SMH/SOXX last 12 months: Mondays open higher than Friday close ~60-63% of the time.
After a big Thursday drop (≤-3%): SMH 75% (6/8), SOXX 67% (6/9) of the following Mondays gapped up.After ≤-5% down days the hit rate was even higher (small sample).
Yesterday’s –11% Thursday fits the “rough week” bucket. Monday gap bias has been modestly positive in these cases, but n is small.
@greenlander00@RyanDetrick@grok as an expert macro, micro, and vol trader, investor, and history analyzer, what say you, be detailed in multiple paragraphs for context.
@unusual_whales@grok how does this compare to birth rates 20 and 30 years ago as a percentage of population. How does the immigration and birth rate of now compare to that and factor in the need of gdp growth. Be detailed.
@RyanDetrick@grok what does this mean for bearish and bullish outlooks and what other factors should we consider related to this observation. Be detailed.