From the Power Law:
The Trend ($118,182)
At this level, Bitcoin is perfectly aligned with its long-term power-law growth. It is neither cheap nor expensive just on trend.
Normal Ceiling ($167,802)
This is the healthy bull-market high right now.
Normal Floor ($83,235)
This is the downside equilibrium band. When price trades here, Bitcoin is statistically cheap relative to its long-term growth trend. Historically, this zone marks high-probability accumulation, not structural failure.
The Bitcoin Christmas Present Roadmap: Unwrapping the $118k Trend Value
The market sits at $87,838 on December 16th, very quiet. To the frustration of retail traders hoping for a holiday pump, Bitcoin seems to have been gifted a lump of coal stuck in a sideways bore.
But this silence isn't a lack of interest. It is just the wrapping paper.
Beneath the surface, a massive structural "gift" is being prepared. It is currently boxed up by dealer gamma, bought by institutions, and scheduled for a very specific unboxing date: December 26th.
The Pin (Now – Dec 26)
Price is mechanically pinned to the $85,000 put wall. Dealer hedging suppresses volatility by buying dips and selling rallies. As expiry approaches, the $94,000 max-pain level applies a mild upward pull, but it is not dominant. The $85k pin remains the primary force.
Opening the Present (Dec 26 Expiry) At 8:00 AM UTC
On December 26, roughly 48% of total gamma exposure expires. The $85k floor weakens materially. If price rises just 3.2% and crosses $90,690 the gamma-flip level dealer behavior changes. Suppression breaks. Hedging shifts from damping moves to amplifying them.
The Gift Inside ($118k Trend Value)
The Squeeze (Dec 26 – Jan 30)
The $100,000 call wall is the final structural barrier. Once breached, dealer selling pressure collapses. Above $100k, resistance thins sharply. Price enters a liquidity vacuum where upside is driven by forced hedging, not speculation.
The Reversion (Q1 2026)
With mechanical resistance removed, price is free to seek equilibrium. The power-law trend value sits at $118,012. Reaching it would not signal excess. It would simply unwind the market-coil indicator from the red (coiled) zone back to neutral. No bubble conditions required.
The Gift:
The institutions currently paying a 14% CME basis are not positioning for $94k max pain. They are positioning for structural release and mean reversion.
We are currently staring at a wrapped present under the tree.
When that date hits, the mechanical suppression lifts.
If the price can clear the $90,690 ribbon, the market finally gets its Christmas present: a volatility squeeze that targets the $118,012 trend value a +34% gift from the Power Law to the patient.
@akosikatha@vailshirecap_JR@PrestonPysh@LynAldenContact@saylor@GreeksLive@cz_binance@MicroStrategy
Science just did the unthinkable:
Researchers genetically modified the world's deadliest virus to trace how psilocybin physically repairs the brain...
𝗱𝗼𝘄𝗻 𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝙚𝙭𝙖𝙘𝙩 𝗻𝗲𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗶𝗻𝘃𝗼𝗹𝘃𝗲𝗱.
We've finally figured out why one trip can change your entire life 🧵
While everyone was talking about Upoctober, we called the October Market Crash and now I'm revealing exactly how we did it inside a Video Masterclass 📉🔥
Want access? Just:
-Like
-Retweet
-Comment CRASH
and I’ll send you the link
GOOD EVENING CRYPTO!!! 🌕🌙🍵🫖
As I said in the stream yesterday 8th of October and Today - I AM NOT A FAN OF THE BITCOIN FAKE OUT!!
Money Line on daily turned bearish after the fakeout
BEAR RISK IS INCREASED 🚨🚨🚨
MOST PEOPLE ARE COMPLACENT
RT IF YOU UNDERSTAND
Keep it simple:
- Exit warning on October 15th, at $115K.
- Exit confirmation on November 3rd, at $107K.
Do not enter back till we flip bullish.
This is my own work, based on @ctoLarsson's and @IvanOnTech's trend-following investing approach.
#BTC
@CryptoCon_ Out of the top 30 BTC cycle top indicators, we haven't hit a single one. Your work is intriguing, but I doubt it is accurate. https://t.co/EbjOb3WTcn
The Fed in Central Banks worldwide are about to ease and inject liquidity into the markets. That was NOT the top.
My AI Instagram girl is bringing in $25K a month
Just reached 100K, most of her reels go viral
Nobody notices she is AI
If you want to try creating an AI influencer yourself, like, retweet, and comment “IG.” FOLLOW Must and I will send you a guide with instructions.
Instead of Gmail, use Tuta
Instead of WhatsApp, use Signal
Instead of Netflix, use Jellyfin
Instead of Maps, use OsmAnd
Instead of YouTube, use Odysee
Instead of Google, use DuckDuckGo
Instead of Instagram, use Pixelfed
Instead of TikTok, use Loops
Instead of Google Drive, use CryptPad
Instead of Discord, use Matrix
Instead of Notion, use Notesnook