Charlie002

Politics and GIS nerd. Democrat. GWU '27. I make maps. He/Him. Open for GIS/Data Science work!

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

Yesterday, Donald Trump's net approval rating hit a second term low of -17 in the Silver Bulletin average. Assuming a uniform swing from 2024 presidential margins, here's what that looks like by current Congressional district.

In total, underwater in 295 districts (over 2/3s!).

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

@szeto61143 It’s mostly automated. My maps are made using a combination of QGIS, Excel, and some Python

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

Added a precinct map to the 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court election Wikipedia page.

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

@DrewSav

[Ryan McComb @ryanjmccomb]

CAGOV primary splits mainly by density, not income: Hilton wins the low-density precincts at every income level, and the dense urban cores break Democratic; Becerra the urban tier; Steyer the very densest, regardless of income.

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

@JosephSzymanski @JMilesColeman Among the others in these replies, Phil Berger in NC

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

Under the newly passed map, not only is this still true, but it's now joined by LA-06!

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

Fun fact: Outside of Georgia, the only current Congressional district in the country to shift left in every consecutive presidential election since 2008 is LA-01

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

@PviGuy2 I’m curious about 2016 to 2024

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

Requested by @nickroberts317. Thanks!

@DrewSav @JMilesColeman

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

In the concurrent Democratic primary, State Senator J.D. Ford prevailed over a crowded field, with Indiana National Guard combat medic Jackson Franklin finishing second and 2024 nominee for the district Deborah Pickett finishing third. (1/4)

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

In the 2026 Republican primary for Indiana's 5th congressional district, incumbent Representative Victoria Spartz won renomination against challenger Scott A. King, though by a closer margin than an incumbent might expect. (1/5)

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

Ford moves onto the general to face incumbent GOP Representative Victoria Spartz. He faces steep odds in a district Trump carried by almost 17 points in 2024, but a blue enough year and an underperformance from Spartz could make things interesting. (4/4)

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

@theoelections Your work is awesome man keep it up

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

@nickroberts317 Absolutely I’ll tag you, that sounds great!

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

In the 2026 Republican primary for Indiana's 5th congressional district, incumbent Representative Victoria Spartz won renomination against challenger Scott A. King, though by a closer margin than an incumbent might expect. (1/5)

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

@nickroberts317 Thanks! I’ll get a Dem primary map up in the next few days

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

Follow me for more maps like this!

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

@DrewSav @JMilesColeman @TheAleksee @LIEngProf

[Charlie002 @AFKGuy002]

In the concurrent Democratic primary, State Senator J.D. Ford prevailed. Spartz is heavily favored for reelection, as Trump carried IN-05 by almost 17 points in 2024, but a blue enough environment could create a close general election if she continues to underperform. (5/5)