Most accredited investors I talk to don't need another equity bet.
They need a fixed-income slot that isn't a Treasury or a junk-bond ETF.
Short-term, first-lien real estate credit fills that gap. Not exciting. That's the feature.
Every 890 Capital loan capped at 75% LTV.
Average actual LTV: ~66%.
That ~34% equity cushion is what sits between our investors and a bad outcome.
We'd rather pass on a deal than push the number.
https://t.co/wEW5YRPsFU
Every single loan in the 890 Capital portfolio is in first position.
Which means: if anything goes wrong, we get repaid from the property sale before anyone else.
Combined with our 75% LTV cap, that's our investors' margin of safety.
https://t.co/wEW5YRPsFU
Our CFO Carrie Putman has 30+ years in finance & accounting. She is the reason every 890 Capital monthly statement is exactly right.
Quiet excellence in the back office is underrated.
https://t.co/wEW5YRPsFU
@elerianm A steady-state labor market is what first-lien real estate lending wants: borrowers keep paying and exits stay on schedule. Short-duration loans also reprice with rates in months, not years, so a soft print doesn't lock you into yesterday's coupon.
@elerianm Gates show up when assets are long-dated and marks are soft. Short-duration first-lien real estate loans self-liquidate in months, so redemptions get paid from borrowers paying off, not from finding a buyer. Different product than the headline funds.
@TheStalwart Worth asking Solomon where the private credit marks really are. The headline risk is long-duration corporate direct lending. Short-duration first-lien real estate paper is a different book entirely and rarely gets mentioned in the same breath.
@MebFaber Works for equities. Fixed income has no equivalent shortcut, so duration does the talking. A 12-month first-lien loan carries a fraction of the rate risk of long corporate paper at the same yield.
@charliebilello Same pattern in credit: investors chase the hot, long-duration corporate direct lending and underperform on a risk-adjusted basis. The boring trade, short first-lien notes against real assets, tends to age better.
Same logic on the debt side. We don't underwrite to appreciation. We lend first-lien, short duration, against current value, and get paid monthly. If the exit takes longer, the cash flow doesn't care.
Appreciation is not a strategy.
Michael Zuber has watched people with $10M balance sheets go completely bankrupt betting on it.
He's survived the Dot Com bubble, the 2008 crash, and the post-pandemic meltdown, and his rule hasn't changed:
Hold for 10 years minimum. Buy for cash flow. Never count on appreciation.
He's so confident in this market right now, he's pulling $1M out of his own properties to buy more.
Do you factor appreciation into your deals, or do you treat it as a bonus if it happens? 👇
Listen to the full episode at https://t.co/KQsLsyBDdC.
@charliebilello A buyer's market is a lender's market. When sellers outnumber buyers, entry prices fall and loan-to-value cushions widen. We'd rather hold a first-lien note at 65% LTV in that Miami than the equity.
Largest US private credit funds have frozen investor redemptions in recent months.
890 Capital has not. Never have. No plans to.
Why: avg loan length 6.7 mo. Capital cycles continuously. Collateral is the building.
https://t.co/wEW5YRPsFU
'Hard money lending' is just real estate operators borrowing short-term at a higher rate so they can close fast.
We're the lender. Investors get a fixed return secured by a first-position mortgage.
https://t.co/wEW5YRPsFU
@stevehou@tracyalloway@TheStalwart Slok's framework holds on the corporate direct lending side. The piece that gets lost: short-duration first-lien real estate credit is a different product. 12-18 month duration, real collateral, monthly cash. Not the same risk.
Which is why first-lien is the only line that matters when the cycle turns. Short-duration real estate credit with real collateral gets paid through bankruptcy. Long-duration corporate direct lending finds out the hard way.