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Adam
@AdamDaviesPod
Life is full of surprises
Bristol, UK
Joined August 2021
258 Following
83 Followers
1.9K Posts
@misterduncan Ahem
"The International Panel on Climate Change has essentially just admitted that all the climate scare stories of the past 20 years are junk. Turns out, the alarmist forecasts that led to mass climate psychosis are 'implausible'."
@cmorrisonesq on the Sceptic.
Full episode👇
@misterduncan isn't a scientist, doesn't think like a scientist and doesn't understand science.
Unfortunately, a lot of people are like Duncan.
@DouglasFur22993 @bigpicturepol @AdamDaviesPod @AaronBastani Geothermal heat is accounted for as a tiny background flux or safely neglected in global climate forcing because it is ~0.09 W/m2. Not a "significant input".
Volcanic forcing is factored in climate models.
Climate models are remarkably accurate: https://t.co/rim0LsAXQG
Microsoft Copilot is driving me (and thousands of others) insane 😂
It casually invents menu options, features & settings in Office/Windows that don't exist. Then it gives you a 5-step tutorial instead of just doing the damn thing.
Classic AI hallucination + "tell, don't do" energy.
Pro tip: Never trust one AI. Cross-check everything with Grok, Claude, Gemini etc.
450 million people have Copilot.
Only 3.3% are paying for it.
Of those, fewer than 4 in 10 use it regularly.
When users have a choice between Copilot, ChatGPT, and Gemini at the same time — they choose Copilot 8% of the time.
Copilot has a trust and utility problem.
This is sooo tedious. Firstly, there was global cooling between 1945 to 1980, so you are comparing your fridge to your oven.
Secondly, comparing point data to a time range is stupid. It's like comparing your oven temperature at 3pm to it's average temperature on Sunday when you wereaking a roast.
Finally, nobody is denying climate change, the argument is how much of that change is down to Humans. If you think you know the answer to that, then please quantify the change due to other sources (insects, vegetation, solar radiation, oceans etc). It you can't do the latter, you can't do the former.
And finally++ ooh look colours 👀
This is sooo tedious. Firstly, there was global cooling between 1945 to 1980, so you are comparing your fridge to your oven.
Secondly, comparing point data to a time range is stupid. It's like comparing your oven temperature at 3pm to it's average temperature on Sunday when you wereaking a roast.
Finally, nobody is denying climate change, the argument is how much of that change is down to Humans. If you think you know the answer to that, then please quantify the change due to other sources (insects, vegetation, solar radiation, oceans etc). It you can't do the latter, you can't do the former.
And finally++ ooh look colours 👀
I know it's pointless, but still.
@misterduncan , I just imagine your a retired person with too much time on your hands.
The really interesting question is, if you believe in the scientific method, how would you propose falsification of the man-made climate change hypothesis?
Answer that and all your dreams will come true.
@misterduncan isn't a scientist, doesn't think like a scientist and doesn't understand science.
Unfortunately, a lot of people are like Duncan.
I think I've explained this somewhere before. If you think like a scientist, you think "how can I show that the man-made climate hypothesis is wrong?" It will take you about 10 minutes to answer that question.
@AaronBastani does not have a scientific background, and it shows.
Thank you for your attention.
Seem as so you asked, here goes, but it's quite the read.
What is Science?
Science is a process, not a conclusion. The process works like this:
1. You identify some natural phenomenon that interests you (i.e. a apple falling from a tree, warming temperatures, etc)
2. You undertake a lot of study, experimentation and data collection, trying to work out what is going on.
3. When you think you have worked out what is going on, then you write this up on a hypothesis.
3.1 Your hypothesis must do ALL of the following:
# Explain and fit in with all the data and experiments you have conducted.
# Be testable in that it can be used to make predictions that others people can run experiments against.
4. This is the most important bit. Other scientists take your findings and try to *disprove* your hypothesis. This is the purpose of science - not to prove your hypothesis correct, but to prove it's wrong. That is how science and knowledge progresses.
The most important thing to note, is that if a single experiment goes against your hypothesis, then your hypothesis is WRONG.
NOTE: there is a term used for people who do the "I'll show this hypothesis is correct" stuff, and that term is 'pseudoscience'.
Every hypothesis, prediction and forecast the Climate people have made has been proven wrong time and time again. Now they always say "Look the climate is changing, that proves the theory of man-made climate change is real" - like the first post in this thread, which demonstrates that the person who made that post does not know what science is or that the hypothesis have been continuously proven wrong by real-world events.
https://t.co/nLDDHcw8xA
@bigpicturepol @misterduncan @AaronBastani That's easy, ask those scientist what percentage of climate change is man-made. What percentage is down to the sun, and what percentage is other causes.
Easy. The hypothesis is that carbon increases in the atmosphere is causing climate change and the increase is caused by humans. However, there was global cooling from 1945 to about 1975, while Carbon immission increased.
Also, there are periods before the industrial revolution where the climate was hotter and cooler. For example during the Roman and viking times the climate was much hotter. From 1650 for about 100 years the client wasuch colder. So cold the Themes regularly froze over.
The fact that the climate warmed at a significant rate from 1700 to 1850, and that trend has continued from 1850 to today, is evidence that man-made climate hypothesis is WRONG.
Of you can answer what caused climet warming for the 200 years before the industrial revolution, then I'm all ears.
Seem as so you asked, here goes, but it's quite the read.
What is Science?
Science is a process, not a conclusion. The process works like this:
1. You identify some natural phenomenon that interests you (i.e. a apple falling from a tree, warming temperatures, etc)
2. You undertake a lot of study, experimentation and data collection, trying to work out what is going on.
3. When you think you have worked out what is going on, then you write this up on a hypothesis.
3.1 Your hypothesis must do ALL of the following:
# Explain and fit in with all the data and experiments you have conducted.
# Be testable in that it can be used to make predictions that others people can run experiments against.
4. This is the most important bit. Other scientists take your findings and try to *disprove* your hypothesis. This is the purpose of science - not to prove your hypothesis correct, but to prove it's wrong. That is how science and knowledge progresses.
The most important thing to note, is that if a single experiment goes against your hypothesis, then your hypothesis is WRONG.
NOTE: there is a term used for people who do the "I'll show this hypothesis is correct" stuff, and that term is 'pseudoscience'.
Every hypothesis, prediction and forecast the Climate people have made has been proven wrong time and time again. Now they always say "Look the climate is changing, that proves the theory of man-made climate change is real" - like the first post in this thread, which demonstrates that the person who made that post does not know what science is or that the hypothesis have been continuously proven wrong by real-world events.
https://t.co/nLDDHcw8xA
Seem as so you asked, here goes, but it's quite the read.
What is Science?
Science is a process, not a conclusion. The process works like this:
1. You identify some natural phenomenon that interests you (i.e. a apple falling from a tree, warming temperatures, etc)
2. You undertake a lot of study, experimentation and data collection, trying to work out what is going on.
3. When you think you have worked out what is going on, then you write this up on a hypothesis.
3.1 Your hypothesis must do ALL of the following:
# Explain and fit in with all the data and experiments you have conducted.
# Be testable in that it can be used to make predictions that others people can run experiments against.
4. This is the most important bit. Other scientists take your findings and try to *disprove* your hypothesis. This is the purpose of science - not to prove your hypothesis correct, but to prove it's wrong. That is how science and knowledge progresses.
The most important thing to note, is that if a single experiment goes against your hypothesis, then your hypothesis is WRONG.
NOTE: there is a term used for people who do the "I'll show this hypothesis is correct" stuff, and that term is 'pseudoscience'.
Every hypothesis, prediction and forecast the Climate people have made has been proven wrong time and time again. Now they always say "Look the climate is changing, that proves the theory of man-made climate change is real" - like the first post in this thread, which demonstrates that the person who made that post does not know what science is or that the hypothesis have been continuously proven wrong by real-world events.
https://t.co/nLDDHcw8xA
Seem as so you asked, here goes, but it's quite the read.
What is Science?
Science is a process, not a conclusion. The process works like this:
1. You identify some natural phenomenon that interests you (i.e. a apple falling from a tree, warming temperatures, etc)
2. You undertake a lot of study, experimentation and data collection, trying to work out what is going on.
3. When you think you have worked out what is going on, then you write this up on a hypothesis.
3.1 Your hypothesis must do ALL of the following:
# Explain and fit in with all the data and experiments you have conducted.
# Be testable in that it can be used to make predictions that others people can run experiments against.
4. This is the most important bit. Other scientists take your findings and try to *disprove* your hypothesis. This is the purpose of science - not to prove your hypothesis correct, but to prove it's wrong. That is how science and knowledge progresses.
The most important thing to note, is that if a single experiment goes against your hypothesis, then your hypothesis is WRONG.
NOTE: there is a term used for people who do the "I'll show this hypothesis is correct" stuff, and that term is 'pseudoscience'.
Every hypothesis, prediction and forecast the Climate people have made has been proven wrong time and time again. Now they always say "Look the climate is changing, that proves the theory of man-made climate change is real" - like the first post in this thread, which demonstrates that the person who made that post does not know what science is or that the hypothesis have been continuously proven wrong by real-world events.
https://t.co/nLDDHcw8xA
@mjd7718 @AaronBastani Easy:
Please tell me a single measurable long-term prediction that any metrologist has got right.
Seem as so you asked, here goes, but it's quite the read.
What is Science?
Science is a process, not a conclusion. The process works like this:
1. You identify some natural phenomenon that interests you (i.e. a apple falling from a tree, warming temperatures, etc)
2. You undertake a lot of study, experimentation and data collection, trying to work out what is going on.
3. When you think you have worked out what is going on, then you write this up on a hypothesis.
3.1 Your hypothesis must do ALL of the following:
# Explain and fit in with all the data and experiments you have conducted.
# Be testable in that it can be used to make predictions that others people can run experiments against.
4. This is the most important bit. Other scientists take your findings and try to *disprove* your hypothesis. This is the purpose of science - not to prove your hypothesis correct, but to prove it's wrong. That is how science and knowledge progresses.
The most important thing to note, is that if a single experiment goes against your hypothesis, then your hypothesis is WRONG.
NOTE: there is a term used for people who do the "I'll show this hypothesis is correct" stuff, and that term is 'pseudoscience'.
Every hypothesis, prediction and forecast the Climate people have made has been proven wrong time and time again. Now they always say "Look the climate is changing, that proves the theory of man-made climate change is real" - like the first post in this thread, which demonstrates that the person who made that post does not know what science is or that the hypothesis have been continuously proven wrong by real-world events.
https://t.co/nLDDHcw8xA
@JCDuncanauthor @AaronBastani Your do not have the intelligence to know what a scientist is.
Albert Einstein:
"No amount of experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me wrong."
Seem as so you asked, here goes, but it's quite the read.
What is Science?
Science is a process, not a conclusion. The process works like this:
1. You identify some natural phenomenon that interests you (i.e. a apple falling from a tree, warming temperatures, etc)
2. You undertake a lot of study, experimentation and data collection, trying to work out what is going on.
3. When you think you have worked out what is going on, then you write this up on a hypothesis.
3.1 Your hypothesis must do ALL of the following:
# Explain and fit in with all the data and experiments you have conducted.
# Be testable in that it can be used to make predictions that others people can run experiments against.
4. This is the most important bit. Other scientists take your findings and try to *disprove* your hypothesis. This is the purpose of science - not to prove your hypothesis correct, but to prove it's wrong. That is how science and knowledge progresses.
The most important thing to note, is that if a single experiment goes against your hypothesis, then your hypothesis is WRONG.
NOTE: there is a term used for people who do the "I'll show this hypothesis is correct" stuff, and that term is 'pseudoscience'.
Every hypothesis, prediction and forecast the Climate people have made has been proven wrong time and time again. Now they always say "Look the climate is changing, that proves the theory of man-made climate change is real" - like the first post in this thread, which demonstrates that the person who made that post does not know what science is or that the hypothesis have been continuously proven wrong by real-world events.
https://t.co/nLDDHcw8xA
Seem as so you asked, here goes, but it's quite the read.
What is Science?
Science is a process, not a conclusion. The process works like this:
1. You identify some natural phenomenon that interests you (i.e. a apple falling from a tree, warming temperatures, etc)
2. You undertake a lot of study, experimentation and data collection, trying to work out what is going on.
3. When you think you have worked out what is going on, then you write this up on a hypothesis.
3.1 Your hypothesis must do ALL of the following:
# Explain and fit in with all the data and experiments you have conducted.
# Be testable in that it can be used to make predictions that others people can run experiments against.
4. This is the most important bit. Other scientists take your findings and try to *disprove* your hypothesis. This is the purpose of science - not to prove your hypothesis correct, but to prove it's wrong. That is how science and knowledge progresses.
The most important thing to note, is that if a single experiment goes against your hypothesis, then your hypothesis is WRONG.
NOTE: there is a term used for people who do the "I'll show this hypothesis is correct" stuff, and that term is 'pseudoscience'.
Every hypothesis, prediction and forecast the Climate people have made has been proven wrong time and time again. Now they always say "Look the climate is changing, that proves the theory of man-made climate change is real" - like the first post in this thread, which demonstrates that the person who made that post does not know what science is or that the hypothesis have been continuously proven wrong by real-world events.
https://t.co/nLDDHcw8xA
Seem as so you asked, here goes, but it's quite the read.
What is Science?
Science is a process, not a conclusion. The process works like this:
1. You identify some natural phenomenon that interests you (i.e. a apple falling from a tree, warming temperatures, etc)
2. You undertake a lot of study, experimentation and data collection, trying to work out what is going on.
3. When you think you have worked out what is going on, then you write this up on a hypothesis.
3.1 Your hypothesis must do ALL of the following:
# Explain and fit in with all the data and experiments you have conducted.
# Be testable in that it can be used to make predictions that others people can run experiments against.
4. This is the most important bit. Other scientists take your findings and try to *disprove* your hypothesis. This is the purpose of science - not to prove your hypothesis correct, but to prove it's wrong. That is how science and knowledge progresses.
The most important thing to note, is that if a single experiment goes against your hypothesis, then your hypothesis is WRONG.
NOTE: there is a term used for people who do the "I'll show this hypothesis is correct" stuff, and that term is 'pseudoscience'.
Every hypothesis, prediction and forecast the Climate people have made has been proven wrong time and time again. Now they always say "Look the climate is changing, that proves the theory of man-made climate change is real" - like the first post in this thread, which demonstrates that the person who made that post does not know what science is or that the hypothesis have been continuously proven wrong by real-world events.
https://t.co/nLDDHcw8xA
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