Predictions: Impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution
Stumbled upon this a few months ago:
https://t.co/SWo9mycDBT
yeah, design systems where you inject a tiny bit of intent and then the loop takes over: plans, acts, checks, iterates, remembers.
your job becomes building the memory layer, the verifier, the triggers.
once it's running you should mostly be out of the loop.
Andrej Karpathy said it perfectly:
> "Remove yourself as the bottleneck. Maximize your leverage. Put in very few tokens, and a huge amount of stuff happens on your behalf."
that's exactly what loop engineering is.
most people think AI engineering is writing better prompts.
it isn't.
it's designing systems that keep working after you've stopped typing.
that means:
โ triggers that start work automatically
โ loops that plan, execute and iterate
โ independent checkers that verify every output
โ persistent memory that survives across sessions
โ observability that catches failures before users do
the model does the work.
the loop decides what happens next.
the harness decides whether the result is good enough.
that's where the real engineering is moving.
I dive into loop engineering, harnesses, verification, memory, Graphiti, Opik, and production agent design in much more detail here:
article quoted below.
How LLMs Switch Reasoning Effort?
At inference, it's a compute dial:
low-effort = fast greedy responses
medium = moderate CoT
high = long hidden reasoning traces (o1-style test-time scaling)
Training teaches it via process supervision + RLVR on verifiable tasks.
@rasbt
How can an LLM switch between low-, medium-, and high-effort reasoning? And how does an LLM learn to reason more or less?
I put together a โlittleโ article explaining how these effort levels are implemented at inference time and during training.
G0DM0D3 is a an open-source, privacy-transparent, multi-model chat interface that pushes the limits of the post-training layer
for red teaming, cognition research, n liberated AI interaction
Built for hackers, philosophers, and system tinkerers.
https://t.co/qE0nQzBnLc
@chamath The cheap Chinese models are subsidized by the state. Same old playbook: flood the market, bankrupt domestic labs, create total dependence. Except now itโs AI, and the counterparty is China.Open-source doesnโt fund frontier training. If youโre not paying, you are the product.
@scmallaby@chamath If US labs go all-in on open source, the entire economic upside collapses. All the capex, infra bets, talent concentration, and $1T+ valuations (openai, anthropic) evaporate.
Frontier AI becomes a commodity race to the bottom against subsidized Chinese labs.
Poor game theory
@scmallaby@chamath If US labs go all-in on open source, the entire economic upside collapses. All the capex, infra bets, talent concentration, and $1T+ valuations (openai, anthropic) evaporate.
Frontier AI becomes a commodity race to the bottom against subsidized Chinese labs.
Poor game theory
@chamath The cheap Chinese models are subsidized by the state. Same old playbook: flood the market, bankrupt domestic labs, create total dependence. Except now itโs AI, and the counterparty is China.Open-source doesnโt fund frontier training. If youโre not paying, you are the product.
@chamath The cheap Chinese models are subsidized by the state. Same old playbook: flood the market, bankrupt domestic labs, create total dependence. Except now itโs AI, and the counterparty is China.Open-source doesnโt fund frontier training. If youโre not paying, you are the product.