1austindude

[1austindude @1austindude]

@ZaStocks Crazier moves the closer we move towards and ultimate top in this 20 year bull cycle. Now we have secondary offerings dropping from GOOGL, META, SMCI and largest companies rushing to IPO. Makes you think. Hard.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@ZaStocks Massive supply coming into the market with these 3. In addition GOOGL and now METAS doing share dilution is even more supply.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@SamanthaLaDuc We saw a nearly 6 month grind from Oct to April already!

[1austindude @1austindude]

@CyclesFan TNX blasting higher is what spooked the market. As well as the KOSPI having a big down day. If the Korean market opens and starts heading lower, memory stocks in the US are going to tank with it.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@CyclesFan Resistance doesn’t exist in this market that is being absolutely mechanically maneuvered by the administration. They knew exactly what they were doing with the ceasefire low. Bessent was a Wall Street guy. So is incoming Warsh. This will be the wildest bubble in history.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@bullishmatt We are definitely in the mid to end stages of the 2009 bull cycle. Things can get the most nuts the closer we are to the top.

I was expecting 2028-2029 as the top. 20 years from 2009. 100 years from 1929 crash. But it’s accelerating already… may be pushed earlier.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@alshfaw @Sierra_Econ0001 Not when Trump pumps INTC, DELL and an AVGO news drop all at the same time. Market is no match for the perfectly timed pumps. Insane 20% move on INTC and AVGO pushing SMH even higher.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@CyclesFan $687 after hours here so getting very close already.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@Norseman1 2018. Trump was president. New Fed chair Powell. 11% SPX decline early in the year, then another 20.5% late in 2018. History doesn’t always repeat but it very often rhymes. 2018 it took 6 months to get a new ATH after the 11% drawdown. This time it’s accelerated.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@EliteOptions2 April is the last of the best 6 months of the year. May through October especially in a mid term year is not great seasonally.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@EliteOptions2 No chance. 5900 - 6000 SPX into late summer.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@alshfaw What I fear is that Trump only cares about his legacy - “peace in the Middle East” and not mid terms. He doesn’t never have to run again so now is his time to make his mark on the planet. Whatever it takes. (that would mean recession with oil prices maintaining current levels)

[1austindude @1austindude]

@SwingTraderQ Yes it’s easy to throw up a 100 year chart and make it look bullish. None of is Will even been trading 60 years max. You need context. How about 50-70% declines every few decades that don’t show up over 100 years but
100% hurt and crush.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@SwingTraderQ I also have the Stock Traders Almanac 2026 which again, has similar stats. This is the weakest of the four year presidential cycle going back decades. There is no chance 19% is even close to the average. If you don’t believe Gemini, Stock Trader’s Almanac should do it.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@linzy_long_hold 5

[1austindude @1austindude]

@tradertheory Currently over 97%.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@CyclesFan None of that matters. What matters it is, if they can stop oil tankers from transitioning through the street of Hormuz. Causing oil prices to go stratospheric.

[1austindude @1austindude]

@zerohedge Sure because we all know polls are accurate.