I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.
I often observe people making decisions if their odds of being right are greater than 50 percent. What they fail to see is how much better off they'd be if they raised their chances even more (you can almost always improve your odds of being right by doing things that will give you more information). The expected value gain from raising the probability of being right from 51 percent to 85 percent (i.e., by 34 percentage points) is seventeen times more than raising the odds of being right from 49 percent (which is probably wrong) to 51 percent (which is only a little more likely to be right). Think of the probability as a measure of how often you're likely to be wrong. Raising the probability of being right by 34 percentage points means that a third of your bets will switch from losses to wins. That's why it pays to stress-test your thinking, even when you're pretty sure you're right. #principleoftheday
Most teams have a bias.
They are good at testing usability, but forget about desirability.
Or they are good at feasibility, but forget about viability.
Come learn a balanced approach to identifying assumptions: https://t.co/s3RGEfnbtX
#prodmgmt#ux#engineering
If you enjoyed the post below and you want to learn more about Product thinking vs. Project thinking – including how you can support your team members in doing more Product thinking – register for this free online event on Jan 18 hosted by @productboard:
https://t.co/q5zvQk5djX
A special grand jury investigating Trump and his allies over election interference in Georgia finishes its work, will issue report to prosecutors https://t.co/qjb7yXkN6s
A pilot and passenger are dead after a plane crashed into a car dealership lot near Marietta, Ohio. Authorities say no one on the ground was injured https://t.co/xOYydU8LB6
@danbri Only for things that I rarely use, like grouping all new utilities every time I move. Or for keeping research tabs "saved" in case a browser crashes, since Chrome doesn't always bring back all the tabs after a crash on Mac.
Waking up astounded every morning that the party that consistently wins elections despite having gotten fewer votes is the one that has been taken over by extremists who think elections are rigged.
The U.S. slaughtered millions of buffalo, the way it massacred millions of Indigenous people. America’s never ever been “pro-life” — I feel an urgent need, to make this abundantly clear.
Solid reminder from @JamesClear in these times where info usually comes attached to ulterior motives:
When you choose who to follow on Twitter, you are choosing your future thoughts.
Product-Market fit is often viewed as a static concept: either you have it or you don’t.
In my experience, it is better to think of fit as a dynamic state based on your progress towards your vision & know what fit you currently have.
Check out the 4 Types of Product-Market fit:
Suspicious how everyone blames the rising cost of a burrito on workers getting a $1 raise but not the fact that CEO pay has gone up 1,322% in the last 43 years.
Last year Chipotle gave its CEO a $24 million raise and paid him 2,898x more than their median employee.
"Knowledge is a skyscraper. You can take a shortcut with a fragile foundation of memorization, or build slowly upon a steel frame of understanding."
@naval