Here’s my favorite NBA prop…
🔴 Jalen Johnson Over 43.5 PRAs
Porzingis is gone and Okongwu is questionable. Johnson has gone for 50+ PRAs in both games those two have missed this season.
Even if Okongwu returns, Jalen has covered this line in three of his last five with him and without Porzingis.
Also, Utah’s weaknesses align with Johnson’s strengths:
👉🏼 Utah 30th transition defense
✅ Johnson 7th in player transition PPG
✅ Atlanta 4th in team transition PPG
👉🏼 Utah 30th defensive rim FG%
✅ Johnson 14th in rim FGM per game
👉🏼 Utah 30th in assists allowed
✅ Johnson 8th in assists per game
He had 63 PRAs vs the Jazz earlier this season and should dominate a depleted version of that team after the JJJ trade.
I like him at -122 to go over 44.5 PRAs and don’t mind him for a triple double at +170.
🏀 NBA Thursday Best Bet
🔴 Trae Young Over 11.5 Assists
There’s no reason for me not to run this back after he had 20 assists the other night…
Have a read of my research attached.
21+, gamble responsibly.
WEEK 3 TNF PLAYER PROP 🏈
Collab w/ @millyprops 💸
⭐️ Rhamondre Stevenson 3+ Receptions (-118)
🪜 4+ Receptions (+182)
•NYJ allowed T-5th Most Targets to RBs in 2023 & allowed Tony Pollard (5) & Tyjae Spears (2) to catch 7 passes last week
•20 &21 routes in weeks 1 & 2 (18 vs NYJ in ‘23)
->3/3 last season with 20+ routes
->5/7 last season with 15+ routes
->4/5 vs T12 in RB targets last season (AVG 5.4 Targets in those games -> 16/L21 w/ 4+ Targets)
Rhamondre’s L5 Primetime Games (w/ 23%+ Snap%): -3 Rec (3 Targets)
-6 Rec (8 Targets)
-9 Rec (10 Targets)
-8 Rec (8 Targets)
-4 Rec (4 Targets)
Should be a slow paced, low scoring divisional game & we expect some quick passes to Rhamondre vs a tough NYJ Defense
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Today we go for the full sweep!
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