⚾️ MLB Play #1 | 4/17
Logan Webb U18.5 Outs
DK -133 | 1u
Trio w/ @DDOGGSTACKS 🤝 @Daijon_Locks
Logan Webb enters his fifth start of the 2026 season with a clear trend working against him clearing this line. Through four outings, he’s logged 15, 18, 21, and 18 outs; staying under this line in 3 of 4. The recent usage alone shows a shorter leash than we’re used to seeing.
Webb owns a 5.00 ERA (7th percentile), 1.39 WHIP, and a middling 7.5 K/9. His .333 BABIP suggests he’s getting squared up consistently, and it shows in the per start damage: 6.3 hits, 3.3 earned runs, 3.7 total runs, and 2.0 walks. That’s constant traffic, and traffic leads to elevated pitch counts and earlier exits.
His arsenal isn’t generating enough swing and miss to compensate. The sinker (.289 AVG) and sweeper (.291 AVG) are both getting hit, and the cutter has been a major liability (.481 AVG). Even with a solid changeup, he’s sitting on just a 10.0% whiff rate with a .259 average allowed overall; not the profile of a pitcher who can efficiently cruise through 6+ innings right now.
Webb has been noticeably worse against lefties (.280 BA allowed), and Washington can stack them: Wood, Garcia, Lile, Abrams, and Vivas. It’s a contact heavy lineup as well, hitting .247 vs righties with just a 21.9% strikeout rate.
Webb typically has elite durability, but this version of him doesn’t. With the amount of contact, baserunners, and matchup specific risk, it’s unlikely he’s given the runway to reach 19+ outs again.
❤️ IF YOUR TAILING!
📊 @PropsEdge
Code “CHRONIC” for 20% OFF your plan!
#LateNightMLB#FountainsUp vs #RepBX
Cam Schlittler Over 5.5 K’s
📲#Fanduel -114
@OutlierDotBet Insights
⚾️Cam Schlittler has exceeded 5.5 strikeouts in 9 of his last 10 games (7.2 strikeouts/game average).
Over in 4 straight this season . KC is mid pack doe K’s this season at 23% vs RHP as opposed to the 17 % of last season
Powered by @OutlierDotBet
7 Day FREE Trial https://t.co/Knux3l1Fcq
#Gambling𝕏
💫⚾️KBO POTN
BOUCE BACK GWAK!!!
⭐️GWAK BEEN (over 15.5 pitching outs)
Gwak got off on a rough start of the season only pitching 12 outs but to his defense NC was at home which I think it’s a way better NC team vs being on the road. Gwak has went over this line in his only start vs them last year I expect the same here in this spot!