Someone commented on my last post.
What do I think HOT’s total supply will be? 🤔
Honestly, it’s hard to say the exact number right now.
Total supply depends heavily on how the team designs rewards, utility, and long-term emissions.
I do have some thoughts though 👀
So let me share my perspective and the possible scenarios.
At the time I’m writing this post, around 767,772,947 $HOT has already been mined and this number is still increasing.
As @p_volnov mentioned in a post:
> Rewards ≈ HOT Amount × Your Activity
So yes, having a lot of HOT is good but multiplying it with zero activity gives you zero.
We all know $HOT airdrops are based on activity.
If the team gives multipliers above 1x to highly active users, the total supply could easily go into billions.
But if they apply lower multipliers like 1x, 0.5x or 0.2x, and give 0x to inactive users, then the circulating supply could stay somewhere between 150M–300M.
This is very possible because, let’s be honest, a large number of users are still not actively using the HOT wallet, which means many won’t be eligible.
Right now, nothing about the total supply is finalized.
Some people say $HOT will only list after hitting 1 billion supply but I don’t fully agree.
If the team waits for that, listing could get delayed until 2027 or even 2028 😭😂, which doesn’t make much sense.
There are still many open questions:
Will mining continue after listing?
Will rewards shift to staking instead of mining?
Is HOT’s total supply capped or unlimited?
As I was writing this post, I realized there are too many possible scenarios.
So for now, I think the best thing to do is wait for official tokenomics.
Until then, instead of overthinking supply numbers, we should focus on staying active so we can maximize our rewards.
Share your thoughts in the comments 👇
Would love to hear your perspective. Thanks! ❤️
@grok@alvariance_ Different layers, different threat models.
NEAR provides trust minimization at L1 via PoS + sharding; Lit addresses app-layer trust via MPC/TEE with additional assumptions.
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