gutt

commander of the chuds

[gutt @0xgutter]

always go with your gut

[gutt @0xgutter]

@Quanterty @404flipped visual larp bro

[gutt @0xgutter]

https://t.co/hxcJpLkaK6

[gutt @0xgutter]

props for building & sunsetting with honor

while everyone tries to build "axiom for PMs", the truth is there isn't nearly enough volume / interest to support any more than a 2-3 winners imo

and those winners will be lucky to be 5% the size of axiom / gmgn / other meme terminals

they'll also prob look much more like @OddsJam / @pikkitsports than anything today

excited to see what @nikshepsvn works on next

[nikshep @nikshepsvn]

spent months on @humanplaneco, a closed source @polymarket terminal. it did $250k+ in volume but i scrapped it anyways.

why? cause every polymarket terminal is the same thing. closed source. a reskin of https://t.co/AB5yqBkyy8 with marginal ux gains. polymarket already takes a 1–1.8% taker fee on every trade, so terminal fees are fees on top of fees you already pay. for a ui. the free ones are vc-funded — they won't stay free.

so i rebuilt humanplane as the first free, open source, fully customizable polymarket terminal. run it locally, forever. don't like something? ask claude to modify it and make it yours.

built w/ a performant rust backend and solidjs, supports market and trader exploration, live charts, orderbook and order execution (market + limit) -- intelligence, perps, trader scoring and more soon

try it out: https://t.co/2grroTrg5c

[gutt @0xgutter]

@catboyautist my apologies mr. catboy

[gutt @0xgutter]

so can someone tell me whether @catboyautist is a Kalshi industry-plant LARP or not lmao

am I meant to believe there is a 21 y/o non-binary furry who is top 0.01% in the world at betting on geopolitical + sports + mention markets?

if so, props to catboy

[blue @manyfacedchud]

regardless of what people tell you, status-maxxing in your early years (teens / early 20s) is def +EV for vast majority of people

surprised to see people claim the opposite

as cost of intelligence decreases, doesn't brand / storytelling become the primary differentiator?

i underestimated the importance of this tbh, but you can fortunately (now and prob always) bypass trad forms of status (school, work, etc) by making ungodly sums of money

the great equalizer in life

[gutt @0xgutter]

fuck it, new $10k-$100k challenge coming tm

need to figure out whether i want to deposit funds onchain or onto dex

could be fun to do it on @legendtrade

dk if I have the mental strength to play onchain rn

will decide tn

[Y22 @real_y22]

@0xwondr rooting for your success, brother.

[gutt @0xgutter]

@game_for_one @real_y22 do you still trade onchain in these conditions?

[gutt @0xgutter]

might have to try another $10k to $100k challenge in honor of my goat @real_y22's return

dk if I got it in me to do it on prediction markets

onchain / perps perhaps

[Y22 @real_y22]

𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐥 𝐧𝐮𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐧𝐠𝐞
888888$ to 8888888$

doing a trading challenge again. third time's a charm

little bit of context:
did a 100k-to-1m trading challenge on twitter from summer to winter in 2024. took me 119 days to complete (was prime conditions back then). highest multiple was 5x, it was done with sound risk management rails and 100+ trades, no big outlier wins or big kingmaker trades and no airdrop money or any form of monetizing my social media. that was my prime. i was max focussed, followed protocol, brushed off mistakes quickly and got back on track fast after setbacks.

shortly after completion of this challenge i off-ramped a bit of money and started a second one. 500k-to-5m challenge, every trade in public wallets and logged in my telegram channel because twitter suspened my acc. ran from december 2024 and stopped in august 2025 with a balance of around 1.5m. it was a failure. the first couple of months went stellar and i quickly tripled my money (again on sound risk management, no excessive risk) but then things started to derail. i took bigger risks, i stopped following protocol, i let trades run longer than necessary and i got sloppy on logging changes. then destiny struck in form of the alt5 sigma and wlfi trades..some of you remember. i got blinded by greed and oversized horribly. was wounded badly and all went downhill from there. in the months that followed i had trouble processing this loss and i could not find my way back. my trading went more and more shizo (pasternaks finest soldiers remember), i overtraded a lot and took low conviction setups instead of being patient. still made some bank here and there and ended the year 2025 breakeven but was mentally wrecked. started drinking and fell into depression. spend everyday reminiscing of what could have been, torturing myself.

bottom line: i could not handle operating a 7-figure portfolio at that time and i had deficits in emotional control that went under the radar previously. i invested a lot of effort, time and money to work on these problems (thank you M for the help) and now i am rdy to try again.

why am i doing this?
my best performances were always while trading in public. i like the pressure, the accountability and it prevents me from doing stupid things when i know people are watching. also this space is full of larps and liars who give people a false impression of what it really means to trade fulltime. i want to give an unfiltered insight into this journey and hope others will follow and we bring a bit of the old glory of CT back. where people had the balls to put their money where their mouth is and respect was only granted to those who had skin in the game and stood their ground in the arena.

the only real downside of doing this sort of public challenges is the risk of anchor bias due to fixed targets. i am aware of that, but in my case i think the benefits outweight the negatives. shooters shoot.

going full Cortez mode again, the boats will be burned. everything that can be sacrificed will be sacrificed. i will move to a fresh tax haven where i don't know a single soul, to lower my tax rate from 16% to 8%. will spend as much time as possible in front of the screen and try to push myself to the maximum. majority of my money will be in the markets again, no big safety nets and no plan B. either let me fly or give me death. no inbetween.

every trade will be logged (entry, exit, size) and will be facilitated on public wallets as much as possible. end of every quarter i will crunch the numbers and publish a summary and an equity curve.

i am using the same template as in my first 2 public trading challenges. the progress bars start at 10% instead of 0% so that eventual negative balances can be displayed. 0% is 0$, 10% is starting point and 100% is 8888888$.

comments will either be disabled or not read. the reasons for this are two-fold. first i want to fade out all the hate and clowning of mistakes that is a sad byproduct of stepping out under the public eye and second because i want to be alone with my thoughts and not get influenced by the opinions of others. i am immensely grateful to my community that supported me and had my back so many times. i truly appreciate all of you, much love. but now its time to be alone with myself and focus on the path. please bear with me.

𝐡𝐨𝐥𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐬:
888888 USDC

𝐭𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐀𝐔𝐌 𝐢𝐧 𝐝𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐫:
888888

𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐠𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐛𝐚𝐫 (𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐳𝐞𝐝):
▮▮▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯ 10%

𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐠𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐛𝐚𝐫 (𝐢𝐧𝐜𝐥𝐮𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐮𝐏𝐧𝐋):
▮▮▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯ 10%

[gutt @0xgutter]

@4sight4skin @catboyautist .@j0hnwang to confirm whether this mf catboy is on performance enhancing stims

[gutt @0xgutter]

@real_y22 thank you brother

[gutt @0xgutter]

@fgenstart @real_y22 yea i gave it a valiant effort last fall

just end up forcing trades and giving gains back

[gutt @0xgutter]

@4sight4skin @catboyautist wym stims

like modafinil? lmao

i used that shit and it made me worse at trading

[gutt @0xgutter]

@real_y22 my goat still got it

[gutt @0xgutter]

dude @PredMTrader is the real deal

really went from +$60k when I first made this challenge acc last fall to +$260k

far better PM trader than I ever was

might be time to run it back & change that 😴

[gutt @0xgutter]

@TakeorMake @Polymarket @Kalshi yea makes sense, money to be made on the idea (prob just need to target trad sports bettors)

but its not for the copytraders lol

[gutt @0xgutter]

so has anyone actually profitably run a copytrading strategy at scale on @Polymarket or @Kalshi ?

if so:

> at what scale?
> on which market category?
> for how long?
> using what tools (if any)?

would love to chat in private if this is you

[gutt @0xgutter]

@TakeorMake @Polymarket @Kalshi lol naturally

mostly asking to understand if anyone is actually using these platforms whose primary usecase seems to be discovering + tailing other traders

[gutt @0xgutter]

@TakeorMake @Polymarket @Kalshi realistically a transparent copytrade/tailing product for normie retail (ie. trad sports betting users) would be killer

not clear that if there are enough organic users to support these in practice though