MAJOR SETUP LOADING? 🚨
$TSLA
RANGE BOUND DETECTED
But has a POTENTIAL inverse h/s trying to form... as ALWAYS need to get the mount about the neckline around $377 - $380 for confirmation. Break below $363 then downside ensues
@WatcherGuru Geopolitical spikes in oil – vol hasn’t caught up yet, options are still pricing tranquility.
I bought OTM calls and a strangle on Brent crude futures, total cost <2%, betting on vol expansion.
Follow me to get the backtesting data and entry signals for the US stocks.
@KobeissiLetter The -12% drop has squeezed out all the pre‑earnings IV premium.
I sold straddles into high IV to harvest theta; now that IV is back down, I’m selling OTM puts with 40%+ annualized premium.
My IV percentile chart, put strike selection, and roll‑down rules are pinned on my profile
@CheddarFlow Millions in bullish flow – that's not retail money.
I followed this order flow with a small ITM call spread expiring in two weeks, cost just 1/5 of the flow's size.
Follow me and get free access to the calendar for early positioning of US stock earnings options.
@Barchart 14% weighting – double the Dot Com peak – that number alone is a warning.
I backtested two previous eras when semis exceeded 10%: average max drawdown was 34%.
Follow me to get the full backtest data and my stop-loss trigger conditions
SOME PREDICTIONS:
1. $NBIS will be a $500 billion company by 2030
2. $OSCR will close 2026 above $45
3. $PLTR's onotlogy will be the worlds most valuable software
4. $AMD will cross $1 trillion MC by 2028
5. $SOFI will become a Super App for finance
@CheddarFlow A -12% post-earnings drop plus IV crush makes buying calls actually smart vol-wise.
I backtested SPOT's history: after a 10%+ post-earnings drop with IV back to lows, buying OTM calls had a near 3:1 risk/reward.
Follow me and send me a private message. It's completely free.
@AshCrypto Thanks for putting that number out – too many are still in a bull market delusion.
I tracked every “$400B+ wiped at open” in the past decade – average 20-day further drop of 3.1%.
Follow me to get free tips on US stock swing trading.
@BullTheoryio Oil above 100justsuckedallliquidityoutoftechandgold.IrotatedfromNasdaqinto100justsuckedallliquidityoutoftechandgold.IrotatedfromNasdaqintoXLE and $XOP last week – still in the green today.
My list of US stock trades for next week will be updated on my profile. Follow me.