Aaron Schatz 🏈

Chief Analytics Officer @FTNFantasy. Creator of DVOA. ESPN+ NFL analyst. Ex-radio DJ. AP All-Pro/MVP voter. I specialize in nuanced, ice-cold NFL takes.

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

This is a pinned tweet for people new to my work.

DVOA explainer: https://t.co/vlTLXxBg6R

Latest DVOA numbers: https://t.co/F9j8zzt7TZ

Stats content on FTN: https://t.co/MOFoSCpDij

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

My picks column is 9-1 the last two weeks. Hitting my stride?

https://t.co/eY0YaPC2Sf

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

New free piece at @FTNFantasy: @BryKno looks at all the trade deadline deals using our Stats iQ tool and DVOA metrics.

https://t.co/v5RjfCwnmp

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

I've done a new playoff odds simulation accounting for the Kirk Cousins trade. Assuming they will now have a slightly below-average offense, the Vikings' odds of winning the NFC North go from 14% to 30%.

https://t.co/zjO6nkUG3T

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

@Timo_NFL @benbbaldwin First time they've ever been No. 1 in my DVOA numbers.

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

New DVOA ratings and commentary: Jaguars No. 1 for the first time ever. (It's not just because of Joe Fagnano.) Plus, why the NFC North isn't as high as you expect.

https://t.co/RXnHOBIUpP

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

Yesterday, I wrote in Quick Reads about Jordan Love on pace to break the record for DYAR on deep passes.

MNF is also now added to this week's DYAR tables.

https://t.co/BdfGOJW6X2

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

DVOA playoff odds now updated. Some Super Bowl odds:

Super Bowl XXIII-XVI Rematch (SF-CIN) 8.3%
Allen Robinson Classic (CHI-JAX) 4.2%
Lake Erie Bowl (DET-BUF) 2.2%
Walmart Bowl (LAR-DEN) 0.6%

https://t.co/zjO6nkUG3T

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

JT bringing respect for his offensive line thanks to @NextGenStats #ad

[Jonathan Taylor @JayT23]

Not sure why @awscloud brought me in for this investigation We all know the guys up front like Bernhard Raimann deserve the credit for all my touchdowns. NFL @nextgenstats has the evidence to back me up on this! Time to give the O-line their flowers!! #ad

[Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau]

Twenty years ago today @ASchatzNFL gave me an opportunity to introduce FEI to the world with a guest column at Football Outsiders. Grateful for the community there and everyone that's been an amplifier ever since.

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

We're going to have to check the analytics on the Jaylen Brown card. #ad

[Legion Hoops @LegionHoops]

These new Fanatics American Express Cards look exactly like a Topps trading card 👏

Which NBA player would you want on your credit card?

[FTN @FTNFantasy]

The Jacksonville Jaguars are No. 1 in DVOA for the first time in franchise history 🐆

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

New Quick Reads: Last year, Matthew Stafford set a new record for DYAR value on deep passes. Jordan Love is on pace to surpass it after his huge Week 9 performance. Plus, best and worst of the week by DYAR.

https://t.co/BdfGOJW6X2

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

NFL Week 9 Recap: Biggest Takeaways and DVOA Analysis https://t.co/f87QVeL1El

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

The Jacksonville Jaguars will end a week No. 1 in DVOA for the first time in franchise history, passing the San Francisco 49ers this week.

Cincinnati third.

All numbers here on @FTNFantasy: https://t.co/F9j8zzt7TZ

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

New at @FTNFantasy, @BryKno looks through our Stats iQ tool to identify the flaws of this year's top NFL MVP candidates. There's no clear front-runner, so it's a really interesting race!

https://t.co/eVUl4MK0fL

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

In case you missed this yesterday, @DanPizzuta solved some weaknesses on top NFL contenders using the FTN Stats iQ tool.

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

New at @ftnfantasy: @DanPizzuta uses Stats iQ to make some trades that would help fill weaknesses on a few important NFL contenders.

https://t.co/cO3CueIzg5

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

New at @ftnfantasy: @DanPizzuta uses Stats iQ to make some trades that would help fill weaknesses on a few important NFL contenders.

https://t.co/cO3CueIzg5

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

NFL Week 9 Preview: Bills-Vikings, Packers-Patriots & Biggest Matchups https://t.co/71MN5Z7hGO

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

FTN has been running cool DVOA split graphics for individual games. Which of these sets of splits would you find more interesting if we only have space for one?

[Aaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL]

Hey! Is it Week 9 already? Incredible. Let's preview it with guest @DanPizzuta sitting in for Mike Tanier on the Schatz and Tanier podcast/livestream. Noon eastern!

https://t.co/uhGcgNad0A