The bottom is not in yet
BITCOIN possible bottom ($28,000 to $30,000)
ETHEREUM possible bottom ($700 to $1000)
SOLANA possible bottom($15 to $20)
I will stake my reputation on it.
@TheGreekTrader@Polymarket totally agree with you, thanks for the feedback and we are changing a bunch of stuff internally to make sure this doesn't happen again.
Everyone speaks about the market that should resolve to YES on @Polymarket today
Strategy sold 32 BTC between May 26 and May 31
8-K filed June 1, timestamps the sale as "of May 31, 4PM ET"
inside the window. first sale since 2022.
and @Polymarket is about to resolve the market as NO because the disclosure hit one day after the deadline.
let's be real about what this is
> $253M in volume on just the May 31 market
> 19,843 YES holders at 0.4¢ right now
> two NO proposals already disputed by the community
> a trader publicly disclosed buying 49,695 YES shares for $35K USDC after reading on-chain activity
> Polymarket added the clarification "confirmation outside the timeframe doesn't count" AFTER the dispute started
paying out the YES holders costs a few million. it's not nothing, but it will be recovered in no time.
most of the winners will put it back into the platform within weeks.
But resolving NO by quietly retrofitting the rules at the last minute costs the one thing prediction markets actually need: TRUST.
> community walks
> traders take the case to court (already happening)
> every future market gets read by lawyers, not gamblers
> UMA's token voting model gets exposed even harder than the WSJ already did
the sale happened. Strategy's own filing says it did.
the only argument for NO is "we didn't know yet" which is the exact opposite of how event based contracts have always resolved.
@Polymarket built something real here.
losing it over retroactive rule interpretation is the kind of mistake you don't come back from.
13 hours to final review. do the right thing.
resolve YES. the next 1000 markets are watching
🚨 BREAKING: Trader @0xDinosaur lost $35,000 on the @Polymarket scam and is taking Legal Action.
This 20-year old student takes on a $9 Billion company.
He reported the scam to the @FBI, @CFTC and @FTC.
I was the #1 holder of the market in question, and compiled his posts 👇
No amount of fraudulent or questionable voting can change the fact that MicroStrategy sold 32 BTC before May 31st. Documentary evidence from the SEC website:mstr-20260530
无论有多少欺诈性或可疑的投票行为,都无法改变这样一个事实:MicroStrategy 在 5 月 31 日之前确实卖出了 32 枚比特币。相关文件可参见美国证券交易委员会的网站:mstr-20260530
嗨,塞勒 @saylor 在polymarket上竟然要判决你的出售比特币的事实是无效的。你可以来买yes,获得几百倍的利润,这样你可以继续加仓btc了。
Hi Saylor @saylor
, There's actually a Polymarket market betting that the fact of you selling Bitcoin is invalid. You can go buy Yes right now and potentially get hundreds of times your money back — then you can keep stacking more BTC!
如果Polymarket希望这个市场要求在截止日期前确认,规则需要明确说明。它没有。
规则说的是“sells”(出售),而不是“announces”(宣布)、“discloses”(披露)或“is confirmed before the deadline”(在截止日期前得到确认)。
对,重点不是 “宣布” 而是“出售”
FOR THIS SITUATION
The fair resolution should be YES.
The market question is not “ https://t.co/4FiwoHleSo ” The question is whether MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026, 11 :59 PM ET.
Strategy’s own filing confirmed that it sold 32 BTC between May 26 and May 31, 2026. That means the sale occurred inside the market’s timeframe. The fact that the filing became public on June 1 does not change the actual event date.
⚠️⚠️
If Polymarket wanted this market to require confirmation before the deadline, the rule needed to say that clearly. It did not. The rule says “sells,” not “announces,” “discloses,” or “is confirmed before the deadline.”
⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️
There is also precedent. In the Khamenei “out as Supreme Leader by March 31” market, the resolution depended on whether the event occurred within the market timeframe, not simply whether every piece of confirmation was available before the deadline.
That market went through disputes and still finalized YES.
⚠️⚠️⚠️
Applying a different standard here creates an unfair double standard. A later disclosure can still prove that the underlying event happened before the deadline.
⚠️⚠️⚠️
Otherwise, Polymarket is changing the question after the fact from “Did the event happen?” to “Was the event confirmed before the deadline?”
The evidence is clear: Strategy sold Bitcoin between May 26 and May 31. Therefore, under the plain wording of the market, the correct outcome is YES.