America First Insight

Practical, no-nonsense U.S. political analysis. Pushing real America First ideas.

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[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

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[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

Vote for Matt Van Epps, great Congressman and his opponent is an insane liberal!

[Matt Van Epps @MattForTN]

I'm appalled. Tennessee, stand with me in defense of life. We need your vote.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

Out of an abundance of caution, the website has been locked down while our hosting provider awaits rolling out the updated PHP patch.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

This is a big reason that the OBBBA restricted federal welfare for legal immigrants, making most of them citizen only.

[Patrick Casey @restoreorderusa]

One of the main takeaways – an underdiscussed one – from Nick Shirley's excellent coverage is that the Somali scammers, in most cases, likely came to America legally, disproving the "as long as they come legally!" delusion to which some conservatives still cling.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

@DavidWa95761507 They are being deported or running to blue states.

Here in FL Haitian enrollment in Orange County School system is down 40%+.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

Local news always has a better picture of whats occurring in cities with a lot of immigrants.

John Adam, and Peter Smith are not the type of people buying Haitian goods. So when the Haitian goods store starts losing money and business, it means they are losing Haitians.

[Prowler @derzum_]

In Springfield, Ohio, the Haitian invasion is showing signs of reversal.

WaPo reports that local businesses are contracting and sales have fallen as formerly TPS holding Haitans lose their jobs, leave the area or get deported. Immigration advocates call the loss 'unprecedented'.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

Statement on AFI Aggregate.

We removed the Wedgewood Polls from our aggregates.

The AFI Aggregate weighs Polls based on their Pollsters grade. During the last 30 Days of an election our Aggregate moves to only B & Up graded pollsters, and brand new pollsters are the equivalent of D graded pollster.

The added value is nearly zero, especially if there are good polls in the aggregate, however, any polling firm that fakes or manipulates polls against what they got are just straight up removed and are blacklisted from the aggregate.

To demonstrate how little of an effect it had in the moment. McMorrow was at 9.5% the day she dropped out, with D graded Wedgewood removed she is at 10.2%.

About 0.6% of a change. There were also only about 3 other polls in the average that day. With 1 solid poll, and 2 C graded polls.

Going forward, unknown pollsters added to the aggregate (mostly for archival purposes) will be further downgraded to 0 weight.

Thank you.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

Waiting for @USCIS to upload September naturalization numbers.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

France has a trade surplus with Israel by the way.

Making around $670M annually from their trading.

French GDP per capita is up 20% in the past 3 years. French median wages are up like 10% over the past 5 years. Not great, but that's all of Europe due to their bureaucrats, a lot of which are Europeans.

The only reason home ownership has declined in France is because there are more people there now, and urban housing is expensive.

Their unemployment is high thanks to "migrants". Their recent riots are actually due to "migrants".

[Mo Khan @mokhanhim]

The newest jewish playbook is blaming “immigrants” for the protests and uprisings across the world

These protests are a direct result of jews crashing economies, stealing money for Israel, and making the average goyim life so miserable that the people feel they have no other choice but to rise against the government

Never forget the real enemy.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

Are you aware that all the Senators elected THIS CYCLE will play a hand in the early 2030s Social Security reform?

The Rs have candidates open to privatization and ending fraud to keep it affordable.

The Democrats will bankrupt you, and ensure everyone on a visa and who crossed the border will get Social Security.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

You, yes you, can go vote Republican in the next few days and be a patriot to this great nation.

You will save your children's future, and you will save lives.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

You, yes you, can go vote Republican in the next few days and be a patriot to this great nation.

You will save your children's future, and you will save lives.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

@watchtower1683 SCOTUS

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

They also published a R+4 Mississippi poll, and a week later National Dems put $1M into the race.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

Wow, McMorrow is pointing out that a fake poll likely caused her to drop out, due to donors and such pulling out because they trusted "public polls" over internals.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

Wow, McMorrow is pointing out that a fake poll likely caused her to drop out, due to donors and such pulling out because they trusted "public polls" over internals.

[Mallory McMorrow @MalloryMcMorrow]

As one of the candidates featured in these polls - the infamous one in late June that showed me plummeting into single digits (which was at odds with our internals) - here's the impact of this "experiment"

- Donations dried up
- Volunteers were devastated and pleading for guidance on what to do
- Reporters hounded me with calls to drop out

Sure, a point was proven. Polling is broken. But tens of thousands of people poured their hearts, time, energy, hard-earned money into something they believed in - for a year-and-a-half, and it was treated like a game. Our volunteers gave their all. And then some. I felt like I had let so many of them down.

To be extremely clear, Michigan Democrats are locked in to beat Mike Rogers. We WILL send @AbdulElSayed to the US Senate.

But between crap like this, endless fundraising texts that drive supporters away with spammy fake deadlines and trash "match" claims, scam PACs run rampant for firms to grift without actually supporting candidates, undisclosed content creators pushing content out either misrepresenting themselves as residents of states they don't live in or hiding whether they were paid and by who so they could make a buck, and the tidal wave of dark money ads -- I hope Democrats are ready to blow up the system with campaign finance and transparency reforms.

Trust is already at an all-time low. We don't get out of this mess without rebuilding trust.

And media - who loves to ride the drama of a pollercoaster - needs to take a hard look at what's legitimate and what's not.

If this teaches us anything - DON'T GET COMPLACENT AND DON'T TRUST THE POLLS.

LOCK IN. SIGN UP FOR A CANVASSING SHIFT. LEAVE NOTHING TO CHANCE OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

As a group that Sponsored a real poll.

It is very expensive.

Do you guys know how much it costs to text thousands of phones?

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

You can tell most new pollsters are fake or shady because its a thousands and thousands of dollars investment, that really has zero return until you have a name for yourself.

Unless you are legacy media, incredibly hard to keep the machine running.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

If anyone wants to bankroll like $75k we will open up our own polling firm and it will give very meh results for like 2 cycles.

Then after like another $150k we might get good results.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

@homeboy_prophet Close enough!

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

If anyone wants to bankroll like $75k we will open up our own polling firm and it will give very meh results for like 2 cycles.

Then after like another $150k we might get good results.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

You can tell most new pollsters are fake or shady because its a thousands and thousands of dollars investment, that really has zero return until you have a name for yourself.

Unless you are legacy media, incredibly hard to keep the machine running.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

You can tell most new pollsters are fake or shady because its a thousands and thousands of dollars investment, that really has zero return until you have a name for yourself.

Unless you are legacy media, incredibly hard to keep the machine running.

[America First Insight @AF_Insight]

Never had massive weight on AFI!

[Preston Hill @realPrestonHill]

Just a few examples of Wedgewood Polls holding significant weight in Silver Bulletin's polling averages: