve as their cue to "cut you in line", dump their coins, and leave you stuck in line, now that they've been serviced. This race to the bottom is why nearly all new launches never make it to radium pair seeding. The black pill is that this is how all markets work and it's why we get emergent shilling culture in venues like twitter, reddit or even CNBC at the social level... And why many seasoned traders tend to think in terms of liquidity, more than price.

-Despite all of this filth, I think new market participants should try paper trading (write down your hypothetical trades, but don't put in actual $$) in small markets where models, narratives, and other higher level retrofits are non-existent. The trenches, like a flee market, can teach extremely valuable lessons about market mechanics and how patterns of human behavior/incentive response resolve.

I will stick to my roots of longer term trades, or outright buy & hold with the rare exception of making large and early bets on ideas where I see exceptional potential. This was an amusing side experiment to help me cope with a very difficult time in my personal life. I hope these observations are useful and inspire caution among others who are in the process of convincing themselves that they are more than cannon fodder in the war for speculative liquidity.

By the way, I have no ill feelings towards speculation. It's not my job to judge why or how individuals engage in markets. People speculate in all markets (the marriage market, the job market, the housing market etc.), and I've seen many people speculate for very noble reasons. We live in a society where many people have correctly calculated that they cannot attain non-negotiable outcomes by following a saturated conventional path, even though they are told to "just work harder", and "get a master's degree". That is why many people have turned to frontier markets like crypto. They identified it as a potential path to realize a supernormal outcome that cannot be achieved though traditional enterprise. And kudos to those who responsibly arrive at that conclusion!

[danb @dnbt777]

yall the first people in the world to see a deep q RL algorithm play 6 dimensional snake in an audio visualizer

[toki @0xToki]

@joherkhan 😳

[jtriley2p @jtriley2p]

https://t.co/MFrBo4h4ee

[toki @0xToki]

@ptr_to_joel repent

[cloud @cloud11665]

>How can I git gud at reverse engineering?
Well do I have an answer just for you

[toki @0xToki]

@grahamfergs add @mantadefi in 🙏

[toki @0xToki]

@dnbt777 Thanks!! Saving this ✍️

[vectorized.eth @optimizoor]

“The swordsmith who forged it had one goal, it’s a sword to slay all demons. He didn’t engrave his name or anything else, just a single letter.”

There’s frightening beauty in code made with a singular purpose. To put all your soul into just one thing.

[toki @0xToki]

@transmissions11 Tell yourself that the faster you finish the non code work the faster you will be able to get to do the code work. Treat it as if non-code stuff is the task you need to do in order to be granted access to the coding work, like in games leveling up to get new abilities unlocked

[alpharush @0xalpharush]

checked my udemy account and i bought so many dumb courses when i started programming... the idea that I should "just learn react" obscured how computers work. wish someone had courses that built the following "toy" projects: compiler, VM, theorem prover, editor, shell, database

[kache @yacineMTB]

>have a mountain of work to do that absolutely must be done
hmmm yesss.. i should start an addictive anime

[tensorfish @tensorfish]

We are so back, retarded griftooors in full force

Tempted to make a more efficient version of it

[toki @0xToki]

@corvus_ikshana And one more type, that is academic / theory oriented